Play Along with Rationality Camp at Home!

Calibration chart

While you're all missing me, there are three games you might want to try that I've been playing at rationality camp. The first two games are related.  The first one is called the Calibration Game and the second is called the Updating Game.  (Note: both those links start downloads of zip files).  Both are trivia games, but, although you're trying to get questions right, the focus is less on how knowledgeable you are and more on how good you are at gauging your own uncertainty. The Calibration Ga … [Read more...]

Head to Head with Hemant Mehta

Last week, I got to do an interview/argument with fellow Patheos blogger and Friendly Atheist Hemant Mehta on Justin Brierley's podcast Unbelieveable!   You can stream the podcast from Justin's website or you can download it from iTunes.  This is probably my favorite media thing I've done so far, since I find it easier to express myself in the context of an argument than I do in the scope of a conventional "How do you feel?" interview.  It's easier to realize when you're not being clear when you … [Read more...]

Conceding a Point is Not a Slippery Slope

I'm having a delightful time at Rationality Camp, and I have two LessWrong posts to recommend today: "Absence of Evidence is Evidence of Absence" and "Conservation of Expected Evidence."  (Read these first, I'm gesturing at them, but not summarizing below).  They start with this quote from Robyn Dawes's Rational Choice in an Uncertain World: Post-hoc fitting of evidence to hypothesis was involved in a most grievous chapter in United States history: the internment of Japanese-Americans at the b … [Read more...]

Happy Birthday to Me! I’m off to Geek Summer Camp!

Bayesian Conspirator

(Not that one, but I do strongly recommend CTY to any readers with children).I'm in California today and for the rest of the week for a rationality minicamp run by the people behind Less Wrong and the Singularity Institute.  This is the kind of summer camp where, before you go, they send you and two close friends a detailed survey, so they have a baseline to assess the impact of the camp on you in a year when they do the follow up.  Squee!As a result, posting will be a little less f … [Read more...]

Comments Tab is Up (just after the nick of time)


Thanks for your feedback on my draft of the comment policy. I've added it to the top navigation bar, but, it turns out I've added it one day too late.  One of the writers at Friendly Atheist took umbrage at commenter Gilbert saying this in reply to the post where I asked readers to chip in to help the SSA deal with DDoS attacks. Any chance of collecting the money on our side? ’cause I really don’t feel like giving the Puppy Kicking League my contact info and ending up on their permanent friend f … [Read more...]

7 Quick Takes (7/20/12)

steampunk batwoman

--- 1 --- I'm off at seeing The Dark Rises tonight.  (I've prewritten these and am going straight to bed when I get home, so don't expect thoughts [ETA: let's just say Anne Hathaway and Joseph Gordon Levitt are both really pretty and leave it at that]).  For this midnight premier I didn't do a costume, alas.  The gritty, realistic approach that Nolan takes with these trilogies means that dressing up for this film ends up being a lot more about accuracy and technique than I have time for (or, fra … [Read more...]

Brave Enough to Kill

The Pentagon is considering awarding Distinguished Warfare Medals to drone pilots and Glen Greenwald is furious.  He sees it as an attempt "to depict drone warfare as some sort of courageous and noble act." Greenwald and I are in accord in condemning the use of drones for assassination, but I don't know that I agree with his critique here.  Greenwald says flying a drone cannot meet any of our traditional criteria for valor because: Whatever one thinks of the justifiability of drone attacks, i … [Read more...]