Judson Phillips Has a Thinking Problem

Some people have drinking problems; Judson Phillips of Tea Party Nation seems to have a thinking problem. In his latest missive, he stirs up a frothy mix of bad math, false assumptions and lies to claim that more than a million Democrats voted twice in the 2012 election, ensuring Obama the win.

What is the shocking secret that may explain how Obama got a second term?

A study done in North Carolina showed that 35,750 people who live and voted in North Carolina may have voted in another state in the 2012 Presidential election. The study was based on comparing the first and last names along with date of birth for people who voted in 28 other states. In 765 of those cases, social security numbers matched as well.

This number would have probably been larger but only 28 states participated and the four largest states, California, New York, Texas and Florida did not participate.

If you extrapolate this figure out over the entire population, that could be over one million double votes in 2012…

Democrats are not winning elections. They are taking them the old fashioned way. They are stealing them.

How are thee a moron? Let me count the ways. First of all, there was no “study” done in North Carolina. There was an initial report from North Carolina Elections Director Kim Strach that they had found 35,750 people who shared a name and birthday with someone who voted in another state, but that only 765 of them had the same Social Security Number. But that list of 765 people was only the beginning list for investigating those votes. When that has happened in other states, only a tiny percentage of them have turned out to be actual cases of voter fraud.

When you start with a number 46 times higher than even the preliminary number, you’re going to get a really huge and scary sounding result. If you do the extrapolation using even the full 765 number, you get about 21,000 double voters. Out of about 100 million votes cast, or about .0002% of the votes cast. That’s a pretty dumb way to try to steal an election. And of course, he assumes that all of those people were Democrats, which is just another stupid assumption.

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  • Chiroptera

    Some people have drinking problems; Judson Phillips of Tea Party Nation seems to have a thinking problem.

    For that analogy to work, Phillips has to be thinking too much. If that were to happen, I’m pretty sure that he’d be thrown out of the Tea Party movement.

  • cheesynougats

    “And of course, he assumes that all of those people were Democrats”

    That’s because Republicans don’t use voter fraud. They use voter suppression.

  • http://en.uncyclopedia.co/wiki/User:Modusoperandi Modusoperandi

    Out of about 100 million votes cast, or about .0002% of the votes cast. That’s a pretty dumb way to try to steal an election.

    AND HOW MUCH DID “PRESIDENT” OBAMA “WIN” BY? CHECKMATE DEMOCRAT PARTY!

     

    And of course, he assumes that all of those people were Democrats, which is just another stupid assumption.

    BUT ALL OF THOSE PEOPLE WERE DEMOCRATS! US REPUBLICANS DONT CHEAT BY VOTING TWICE, WE CHEAT BY MAKING SURE THE OTHER PARTYS “VOTERS” DONT “VOTE”! CHECKMATE DEMOCART PRATY!

  • dugglebogey

    Of course only Demoncrats would vote more than once! Repulicans (cough Nixon cough) would never rig an election.

    On a side note, today being April 15th when (conservatives only) taxes are paid, did the rest of you get your checks from the government for supporting Obamacare? I got mine!

  • cptdoom

    North Carolina, where Obama lost? Wow, that is 11th dimensional chess.

  • http://www.pandasthumb.org Area Man

    Why does Judson Phillips hate democracy?

    I don’t mean that jokingly by the way.

  • grumpyoldfart

    Judson Phillips of Tea Party Nation seems to have a thinking problem.

    He’s not thinking. He just thinks he’s thinking.

  • John Pieret

    In a nation of only 300+ million people it was practically a miracle that Taco Bell could find all those “Ronald McDonalds” it has been showing in its commercials of late!

  • Mobius

    But…but…but…the Republicans LOST the presidential election…so the Democrats MUST have been up to something nefarious.

    I have often said that after the Reagan-Bush years, the Republican Party came to consider the presidency as theirs by divine right, and any Democrat being elected must mean dishonesty was at work.

  • http://howlandbolton.com richardelguru

    “a thinking problem.”

    It works if you visualize that guy in the ‘Airplane’ movie…

  • Trebuchet

    Lies, Damned Lies, and Republicans….

  • greg1466

    What is the shocking secret that may explain how Obama got a second term?

    Just spit balling here, but I’m gonna go with “The GOP is incapable of fielding, if not deliberately refuses to field, an electable candidate.”

  • dave

    So I have a very uncommon last name, by some estimates, there are a mere 100 people in the whole US with my last name. (Incidentally, you can look this up on howmanyofme.com, although I make no representations of accuracy.)

    Anyway, my second cousin lives on the opposite coast. I only see her every few years, when she can manage to arrange a business trip to be near a family gathering. Since she is travelling on business, her husband and daughter are almost never with her, I dont think Ive seen either of them in about a decade. When I last saw her, she mentioned that she had just met her daughter’s new boyfriend. The boyfriend has the same name as I. (Although not the same birthday.)

    tl;dr — Im shocked there were ONLY 35,000 matches.

  • Randomfactor

    Obama won by FIVE million votes. He won by TWO million votes in California alone.

  • Baktru

    And again seriously Ed you need a like button just for Modus.

    Hell you’re supposed to be a stand-up comedian. Never saw you write anything even half as funny as Modus.

  • sugarfrosted

    This person never heard of the birthday problem. The fact that there were that many incidence of matching names and birthdays is probably very close to the expected value. Due to the counterintuitive solution to the birthday problem. (basically you use name and birthday and year rather than just birthday, statistically you’re going to have several names collide. It’s not a perfect analogy because year and names don’t have the same distributions as birthdays.)

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Birthday_problem

  • sugarfrosted

    @14 Given that electoral college decides elections not population that doesn’t necessarily matter, I actually might later try to see that even if a million votes were distributed in an optimal way if Romney could have won (I expect not given how terribly he lost the electoral college as well.)

  • MadMax

    Ed, I think you made a little math error there.

    21e3 /100e6 = 0.0002, or 0.02%, but not as you say 0.0002%.

  • Childermass

    When I was a kid, if the regular mailman had the day off I would almost always get the mail of a man with my same first name, middle initial, and last name who lived about a mile down the road which considering we lived in the middle of no where was probably equivalent of two blocks. I now live over a thousand away from where I lived at as a kid. A few years ago I tested one of the people search sites on the web by putting in my own name. He was listed as once living in a city about 20 miles away from my current location.

    howmanyofme.com says there are less than 1500 people with my name and they don’t account for same initial. Lets be very generous and say 1/10 share my initial: So less than 150 people. The odds of this are extremely low. But then everyone comes in contact with many thousands of people so there are lots of ways to generate coincidences.

  • jnorris

    The real conspiracy is the lack of prosecutions by all the Republican state attorneys-general.

  • Christoph Burschka

    > New York

    Of course. How could Obama possibly have taken New York legitimately.

  • dingojack

    Only 80 of me in the whole of the US.

    Dingo

  • caseloweraz

    Judson Phillips: This number would have probably been larger but only 28 states participated and the four largest states, California, New York, Texas and Florida did not participate.

    Whoa — He says Texas did not participate!? Does Phillips not know who the governor of Texas is? Or does he just hate that governor for some reason?

    /sarc