{"id":52384,"date":"2020-11-04T09:44:51","date_gmt":"2020-11-04T13:44:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/davearmstrong\/?p=52384"},"modified":"2020-11-04T12:42:00","modified_gmt":"2020-11-04T16:42:00","slug":"the-election-at-8-am-et-on-wednesday-11-4-20","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/davearmstrong\/2020\/11\/the-election-at-8-am-et-on-wednesday-11-4-20.html","title":{"rendered":"The Election at 8 AM ET on Wednesday, 11-4-20"},"content":{"rendered":"<!DOCTYPE html PUBLIC \"-\/\/W3C\/\/DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional\/\/EN\" \"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/TR\/REC-html40\/loose.dtd\">\n<html><head><meta http-equiv=\"content-type\" content=\"text\/html; charset=utf-8\"><meta http-equiv=\"content-type\" content=\"text\/html; charset=utf-8\"><\/head><body><div dir=\"auto\" style=\"text-align: center;\"><\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\" style=\"text-align: center;\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-52387\" src=\"https:\/\/wp-media.patheos.com\/blogs\/sites\/572\/2020\/11\/RepublicanDemocrat.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"kvgmc6g5 cxmmr5t8 oygrvhab hcukyx3x c1et5uql\">\n<div dir=\"auto\">\n<p>As of 8 AM and the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.politico.com\/news\/2020\/11\/03\/presidential-election-2020-433952\" class=\" decorated-link\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\">statistics at <em>Politico<\/em><\/a>, if we give Biden Wisconsin (very slight lead) and Trump Georgia, NC, and Alaska, it stands at Biden 248, Trump 247. Trump is ahead in PA, so if we give him that, he goes to 267. If Biden then gets Michigan (though Trump is very slightly ahead now, with a 0.5 lead, at 91% reporting, which was up 0.1 from the report at 90%), he is at 264. Nevada with its 6 votes would then determine the election.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"o9v6fnle cxmmr5t8 oygrvhab hcukyx3x c1et5uql\">\n<div dir=\"auto\">\n<p>Right now Nevada is Biden 49.2 and Trump 48.6 with 67% in. Only about 8000 votes separate them.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"o9v6fnle cxmmr5t8 oygrvhab hcukyx3x c1et5uql\">\n<div dir=\"auto\">\n<p>If Trump wins Michigan but not Pennsylvania, then he is at 263 and Biden would be 268. Then Biden would win if he got Nevada, but not Trump, who would be at 269. But it very well might be that Trump will get one more in Maine which sometimes (like Nebraska) splits its two electoral votes. That\u2019s where the remaining electoral vote is, because there are 538 total. Maine (like most states) is a GOP stronghold in its areas other than the coast \/ more urban areas.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"o9v6fnle cxmmr5t8 oygrvhab hcukyx3x c1et5uql\">\n<div dir=\"auto\">So, bottom line, Trump winning Pennsylvania + Nevada is his best bet. If either candidate wins PA and MI, they win. Trump may also still pull out a Wisconsin victory (it hasn\u2019t been called), because he is only 0.7 behind, with 5% of the votes left to count.<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">*<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"o9v6fnle cxmmr5t8 oygrvhab hcukyx3x c1et5uql\">\n<div dir=\"auto\">It\u2019s the closest election since 2000, and like JFK in 1960 as well. The Dems won the latter by cheating in Illinois, as is pretty well accepted by historians, I think. The GOP won in 2000, as determined by the Supreme Court after examining the crazy-close Florida vote, so of course that\u2019s not good enough for the Dems (not enough authority, I guess) and they still yelled \u201crigged\u201d for four years . . .<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"o9v6fnle cxmmr5t8 oygrvhab hcukyx3x c1et5uql\">\n<div dir=\"auto\">*<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">Meanwhile, the polls were wildly wrong in just about every battleground state except for Arizona. What else is new? The pollsters who got 2016 right (like Trafalgar) have explained why this is, but few listened. Nate Silver gave Trump 10% odds of winning.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">*<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\" style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">I also provided live updates last night at 10 PM, 12 midnight, and 1:30 AM ET:<\/span><\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">*<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\"><span style=\"color: #008000;\"><strong>10 PM:<\/strong><\/span><\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">\n<div class=\"o9v6fnle cxmmr5t8 oygrvhab hcukyx3x c1et5uql ii04i59q\">\n<div dir=\"auto\">\n<p>*<\/p>\n<p>We don\u2019t know much yet, but we know that Trump is 2.4% ahead in Florida, with 93% of precincts reporting, and the always heavily Republican panhandle probably not in yet. This is good news, because he barely won the state last time, and because of the implication that he has held senior citizen voters.