Politics shifting on immigration?

Immigration used to be seen as a winning issue for Democrats, with Republicans opposed to illegal immigration holding an increasingly unpopular position, coming across as heartless and demographically clueless.  But now the crisis on the border as thousands of unaccompanied young children come pouring into the country with the administration seemingly bungling the problem at every level is apparently changing the political calculus.  So says an analysis published  in the liberal Washington Post. [Read more...]

Behind the child-immigration scandal

As tens of thousands of unaccompanied children from Central America pour over our borders, Democrats are shamelessly blaming Republicans for not passing immigration reform!  As if the President’s executive order not to deport illegal immigrants brought here as children had nothing to do with it, as well as the rumors throughout Central America of the impending amnesty.

One complicating factor is a law designed to protect children being victimized by sex trafficking by requiring that unaccompanied foreign children be given a full administrative hearing.  That well-intentioned law is preventing the children from being sent back.  Charles Lane explains after the break. [Read more...]

Unaccompanied minors pouring into USA

The Obama administration has a policy that children of illegal immigrants can defer deportation.  Though the policy applies only to those who have been here before 2007, the word on the streets in Latin America is evidently that the USA won’t deport children.  So now unaccompanied minors are pouring into the country by the tens of thousands.  Those rounded up are being housed in makeshift detention centers.  Some are attempting to reunite with parents already in this country, while others are sent here to escape conditions at home.  The massive child immigration  is being described by all sides as a “humanitarian crisis.”  These are children, ranging in age from 3 to 17! [Read more...]

Learning from gay activists

Homosexuals have pulled what may be the greatest public relations revolution in history, going from reviled to celebrated in the twinkling of an eye.  Illegal immigrants have also scored a public relations coup, as their cause is now ascendant.  Immigration activist Frank Sharry says that the success of his movement has been consciously modeled after the tactics of gay rights activists.

I’ll quote him after the jump, but Christians would do well to study these turnarounds.  Societies tend to project some of its members as “others,” scapegoating, marginalizing, and looking down on them as a way to achieve social solidarity, an “ingroup”  played off against an “outgroup.”  Christians should never play that game, but we have.   I wonder if  Christians will someday be put into that role.  Already, significant parts of the population regard conservative Christians with revulsion and fear, seeing Christians’ sexual ethics as unnatural and scaring themselves at the prospect of Christians taking over the country.  I can see a time when people will mirror the Calvinist/Arminian debates in discussing whether a person chooses to be a Christian (in which case there is no excuse) or is born that way (in which case there is a pathology that needs to be eradicated).  But maybe enough Christians will be bold enough to “out themselves” to their families and friends so as to present a human face to the movement. [Read more...]

The new Immigration Reform plan

Republicans and Democrats in the Senate have joined together to draft a new immigration reform plan.  It hasn’t been drawn up into legislation yet, but take a look at the provisions after the jump. [Read more...]

How illegal immigrants inflate the electoral college

Illegal immigrants and other non-citizens don’t have the right to vote, of course.  But, as required by the Constitution, they ARE counted in the census that determines the population of states for the allocation of congressional representatives.  That means a state with large numbers of non-citizens can get more electoral votes, which determine presidential elections, than it would have otherwise.  The breakdown favors the Democrats.  Leonard Steinhorn, a professor at American University, gives the analysis:

An Obama victory could hinge on a quirk in the Constitution that gives noncitizens, a group that includes illegal immigrants and legal permanent residents, a say in electing the president of the United States.

As required by Article I and the Fourteenth Amendment, the decennial census, which allocates to each state its congressional seats and Electoral College votes, is based on a count of all people who live in the United States, citizens and noncitizens alike — or as the Constitution phrases it, “the whole number of persons in each state.” That means millions of noncitizens who are ineligible to vote are included in Electoral College calculations, and that benefits some states over others. Most of these noncitizens are here legally; however, the Pew Hispanic Center estimates that about 45 percent of noncitizens are undocumented immigrants.

In 2010 and most previous years, the census did not inquire about citizenship, but the American Community Survey (ACS), which samples our population every month, includes a breakdown of citizens and noncitizens. Plugging the 2010 ACS citizen-only numbers into the Census Bureau’s apportionment formula shows that five states benefit electorally from their noncitizen populations: New York, Florida and Washington each gain one congressional seat and thus one Electoral College vote; Texas gains two; and California — with 5,516,920 noncitizens out of a total population of 37,341,989 — gains five.

Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan, North Carolina, Indiana, Iowa, Missouri, Louisiana, Oklahoma and Montana each lose a seat under the official formula as compared with an apportionment that counts citizens only. . . .

Looking at how the states might vote in November, there is no scenario in which Mitt Romney benefits from the inclusion of noncitizens in the Electoral College calculation, but there are several in which Obama could gain three to five Electoral College votes, thus deciding a close election.

via Without voting, noncitizens could swing the election for Obama – The Washington Post.

Prof. Steinhorn gives some reasons why it makes sense to count everybody, citizen or not, though he says the impact on presidential elections needs to be remedied by eliminating the electoral college.

Do you have any other solutions?  Or is this not really a problem?


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