Consequences of the “one-child policy”

Just as some Westerners have started advocating laws to prevent families from having more than one child, China is having second thoughts as it is facing the consequences of its one-child policy, which it enforced with mandatory abortions:

More than 30 years after China's one-child policy was introduced, creating two generations of notoriously chubby, spoiled only children affectionately nicknamed "little emperors," a population crisis is looming in the country.

The average birthrate has plummeted to 1.8 children per couple as compared with six when the policy went into effect, according to the U.N. Population Division, while the number of residents 60 and older is predicted to explode from 16.7 percent of the population in 2020 to 31.1 percent by 2050. That is far above the global average of about 20 percent.

The imbalance is worse in wealthy coastal cities with highly educated populations, such as Shanghai. Last year, people 60 and older accounted for almost 22 percent of Shanghai's registered residents, while the birthrate was less than one child per couple.
ad_icon

Xie Lingli, director of the Shanghai Municipal Population and Family Planning Commission, has said that fertile couples need to have babies to "help reduce the proportion of the aging population and alleviate a workforce shortage in the future."

Remember when the phrase “population crisis” referred to alleged over-population? Now the same phrase is used for under-population.

About Gene Veith

Professor of Literature at Patrick Henry College, the Director of the Cranach Institute at Concordia Theological Seminary, a columnist for World Magazine and TableTalk, and the author of 18 books on different facets of Christianity & Culture.

  • Bruce Gee

    China needs to decide if they are going to advocate to the world a “one child” policy as their contribution to the fight against global warming, or if they are going to survive. It will be difficult to have it both ways.
    .

  • Bruce Gee

    China needs to decide if they are going to advocate to the world a “one child” policy as their contribution to the fight against global warming, or if they are going to survive. It will be difficult to have it both ways.
    .

  • http://wipfandstock.com/store/As_Though_It_Were_Actually_True_A_Christian_Apologetics_Primer Matt C.

    Not to mention the gender imbalance.

    With respect to the birth rate, I assume they did the math when they instituted the policy in the first place. They must have seen it as a temporary measure, unless they had a secret plan to quietly destroy the Chinese people.

  • http://wipfandstock.com/store/As_Though_It_Were_Actually_True_A_Christian_Apologetics_Primer Matt C.

    Not to mention the gender imbalance.

    With respect to the birth rate, I assume they did the math when they instituted the policy in the first place. They must have seen it as a temporary measure, unless they had a secret plan to quietly destroy the Chinese people.

  • http://www.utah-lutheran.blogspot.com Bror Erickson

    Not sure Matt.
    You would think this would be obvious. But then when you buy into communism, you might buy into a lot. Evil has the propensity to just destroy itself. One recalls pigs running for the sea. And communism has been ever intent on depopulation starting with Lenon.

  • http://www.utah-lutheran.blogspot.com Bror Erickson

    Not sure Matt.
    You would think this would be obvious. But then when you buy into communism, you might buy into a lot. Evil has the propensity to just destroy itself. One recalls pigs running for the sea. And communism has been ever intent on depopulation starting with Lenon.

  • Matt

    That would be “Lenin,” Bror.

  • Matt

    That would be “Lenin,” Bror.

  • DonS

    This is why I am not that concerned about China’s dominance, in the long term. It seems to me that China is at the peak of its power right now, because the bulge of its population is in its peak production years, it has a relatively small youth population to support, and it has a proportionate senior citizen population. But, in 20 years, the bulk of its population will be over age 50, and from that time forward, assuming it maintains its present one child policy, a small work force will be responsible for supporting a huge senior citizen population. Economic productivity will necessarily sharply decline. Of course, at that point in time, look for China’s evil, atheistic government to enforce massive euthanasia policies to reduce its elderly population.

  • DonS

    This is why I am not that concerned about China’s dominance, in the long term. It seems to me that China is at the peak of its power right now, because the bulge of its population is in its peak production years, it has a relatively small youth population to support, and it has a proportionate senior citizen population. But, in 20 years, the bulk of its population will be over age 50, and from that time forward, assuming it maintains its present one child policy, a small work force will be responsible for supporting a huge senior citizen population. Economic productivity will necessarily sharply decline. Of course, at that point in time, look for China’s evil, atheistic government to enforce massive euthanasia policies to reduce its elderly population.

  • http://wipfandstock.com/store/As_Though_It_Were_Actually_True_A_Christian_Apologetics_Primer Matt C.

    Bror @ 3,

    I grant you that evil is self-destructive, but most forms aren’t knowingly so (and I’m not sure that communism is). They really *should* have known. Evil and stupid have a lot of overlap, but I’m not sure that was the case here.

  • http://wipfandstock.com/store/As_Though_It_Were_Actually_True_A_Christian_Apologetics_Primer Matt C.

    Bror @ 3,

    I grant you that evil is self-destructive, but most forms aren’t knowingly so (and I’m not sure that communism is). They really *should* have known. Evil and stupid have a lot of overlap, but I’m not sure that was the case here.

  • http://wipfandstock.com/store/As_Though_It_Were_Actually_True_A_Christian_Apologetics_Primer Matt C.

    Oh, and just in case there is any confusion; the other “Matt” is someone else. I make too many typos to risk correcting anyone else. :)

  • http://wipfandstock.com/store/As_Though_It_Were_Actually_True_A_Christian_Apologetics_Primer Matt C.

    Oh, and just in case there is any confusion; the other “Matt” is someone else. I make too many typos to risk correcting anyone else. :)

  • http://uest fws

    what is saving us from this demographic trainwreck is the high birth rates of new immigrants and undocumented immigrants.

  • http://uest fws

    what is saving us from this demographic trainwreck is the high birth rates of new immigrants and undocumented immigrants.

  • http://uest fws

    #6 matt c

    Evil and stupid have a lot of overlap

    what a gem of a statement. and as a bonus it seems to describe my norwegian old adam quite adeptly. ;)

    hope you do not mind if I plagarize…

  • http://uest fws

    #6 matt c

    Evil and stupid have a lot of overlap

    what a gem of a statement. and as a bonus it seems to describe my norwegian old adam quite adeptly. ;)

    hope you do not mind if I plagarize…

  • Bruce Gee

    Frank, you are correct. While the birth rate in this country isn’t as bad as in most industrialized countries, the statistic that is keeping us in the black is reproductive rates among hispanics and others, plus immigration (I am not sure if the stats reflect illegal immigration, but it of course has a large impact). Whites and blacks are killing their babies at a rate that is unsustainable, or not becoming pregnant in the first place.

  • Bruce Gee

    Frank, you are correct. While the birth rate in this country isn’t as bad as in most industrialized countries, the statistic that is keeping us in the black is reproductive rates among hispanics and others, plus immigration (I am not sure if the stats reflect illegal immigration, but it of course has a large impact). Whites and blacks are killing their babies at a rate that is unsustainable, or not becoming pregnant in the first place.

  • Economist Doug

    #10 Not completely.

    Prior to the recession whites in Utah, Idaho, Alaska, and South Dakota had relatively high birthrates.

    This is largely for social/religious reasons.

  • Economist Doug

    #10 Not completely.

    Prior to the recession whites in Utah, Idaho, Alaska, and South Dakota had relatively high birthrates.

    This is largely for social/religious reasons.

  • Bruce Gee

    Sorry, Econ Doug. I should have said Blue State whites.

  • Bruce Gee

    Sorry, Econ Doug. I should have said Blue State whites.


CLOSE | X

HIDE | X