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"o9v6fnle cxmmr5t8 oygrvhab hcukyx3x c1et5uql ii04i59q\">\n<div dir=\"auto\">\n<p>He also is 14 points higher in Miami-Dade County: presumably because of the Cuban vote. I think this bodes well for other close \/ battleground states. So far, CBSN, that I am watching (because I don\u2019t have cable TV) isn\u2019t calling many states: only the predictable ones. I think I have all the states right in my predictions so far: that have been called.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"o9v6fnle cxmmr5t8 oygrvhab hcukyx3x c1et5uql ii04i59q\">\n<div dir=\"auto\">Trump is 0.8 points ahead in N. Carolina with 86% in.<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">*<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"o9v6fnle cxmmr5t8 oygrvhab hcukyx3x c1et5uql ii04i59q\">\n<div dir=\"auto\">\n<p>Trump is 3.3 points ahead in Wisconsin with 52% in.What few indications we have so far favor Trump.<\/p>\n<div class=\"kvgmc6g5 cxmmr5t8 oygrvhab hcukyx3x c1et5uql\">\n<div dir=\"auto\">In the Senate, Graham is over 12 points ahead in S. Carolina, and projected to win. His opponent set an all-time record in spending against him, and it didn\u2019t matter.<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">*<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"o9v6fnle cxmmr5t8 oygrvhab hcukyx3x c1et5uql\">\n<div dir=\"auto\">Sen. Tillis is 1.1 ahead in N. Carolina, with 84% in. These two results, if they hold, suggest that the Republicans will keep control of the Senate.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"o9v6fnle cxmmr5t8 oygrvhab hcukyx3x c1et5uql\">\n<div dir=\"auto\">*<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">Sen. Ernst in Iowa was trending late, as was John James in Michigan.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>*<\/p>\n<p><strong><span style=\"color: #008000;\">12 Midnight:<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">\n<div class=\"o9v6fnle cxmmr5t8 oygrvhab hcukyx3x c1et5uql\">\n<div dir=\"auto\">\n<p>*<\/p>\n<p>Trump has won N. Carolina 50.1 to 48.7.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"o9v6fnle cxmmr5t8 oygrvhab hcukyx3x c1et5uql\">\n<div dir=\"auto\">\n<p>5.1 ahead in Wisconsin with 82% in. Great news!<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"o9v6fnle cxmmr5t8 oygrvhab hcukyx3x c1et5uql\">\n<div dir=\"auto\">Ahead by 5.7 in Iowa with 77% counted.<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">*<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"o9v6fnle cxmmr5t8 oygrvhab hcukyx3x c1et5uql\">\n<div dir=\"auto\">Won Ohio by 8.2 points with 96% in. Way better than the skewed polls predicted . . . We just drove through there twice. Trump signs were everywhere.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"o9v6fnle cxmmr5t8 oygrvhab hcukyx3x c1et5uql\">\n<div dir=\"auto\">*<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">Ahead by 5.4 in Texas with 77%.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"o9v6fnle cxmmr5t8 oygrvhab hcukyx3x c1et5uql\">\n<div dir=\"auto\">*<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">Arizona is the main (and almost only) bad news so far. Reince Priebus thinks it was called too soon by Fox.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"o9v6fnle cxmmr5t8 oygrvhab hcukyx3x c1et5uql\">\n<div dir=\"auto\">*<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">Senate:<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"o9v6fnle cxmmr5t8 oygrvhab hcukyx3x c1et5uql\">\n<div dir=\"auto\">*<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">Perdue way ahead in Georgia, Ernst 4.6 ahead in Iowa with 77%. Collins 10 points ahead in Maine, with 61%. Tillis won N. Carolina. That\u2019s already 49 GOP, if the three above hold.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"o9v6fnle cxmmr5t8 oygrvhab hcukyx3x c1et5uql\">\n<div dir=\"auto\">*<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">At least 2 GOP pickups in the House. No Dem pickups.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"o9v6fnle cxmmr5t8 oygrvhab hcukyx3x c1et5uql\">\n<div dir=\"auto\">*<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">These are all fabulous trends (minus Arizona) and it makes it look good for Pennsylvania and Michigan, which would put Trump over the top, I believe.