Is It a Crock to Use Bayes’ Theorem to Measure Evidence about God? Part 2

I want to continue where I left off in part 1 of my response to Metacrock on the use of Bayes’ Theorem (BT) to measure evidence about God. Here is Metacrock: Bayes’ theorem was introduced first as an argument against Hume’s argument on miracles, that is to say, a proof of the probability of miracles. The theorem was learned by Richard Price from Bayes papers after the death of the latter, and was first communicated to the Royal society in 1763.[6] The major difference in the version Bayes an … [Read more...]

Is It a Crock to Use Bayes’ Theorem to Measure Evidence about God? Part 1

Over at the Christian Cadre, “Metacrock” has written a post entitled, “Bayes Theorum [sic] and Probability of God: No Dice!” Metacrock makes a number of points regarding the use of Bayes’ Theorem (BT) with evidence about God’s existence. I want to comment on many of those points. It is understandable that naturalistic thinkers are uneasy with the concept of miracles. I think I understand the point that Metacrock is trying to get across, but I disagree with this sentence as written. Metaphy … [Read more...]

The Holy Spirit and the Affect Heuristic

I’ve been re-reading Daniel Kahnman’s wonderful book, Thinking, Fast and Slow and came upon the section in which he discusses the ‘affect heuristic’. The affect heuristic is the notion that people often make decisions based on their feelings or emotions about the topic at hand. It is an example of “substitution”, in which “the answer to an easy question (How do I feel about it?) serves as an answer to a much harder question (What do I think about it?)”. (139) One of the most famous experiments ( … [Read more...]

Craig’s Argument from Intentionality

Here is my summary of Craig’s “argument from intentionality” in his recent debate with Alex Rosenberg. 5. God is the best explanation for the intentional states of consciousness in the world. Philosophers are puzzled by states of intentionality, the state of being about something or being of something. It signifies the object-directendess of our thoughts, such as thinking about my summer vacation or about my wife. But no physical object has this capability. A chair, a stone, or a glob … [Read more...]

Blogging the Passive-Aggressive Way

I just happened to go to the Triablogue website. I noticed that Hays dedicated an entire post to his combox exchange with me regarding the failure of the Resurrection as an explanatory hypothesis. I found it interesting  to see how he categorized the post:It appears that Hays has dedicated an entire blog post category or "label" to "Village Atheist." Not all of his posts about comments made by atheists seem to be placed into this category, so one can only assume that he is using the … [Read more...]

Feser Insults (Insulted?) Parsons Again

If Edward Feser is not yet the JP Holding of theistic philosophers, he seems to be well on his way. I don't always read his blog, but his latest item caught my attention."God and Man at HuffPro"In that brief article, he links to this older article:"So you think you understand the cosmological argument?"I hadn't seen that article before. In it, he makes the following statement, "Like every other academic field, philosophy of religion has its share of hacks and … [Read more...]

Jeff Lowder Speaking in London

I will be speaking to the Central London Humanist Group. Here are the details: Topic: Evidence about God: What Apologists Don’t Want You to Know When: Thursday, 28 March at 7pm Where: Conway Hall in central London LINK … [Read more...]

More Straw Manning of the Opposition

Over at He Lives, David Heddle provides another example of a theist straw manning the opposition. He writes:Intellectual atheism in the 21st century:• If God made everything, who made God? (Dawkins)• Religion poisons everything! (Hitchens)• Science and religion are not compatible! (Coyne)• I'm a genius and can use Bayes's Theorem to show Jesus didn't exist! (Carrier)• Menz suck! Theists is dumb! (Myers)• If I were god, I'd make a small uni … [Read more...]


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