{"id":115099,"date":"2026-03-01T17:47:11","date_gmt":"2026-03-02T00:47:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/danpeterson\/?p=115099"},"modified":"2026-03-01T17:58:36","modified_gmt":"2026-03-02T00:58:36","slug":"thoughts-on-the-passing-scene-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/danpeterson\/2026\/03\/thoughts-on-the-passing-scene-2.html","title":{"rendered":"Thoughts on the Passing Scene"},"content":{"rendered":"<!DOCTYPE html PUBLIC \"-\/\/W3C\/\/DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional\/\/EN\" \"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/TR\/REC-html40\/loose.dtd\">\n<html><head><meta http-equiv=\"content-type\" content=\"text\/html; charset=utf-8\"><meta http-equiv=\"content-type\" content=\"text\/html; charset=utf-8\"><\/head><body><p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_41597\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-41597\" style=\"width: 597px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/wp-media.patheos.com\/blogs\/sites\/186\/2017\/04\/1920px-Church_History_Library_in_Salt_Lake_City-1.jpg\" class=\" decorated-link\" target=\"_blank\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\" wp-image-41597\" src=\"https:\/\/wp-media.patheos.com\/blogs\/sites\/186\/2017\/04\/1920px-Church_History_Library_in_Salt_Lake_City-1.jpg\" alt=\"SLC's Church History Library\" width=\"597\" height=\"448\"><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-41597\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Some of our interviews have been conducted in the Church History Library in Salt Lake City<br>(Wikimedia Commons public domain image)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Episode 6 of our new <em>Becoming Brigham<\/em> series will go public tomorrow (Monday). \u00a0In the meantime, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=I3VSS-0alVU\" class=\" decorated-link\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\">a thirty-second-long <em>teaser<\/em> for the new episode<\/a> is already available for viewing online, and the previous five episodes \u2014 including <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=PANEXykxNLo\" class=\" decorated-link\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\">the most recent<\/a> \u2014 are readily accessible at <a href=\"https:\/\/becomingbrigham.com\" class=\" decorated-link\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\">becomingbrigham.com<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>And, in other film-related news, the <a href='https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/library\/mormonism' target='_blank'>Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints<\/a> has just released a new video for the approaching Easter holiday: <a href=\"https:\/\/newsroom.churchofjesuschrist.org\/article\/easter-video-invites-all-to-find--greater-love--through-jesus-christ\" class=\" decorated-link\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\">\u201cEaster Video Invites All to Find \u2018Greater Love\u2019 Through Jesus Christ.\u201d<\/a> \u00a0I encourage everyone to give it a look. \u00a0It\u2019s quite short, only a little bit more than four minutes in length.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_29537\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-29537\" style=\"width: 357px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/wp-media.patheos.com\/blogs\/sites\/186\/2015\/12\/357px-Israel_topo_en.jpg\" class=\" decorated-link\" target=\"_blank\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-29537\" src=\"https:\/\/wp-media.patheos.com\/blogs\/sites\/186\/2015\/12\/357px-Israel_topo_en.jpg\" alt=\"Topographic map of Israel\" width=\"357\" height=\"599\"><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-29537\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">(Wikimedia Commons public domain image)<br>Israel\/Palestine is essentially a mountain ridge, flanked on the West by a coastal plain going down to the Mediterranean Sea and, on the East, by a steep decline into the Jordan Rift Valley (a northern continuation of Africa\u2019s Great Rift Valley) on the East, which is the deepest gash into Earth\u2019s crust anywhere on the planet. (The Dead Sea lies 1407 feet below the surface of the Mediterranean.) Jerusalem sits high on the mountain ridge; the altitude of the Old City is roughly 2500 feet, with Mount Scopus and the Mount of Olives looming above it even higher.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>From the <em>Daily Mail<\/em>, in the United Kingdom, comes an intriguing report \u2014 but one that should be received with some degree of caution or tentativeness. \u00a0Surely the headline itself goes just a tad too far: \u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.dailymail.co.uk\/sciencetech\/article-15595731\/biblical-earthquake-jesus-crucifixion-dead-sea.html\" class=\" decorated-link\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\">\u201cScientists confirm biblical earthquake that shook the earth at the moment of Jesus\u2019 crucifixion\u201d<\/a><\/p>\n<p>I was saddened, by the way, to learn of the lethal Iranian missile strike on the Israeli city of Beit Shemesh (<span dir=\"rtl\" lang=\"he\">\u05d1\u05d9\u05ea \u05e9\u05de\u05e9<\/span>, <small>lit.