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"o9v6fnle cxmmr5t8 oygrvhab hcukyx3x c1et5uql\">\n<div dir=\"auto\">*<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">And what does this show about the <em>polls<\/em>? Almost all of them had Biden ahead by 5-8 points in battleground states. Almost all dead wrong.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"o9v6fnle cxmmr5t8 oygrvhab hcukyx3x c1et5uql\">\n<div dir=\"auto\">\n<p>*<\/p>\n<p>I have only one state wrong so far (if Arizona holds for Biden).<\/p>\n<p><strong><span style=\"color: #008000;\">1:30 AM:<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">\n<div class=\"o9v6fnle cxmmr5t8 oygrvhab hcukyx3x c1et5uql\">\n<div dir=\"auto\">Ahead in Georgia by 5.7 with 92% counted.<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">*<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"o9v6fnle cxmmr5t8 oygrvhab hcukyx3x c1et5uql\">\n<div dir=\"auto\">Florida was won by 3.5 points.<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">*<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"o9v6fnle cxmmr5t8 oygrvhab hcukyx3x c1et5uql\">\n<div dir=\"auto\">Ahead by 9.2 in Michigan, but only 60% in, and no doubt much of Dem-dominated urban area vote to go.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"o9v6fnle cxmmr5t8 oygrvhab hcukyx3x c1et5uql\">\n<div dir=\"auto\">*<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">3.9 ahead in Wisconsin with 93% in.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"o9v6fnle cxmmr5t8 oygrvhab hcukyx3x c1et5uql\">\n<div dir=\"auto\">*<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">Ahead by 14.4% in Pennsylvania with 66% in. That\u2019s certainly a good place to be so far.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"o9v6fnle cxmmr5t8 oygrvhab hcukyx3x c1et5uql\">\n<div dir=\"auto\">*<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">Ahead in Iowa by 8 points (99% in).<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"o9v6fnle cxmmr5t8 oygrvhab hcukyx3x c1et5uql\">\n<div dir=\"auto\">*<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">Behind by 9 in Minnesota with 87%. I likely got Minnesota and Arizona wrong.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"o9v6fnle cxmmr5t8 oygrvhab hcukyx3x c1et5uql\">\n<div dir=\"auto\">*<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">Looking at my electoral predictions, if I give Biden Arizona, Minnesota, and Michigan (which I would then get wrong), it\u2019s Biden 254 and Trump 284. This has Trump winning Wisconsin (where he\u2019s looking real good). But we see that if Trump loses Pennsylvania, he goes to 264 and Biden gets to 274 and wins.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"o9v6fnle cxmmr5t8 oygrvhab hcukyx3x c1et5uql\">\n<div dir=\"auto\">*<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">On the other hand, if we give Biden Arizona, Minnesota, and Pennsylvania, it\u2019s Biden 258 and Trump 280, with Trump winning if he takes Michigan. But if he loses Michigan, he goes to 264 and Biden wins with 274.<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">*<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"o9v6fnle cxmmr5t8 oygrvhab hcukyx3x c1et5uql\">\n<div dir=\"auto\">Therefore, it looks like it literally comes down to either Michigan or Pennsylvania. Trump can win if he takes either state, + Wisconsin. I would say Pennsylvania is more likely and that Biden forfeited the state when he talked about phasing out oil in the second TV debate with Trump. Thanks, Joe! If you lose by losing that state, I think this reason will be talked about forever. It\u2019s the equivalent of Hillary\u2019s \u201cdeplorable\u201d comment.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"o9v6fnle cxmmr5t8 oygrvhab hcukyx3x c1et5uql\">\n<div dir=\"auto\">*<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">Sen. Ernst won in Iowa, Collins looks pretty good in Maine.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"o9v6fnle cxmmr5t8 oygrvhab hcukyx3x c1et5uql\">\n<div dir=\"auto\">*<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">GOP picked up one governorship in Montana, giving them 27-23 if everything holds.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"o9v6fnle cxmmr5t8 oygrvhab hcukyx3x c1et5uql\">\n<div dir=\"auto\">*<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">George Stephanopolous has conceded that it is looking like a \u201creplay\u201d of 2016. There you have it!<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"o9v6fnle cxmmr5t8 oygrvhab hcukyx3x c1et5uql\">\n<div dir=\"auto\">*<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">Things are looking very good, folks, and I think it is much more than a 50% chance that Trump will win, but it won\u2019t be decided tonight and I\u2019m goin\u2019 to bed!