Spiritual hunches vs. math: How not to predict the outcome of an election

According to Glenn Beck and David Barton, those who are "spiritually attuned" were calling the race for Romney. Something was obviously off there. This is a great example of how wishful thinking can bias one's attributions.   In addition to the outcome of the election, this helpful Christianity Today summary of evangelical/born again voters demonstrates that the hunches were off. Evangelical vote for the GOP moved up slightly in some states and declined in others. On … [Read more...]