\u2009\u201d<\/small><span class=\"gloss-text\">House of the Sun\u201d<\/span>). \u00a0We\u2019ve driven by the city more times than I can count; it\u2019s along one of the main roads between Jerusalem and Ben Gurion International Airport, and I always try to point it out (as <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Tel_Beit_Shemesh\" class=\" decorated-link\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\">a biblical\/historical site<\/a>) to the passengers on our bus.<\/p>\n<p>Staying for a moment more on Middle Eastern issues, I enjoyed this opinion piece by <a href=\"https:\/\/law.byu.edu\/explore\/resources\/faculty-directory\/shima-baradaran-baughman-3\" class=\" decorated-link\" target=\"_blank\">Shima Baradaran Baughman<\/a>, the Iranian-born Woodruff J. Deem Professor of Law at Brigham Young University, whom I met last year at a conference in Samarkand, Uzbekistan, in which both of us participated: \u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.deseret.com\/opinion\/2026\/02\/28\/middle-east-turning-point\/\" class=\" decorated-link\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\">\u201cOpinion: A turning point for the Middle East:\u00a0Resist the temptation to oppose anything associated with Trump. Iranians around the world rejoice to not be standing alone anymore\u201d<\/a>\u00a0 By the way, traveling from Dubai to Samarkand and then, after the conference, from Tashkent back to Dubai, I flew across the entirety of Iran \u2014 airspace that is now closed to civilian traffic and replete with missiles and drones \u2014 before a turn eastward, avoiding Afghan airspace, toward Uzbekistan. \u00a0And, beyond the American participants, I interacted there mostly with Iranian academics from Tehran, Qom, and Isfahan, whom I quite liked. \u00a0(I was even invited to participate in a forthcoming conference in Qom.) \u00a0This does tend to bring things home a little bit.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_34607\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-34607\" style=\"width: 597px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/wp-media.patheos.com\/blogs\/sites\/186\/2016\/06\/800px-Nassau_Hall_Princeton_Uni.jpg\" class=\" decorated-link\" target=\"_blank\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\" wp-image-34607\" src=\"https:\/\/wp-media.patheos.com\/blogs\/sites\/186\/2016\/06\/800px-Nassau_Hall_Princeton_Uni.jpg\" alt=\"Princeton's Nassau Hall, in the evening\" width=\"597\" height=\"336\"><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-34607\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Nassau Hall, on the campus of Princeton University, where Danny Frost earned his doctorate. At least a few years ago, the world\u2019s best Philly cheesesteak could be found just across the street.<br>(Wikimedia Commons public domain photograph)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>I really like this piece by <a href=\"https:\/\/socialsciences.byu.edu\/directory\/daniel-frost\" class=\" decorated-link\" target=\"_blank\">Danny Frost<\/a>, which was originally written for <em>Public Square Magazine<\/em> and has now appeared in the <em>Deseret News<\/em>: \u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/latterdaysaintmag.com\/bowling-for-a-strike-at-byu-and-beyond\/\" class=\" decorated-link\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\">\u201cBowling for a Strike at BYU and Beyond.\u201d<\/a> \u00a0In large part, it\u2019s a defense of Elder Clark G. Gilbert against recent attacks against him.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_83703\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-83703\" style=\"width: 597px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><a href=\"https:\/\/wp-media.patheos.com\/blogs\/sites\/186\/2020\/03\/iran_map-1.jpg\" class=\" decorated-link\" target=\"_blank\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\" wp-image-83703\" src=\"https:\/\/wp-media.patheos.com\/blogs\/sites\/186\/2020\/03\/iran_map-1.jpg\" alt=\"Persia in its modern form\" width=\"597\" height=\"536\"><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-83703\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">A public domain political map of Iran, from the Nations Online Project. \u00a0Uzbekistan appears only partially in the upper right hand corner of the map.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>I try not to do politics of any kind on the Sabbath, but some of you may have noticed that there have been some political developments recently in Iran and the surrounding region. \u00a0So I\u2019m back, briefly, to the Middle East:<\/p>\n<p>President Trump and others have been encouraging the Iranian people to take matters into their own hands, to overthrow the autocratic Islamic Republican regime and take this opportunity as a step toward freedom. \u00a0In fact, his goals for the current military campaign against Iran seem to <em>rely<\/em> upon the idea of popular uprising. \u00a0And it would indeed be wonderful if that could happen. \u00a0The Iranian people deserve much better than they\u2019ve had for the past half-century or so, and I know that many of them have desperately yearned for change.