<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">*<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\"><strong><span style=\"color: #008000;\">Wednesday, Nov. 4th, 11:30 AM ET:<\/span><\/strong><\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">*<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">\n<div class=\"kvgmc6g5 cxmmr5t8 oygrvhab hcukyx3x c1et5uql\">\n<div dir=\"auto\">Biden is now pulling ahead in Michigan and Wisconsin (ahead by 0.7 and 0.6), and they are saying that the remaining vote in WI, MI, and PA is largely urban.<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">*<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"o9v6fnle cxmmr5t8 oygrvhab hcukyx3x c1et5uql\">\n<div dir=\"auto\">Assuming Biden wins Michigan and Wisconsin, Trump\u2019s only hope (as I have noted as one scenario) is to win Pennsylvania + Nevada. He is currently 0.6 behind in Nevada, with 67% reported.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"o9v6fnle cxmmr5t8 oygrvhab hcukyx3x c1et5uql\">\n<div dir=\"auto\">*<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">All we can do at this point (besides pray) is hope that the good people of Pennsylvania (where my wife\u2019s father came from) will understand (particularly) that Biden will ruin the oil industry in their state if he has his way.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"o9v6fnle cxmmr5t8 oygrvhab hcukyx3x c1et5uql\">\n<div dir=\"auto\">*<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">If they don\u2019t vote Trump (along with Nevada), then our solace would be that it looks like the GOP will keep control of the Senate, meaning that a Biden squeak-through victory can scarcely be considered a <em>mandate<\/em>.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"o9v6fnle cxmmr5t8 oygrvhab hcukyx3x c1et5uql\">\n<div dir=\"auto\">*<br>\nIn Michigan, Republican John James is ahead in the Senate race by 0.4%, with 96% counted.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"o9v6fnle cxmmr5t8 oygrvhab hcukyx3x c1et5uql\">\n<div dir=\"auto\">*<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">The Senate would be the bulwark against the judicial radicalism of packing the Supreme Court and ramming through other far left judges, as well as preventing radical \/ socialist Biden legislation like the abominable, ridiculous Green New Deal, and the elimination of the filibuster, electoral college, adding two new (liberal states), etc. (all of which the Dems have seriously threatened to do in their temper tantrum after Justice Barrett was appointed and confirmed). It\u2019s the genius of checks and balances.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"o9v6fnle cxmmr5t8 oygrvhab hcukyx3x c1et5uql\">\n<div dir=\"auto\">*<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">Then once the American people see what a radical socialist Biharrisen administration (run behind the scenes by Sanders and AOC) does, they will quite possibly come to their senses and give the GOP control of the House in 2022, just as happened in 1994 after Bill Clinton, and <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/2010_United_States_elections\" class=\" decorated-link\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\">in 2010 after Obama\u2019s election<\/a>:<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"o9v6fnle cxmmr5t8 oygrvhab hcukyx3x c1et5uql\">\n<div dir=\"auto\">*<\/div>\n<blockquote>\n<div dir=\"auto\">The 2010 United States elections were held on Tuesday, November 2, 2010, in the middle of Democratic President Barack Obama\u2019s first term. Republicans ended unified Democratic control of Congress and the presidency by winning a majority in the House of Representatives.<\/div>\n<\/blockquote>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"o9v6fnle cxmmr5t8 oygrvhab hcukyx3x c1et5uql\">\n<blockquote>\n<div dir=\"auto\">*<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">Republicans gained seven seats in the Senate (including a special election held in January 2010) but failed to gain a majority in the chamber. In the House of Representatives, Republicans won a net gain of 63 seats, the largest shift in seats since the 1948 elections. In state elections, Republicans won a net gain of six gubernatorial seats and flipped control of twenty state legislative chambers, . . .<\/div>\n<\/blockquote>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"o9v6fnle cxmmr5t8 oygrvhab hcukyx3x c1et5uql\">\n<div dir=\"auto\">*<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"o9v6fnle cxmmr5t8 oygrvhab hcukyx3x c1et5uql\">\n<div dir=\"auto\">That\u2019s America waking up after going too far left and seeing the inevitable harmful results of that. Unfortunately, they also <em>re-elected<\/em> both men (fickle!), but what can you do?