We had “Super Tuesday.” They are calling today “Mega Tuesday.” Florida, Ohio, North Carolina, Illinois, and Missouri will be voting for the Republican and Democratic candidates. This is a big haul. And Florida and Ohio are winner-take-all states. If Marco Rubio cannot win his own state with its 99 delegates–and the polls say he won’t–he is finished. If John Kasich cannot win his own state–and polls show him running neck and neck with Donald Trump–he is finished. And if Trump wins them both, the Republican race is pretty much finished, as his lead in delegates will be almost insurmountable.
But Illinois, North Carolina, and Missouri together have more delegates than Florida and Ohio, though they will be awarded proportionally. (See the details after the jump.) That means that Cruz could also have a big haul.
After today, it will probably be a two-man race between Trump and Ted Cruz. Maybe Cruz can capture the anti-Trump vote, though the Republican establishment doesn’t like him much either. Even then, Trump may be impossible to catch.
And for Democrats, Bernie Sanders could emerge as the clear people’s choice, even though Hillary Clinton has the Democratic machine on her side. Or maybe she can pick up enough votes that she won’t have to depend on the super-delegates to give her the nomination.
I’ll post the results as soon as I know them, and we can discuss the outcome. [Read more…]