If Clinton drops out, Democrats want Sanders

What would happen if Hillary Clinton really is having serious health problems to the point of having to drop out of the race?  I’m not saying she is or that this is likely, but it’s an interesting mental experiment.  Donald Trump, who is 70, could also have a breakdown that could force him to withdraw.

If the party’s candidate can no longer run, the Democratic National Committee would choose a replacement.  The same holds true in the Republican party, though the RNC could choose to reconvene the convention delegates, an option not available for the Democrats.  The national committees consist of members from each state.  The Democratic National Committee has some 300 members; the Republican counterpart has 150.

A Rasmussen survey has found that in the event of Clinton dropping out of the race, 48% of Democrats would want her replaced with Bernie Sanders.

Discussion questions:  Conservatives, isn’t Clinton more conservative than Sanders?  Do you think she would make a better president than Sanders would?  NeverTrumpers, would you vote for Sanders over Trump? [Read more…]

What to watch for at the Democrats’ convention this week

Now it’s the Democrats’ turn to have a convention, beginning today and lasting through Thursday.  Here are some things to watch for:

(1)  Both the Republicans and the Democratic contests featured an insurgent arrayed against the party establishment.  In the Republican case, the insurgent won.  In the Democratic case, the party establishment beat down the insurgent.  But his followers are not happy.  Though socialist Bernie Sanders has endorsed Hillary Clinton, lots of Democrats on the left are bitter about her victory.  They don’t like her moderate vice presidential pick Tim Kaine.  And they sure don’t like the revelations in those hacked e-mails about how the Democratic National Committee undermined Sanders to anoint Clinton.  (See post below.)  At the convention, will the left rally to Clinton’s banner after all?  Or what will they do? [Read more…]

Clinton might not win the Democratic nomination

Bernie Sanders is polling high in California, which holds its Democratic primary on June 7; Hillary Clinton’s legal problems are growing; and new polls show Sanders doing better against Donald Trump than she would.  Many Democratic party super-delegates are reportedly considering switching their votes to Sanders.  Furthermore, Sanders supporters have been given prominent spots on the rules committee, which is likely to consider a rule requiring super-delegates to vote the way the primary voters did in their states.

So there is a chance, as Douglas E. Schoen explains, that Hillary Clinton will not, in fact, be the Democratic nominee.

My question for you:  Do you think Bernie Sanders would be better than Mrs. Clinton?  To those of you who don’t like Donald Trump, would you vote for Sanders instead? [Read more…]

Sanders voters for Trump?

Many supporters of Bernie Sanders do not like Hillary Clinton and are vowing that they will never vote for her.  The more affluent of his supporters could always vote with the Green Party, though most will settle for Clinton after all.  But what about the white working class voters who are victims of the current economy and who have been giving Sanders his big wins in industrial rust belt states?

They may well have common cause with Donald Trump, who also does well with this demographic and who advocates some of Sanders’ policies.  Might some of those disaffected blue collar Democrats vote for Trump?  And might that turn some Blue states Red and give Trump the victory?  Charles Krauthammer thinks it’s a possibility. [Read more…]

Political developments

(1) Former presidential hopeful New Jersey governor Chris Christie endorsed Donald Trump for president.  This, after Christie repeatedly said during his campaign that Trump was not qualified to be president.  Now Christie is appearing with Trump, mocking Marco Rubio like he did in the recent debate.  Think he is jockeying to be Vice President?  This may be the beginning of former “establishment” Republicans jumping on the Trump bandwagon, hoping to hitch their ambitions to a winner.  (UPDATE:  It’s happening:  Alabama Senator Jeff Sessions has just endorsed Trump.)

(2)  Trump chalked up another endorsement from Klansman David Duke.  Trump refused to disavow his support, saying he doesn’t know enough about him and other white supremacists to turn down their endorsements.

(3) Trump tweeted a quotation from Mussolini–“It is better to live one day as a lion than 100 years as a sheep”– but claims he didn’t realize who said it, while still defending the quote.

(4) Hillary Clinton won the South Carolina Democratic primary on Saturday in a landslide.  She took 73.5% of the vote (43 delegates), to Bernie Sanders’ 26% (14 delegates).

(5) Black voters in South Carolina overwhelmingly supported Clinton over Sanders, 86% to 14%, a pattern that, if it holds, may doom his chances.  In fact, Super Tuesday could finish him off.

Bernie Sanders is a “none”

Bernie Sanders finally said where he stood on religion.  He is Jewish by birth, but, more precisely, he is a “none,” claiming no involvement with organized religion.  He told an interviewer that he believes in God in the sense that “all of us are connected.” [Read more…]


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