<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">*<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">\n<div class=\"o9v6fnle cxmmr5t8 oygrvhab hcukyx3x c1et5uql\">\n<div dir=\"auto\">***<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">*<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\"><strong><span style=\"color: #008000;\">Photo credit:<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0<a class=\"hover_opacity decorated-link\" href=\"https:\/\/pixabay.com\/users\/chayka1270-5469348\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\">chayka1270<\/a>\u00a0<span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">(9-29-17)<\/span> [<a href=\"https:\/\/pixabay.com\/illustrations\/elephant-donkey-ass-logo-2798628\/\" class=\" decorated-link\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\">Pixabay<\/a> \/\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/pixabay.com\/service\/license\/\" class=\" decorated-link\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\">Pixabay License<\/a>]<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">*<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">***<\/div>\n<\/body><\/html>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>As of 8 AM and the statistics at Politico, if we give Biden Wisconsin (very slight lead) and Trump Georgia, NC, and Alaska, it stands at Biden 248, Trump 247. Trump is ahead in PA, so if we give him that, he goes to 267. If Biden then gets Michigan (though Trump is very slightly [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2331,"featured_media":52387,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[289],"tags":[11555,11549,11552,2769,2776,12236,1826,10858,11558,12233,11564,11567,8630],"class_list":["post-52384","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-political-ethical-moral-issues","tag-2020-election","tag-2020-presidential-campaign","tag-2020-presidential-election","tag-american-politics","tag-american-presidential-election","tag-biden-wins","tag-donald-trump","tag-joe-biden","tag-november-2020","tag-the-election","tag-trump-wins","tag-trumps-re-election","tag-voting"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>The Election at 8 AM ET on Wednesday, 11-4-20 The Election at 8 AM ET on Wednesday, 11-4-20<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"As of 8 AM and the statistics at Politico, if we give Biden Wisconsin (very slight lead) and Trump Georgia, NC, and Alaska, it stands at Biden 248, Trump My commentary on the 2020 election, with analysis of the stats at 8 AM Wed. morning, &amp; collection of my live updates at 10, 12, and 1:30 on election night. We still have no winner yet.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/davearmstrong\/2020\/11\/the-election-at-8-am-et-on-wednesday-11-4-20.html\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The Election at 8 AM ET on Wednesday, 11-4-20 The Election at 8 AM ET on Wednesday, 11-4-20\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"As of 8 AM and the statistics at Politico, if we give Biden Wisconsin (very slight lead) and Trump Georgia, NC, and Alaska, it stands at Biden 248, Trump My commentary on the 2020 election, with analysis of the stats at 8 AM Wed. morning, &amp; collection of my live updates at 10, 12, and 1:30 on election night. We still have no winner yet.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/davearmstrong\/2020\/11\/the-election-at-8-am-et-on-wednesday-11-4-20.html\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Biblical Evidence for Catholicism\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:author\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/dave.armstrong.798\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2020-11-04T13:44:51+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2020-11-04T16:42:00+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/wp-media.patheos.com\/blogs\/sites\/572\/2020\/11\/RepublicanDemocrat.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"640\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"360\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Dave Armstrong\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Dave Armstrong\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"7 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/davearmstrong\/2020\/11\/the-election-at-8-am-et-on-wednesday-11-4-20.html\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/davearmstrong\/2020\/11\/the-election-at-8-am-et-on-wednesday-11-4-20.html\",\"name\":\"The Election at 8 AM ET on Wednesday, 11-4-20 The Election at 8 AM ET on Wednesday, 11-4-20\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/davearmstrong\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2020-11-04T13:44:51+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2020-11-04T16:42:00+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/davearmstrong\/#\/schema\/person\/471eaa20e441eca4bb1ea50393cf632e\"},\"description\":\"As of 8 AM and the statistics at Politico, if we give Biden Wisconsin (very slight lead) and Trump Georgia, NC, and Alaska, it stands at Biden 248, Trump My commentary on the 2020 election, with analysis of the stats at 8 AM Wed. morning, & collection of my live updates at 10, 12, and 1:30 on election night. We still have no winner yet.