<\/p>\n<p>However, dissent in Iran was recently set back in a major way by the government\u2019s brutal repression: \u00a0I\u2019ve seen several estimates that, since the very end of last year, the regime has killed something on the order of 30,000 pro-democracy demonstrators. \u00a0Which means that the opposition has been significantly wounded, weakened, and reduced, and perhaps even that many of its most committed and courageous leaders have been killed or, at the least, imprisoned (where they\u2019re likely been tortured). \u00a0And there is no clear opposition leader \u2014 with the possible exception of Reza Pahlevi, the former Iranian crown prince (on whom, maybe a bit more tomorrow or the next day) \u2014 because any even remotely plausible in-country person around whom dissent might have coalesced has long since been eliminated.<\/p>\n<p>Moreover, with Ali Khamenei and many other leaders of the regime dead, and with Mr. Trump and others calling for the government\u2019s overthrow, the Islamist regime is fighting for its life. \u00a0Perhaps literally. \u00a0And that makes it quite likely that the opposition will be repressed with even greater ferocity than heretofore. \u00a0Further, whereas Iraq, for example, was a dictatorship completely focused on the egomaniacal Saddam Hussein, such that his toppling ended his regime, the Islamic Republic is far more bureaucratized and institutionalized. \u00a0The mere elimination of Ali Khamenei, though a serious blow, doesn\u2019t end the regime. \u00a0Anyway, he was 86 and ailing, and probably not much involved in the day-to-day decisions and operations of the state. \u00a0His departure was biologically imminent in any case. \u00a0More serious, probably, is the apparent elimination of many of the leaders of Iranian intelligence and the military, the heads of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps and the <em>Basij<\/em> militia, etc. \u00a0In fact, the loss of central control may explain some of the weirder aspects of the Iranian response (e.g., the missile and drone attacks on civilian targets in the United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia, and so forth): \u00a0The Iranians should have been trying to drive a wedge between the United States and the Gulf Arabs but, instead, these attacks have galvanized Arab hostility against an aspiring Shi\u2018ite Persian regional hegemon.<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<\/body><\/html>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u00a0 Episode 6 of our new Becoming Brigham series will go public tomorrow (Monday). \u00a0In the meantime, a thirty-second-long teaser for the new episode is already available for viewing online, and the previous five episodes \u2014 including the most recent \u2014 are readily accessible at becomingbrigham.com. And, in other film-related news, the Church of Jesus [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1019,"featured_media":83703,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[39694,864,4345,1561,39691,719],"class_list":["post-115099","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-beit-shemesh","tag-iran","tag-islamic-republic","tag-israel","tag-khamenei","tag-trump"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Thoughts on the Passing Scene<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"&nbsp; Episode 6 of our new Becoming Brigham series will go public tomorrow (Monday). \u00a0In the meantime, a thirty-second-long teaser for the new episode is\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/danpeterson\/2026\/03\/thoughts-on-the-passing-scene-2.html\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Thoughts on the Passing Scene\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"&nbsp; Episode 6 of our new Becoming Brigham series will go public tomorrow (Monday). \u00a0In the meantime, a thirty-second-long teaser for the new episode is\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/danpeterson\/2026\/03\/thoughts-on-the-passing-scene-2.html\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Sic et Non\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-03-02T00:47:11+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-03-02T00:58:36+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/wp-media.patheos.com\/blogs\/sites\/186\/2020\/03\/iran_map-1.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"768\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"690\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Dan Peterson\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Dan Peterson\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"6 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/danpeterson\/2026\/03\/thoughts-on-the-passing-scene-2.html\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/danpeterson\/2026\/03\/thoughts-on-the-passing-scene-2.html\",\"name\":\"Thoughts on the Passing Scene\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/danpeterson\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2026-03-02T00:47:11+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-03-02T00:58:36+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/danpeterson\/#\/schema\/person\/77113e9b09701bd1599fa272c4f65045\"},\"description\":\"&nbsp; 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