# Archives for March 2011

## Swinburne’s Case for God – Part 9

Let's take a brief break from conditional probabilities and probability calculations involving Bayes' theorem. Much of Chapter 7 of The Existence of God (EOG) consists of general points, objections, and replies to objections, along the lines that one would expect in a more traditional philosophical discussion about cosmological arguments. I'm not clear on how some of these points connect with the conditional probabilities and probability equations for the cosmological argument. An important … [Read more...]

## The Brutal Facts!!!!

I just got notice about this:http://edwardfeser.blogspot.com/2011/01/brutal-facts-about-keith-parsons.htmlThe BRUTAL FACTS about Keith Parsons (Gasp! Shudder!).Woo. I must have really gotten to this guy. If he is gainfully employed his boss should really find some more work for him. Clearly, he has waaaaaay too much time on his hands. … [Read more...]

## Swinburne’s Case for God – Part 8

I have managed to write seven posts describing and explaining Swinburne's case for God, but have not yet discussed a single specific argument for or against God. So, it is now time to examine an actual specific argument. (In my defense, the first 132 pages of EOG are introductory, and I have spared you many details from those first six chapters.)In Chapter 7 of EOG, Swinburne gets around to presenting his cosmological argument. A cosmological argument is an argument "to the existence of God from … [Read more...]

## Swinburne’s Case for God – Part 7

The first premise of Swinburne's case for God makes a fairly modest claim:1. Based on evidence other than religious experience, the existence of God is not very improbable. Because the expression "not very improbable" is a bit vague, I argued for the following clarification of premise (1), in my last post:1b. Where e is the specific evidence (considered by Swinburne in EOG) for and against the existence of God, excluding the evidence of religious experience, and where h is the hypothesis that … [Read more...]

## Swinburne’s Case for God – Part 6

Swinburne's case for God (in The Existence of God, 2nd ed.) can be summed up this way:1. Based on evidence other than religious experience, the existence of God is not very improbable.2. If based on evidence other than religious experience, the existence of God is not very improbable, then the evidence from religious experience (in combination with other relevant evidence) makes the existence of God more probable than not.Therefore:3. The evidence from religious experience (in combination with … [Read more...]

## Swinburne’s Case for God – Part 5

Swinburne makes use of Bayes' Theorem in presenting most of the a posteriori arguments for and against God in The Existence of God (EOG), and he makes significant use of it in summing up his case for God. Bayes' Theorem: P (h I e & k) = P(e I h & k) x P(h I k) / P(e I k) By the symmetry of equality we can restate Bayes' Theorem with the "answer" on the right hand side of the equation: P(e I h & k) x P(h I k) / P(e I k) = P (h I e & k) We have previously discussed the conditional … [Read more...]

## New Chick Tract

This one is a bit of a rehash, mind you. … [Read more...]