Yesterday I gave you everyone else’s predictions. Now here are my own. Most of the states are a lock, of course, and these are the ones that matter: Romney wins Florida and North Carolina. Obama wins Pennsylvania, Ohio, New Hampshire, Colorado, Nevada, Iowa, Wisconsin, Minnesota and Michigan (for some reason, the Republicans think they can win those last three; they can’t). Virginia really is a total tossup, with the average of the last few polls being within .3% of each other. But by my count, that gets Obama to 290 electoral votes even without Virginia. If he wins it, he’ll be at 303; if Romney wins it, Obama still wins. Here’s my map:
I think the Democrats hold on to the Senate with 51 or 52, maybe 53. I think the Republicans retain control of the House, probably by something in the range of 12-15 votes.
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