\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/davearmstrong\/2020\/11\/the-election-at-8-am-et-on-wednesday-11-4-20.html#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/davearmstrong\/2020\/11\/the-election-at-8-am-et-on-wednesday-11-4-20.html\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/davearmstrong\/2020\/11\/the-election-at-8-am-et-on-wednesday-11-4-20.html#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/davearmstrong\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"The Election at 8 AM ET on Wednesday, 11-4-20\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/davearmstrong\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/davearmstrong\/\",\"name\":\"Biblical Evidence for Catholicism\",\"description\":\"Catholic biblical apologetics\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/davearmstrong\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":\"required name=search_term_string\"}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/davearmstrong\/#\/schema\/person\/471eaa20e441eca4bb1ea50393cf632e\",\"name\":\"Dave Armstrong\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/davearmstrong\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/820e6db89734ae7a9e5dac8d498f5ac7?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/820e6db89734ae7a9e5dac8d498f5ac7?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"caption\":\"Dave Armstrong\"},\"description\":\"Dave Armstrong is a Catholic author and apologist, who has been actively proclaiming and defending Christianity since 1981, and Catholicism in particular since 1991 (full-time since December 2001). Formerly a campus missionary, as a Protestant, Dave was received into the Catholic Church in February 1991, by the late, well-known catechist and theologian, Fr. John A. Hardon, S. J. Dave\u2019s articles have appeared in many influential Catholic periodicals, including \\\"This Rock\\\" (now called \\\"Catholic Answers Magazine\\\"), \\\"Envoy Magazine\\\" (Patrick Madrid), \\\"The Catholic Answer,\\\" \\\"The Coming Home Journal,\\\" \\\"Gilbert Magazine\\\" (American Chesterton Society), and \\\"The Latin Mass.\\\" He also writes a featured column for every issue of \\\"The Michigan Catholic\\\": published by the archdiocese of Detroit, and was editor for most of the apologetics tracts published by the St. Paul Street Evangelization apostolate. Dave\u2019s apologetics and writing apostolate was the subject of a feature article in the May 2002 issue of \\\"Envoy Magazine.\\\" He served as the staff moderator at the Internet discussion forum for The Coming Home Network, from 2007-2010. Dave has been interviewed on many nationally syndicated Catholic radio shows, including \\\"Catholic Answers Live\\\" (twice), \\\"Faith and Family Live\\\" (Steve Wood), \\\"Kresta in the Afternoon,\\\" \\\"Son Rise Morning Show,\\\" \\\"Catholic Connection\\\" (Teresa Tomeo), and \\\"The Catholics Next Door.\\\" His large and popular website, \\\"Biblical Evidence for Catholicism,\\\" was online from March 1997 to March 2007, and received the 1998 Catholic Website of the Year award from \\\"Envoy Magazine.\\\" His blog of the same name (now transferred to Patheos), begun in February 2004, contains more than 1,500 papers, at least 500 debates or dialogues, and over 50 distinct \\\"index\\\" web pages. Unsolicited correspondence has indicated many hundreds of conversions (or returns) to the Catholic faith as a result, by God's grace, of these writings. Dave's conversion story was published in the bestselling book \\\"Surprised by Truth\\\" (edited by Patrick Madrid; San Diego: Basilica Press, 1994). Sophia Institute Press has published six of his books: \\\"A Biblical Defense of Catholicism\\\" (Foreword by Fr. John A. Hardon, S. J., 1996 \/ 2003), \\\"The Catholic Verses\\\" (2004), \\\"The One-Minute Apologist\\\" (2007), \\\"Bible Proofs for Catholic Truths\\\" (2009), \\\"The Quotable Newman\\\" (editor: 2012), and \\\"Proving the Catholic Faith is Biblical\\\" (2015). He is co-author (with Dr. Paul Thigpen) of the inserts for \\\"The New Catholic Answer Bible\\\" (Our Sunday Visitor: 2005), and editor for \\\"The Wisdom of Mr. Chesterton: The Very Best Quotes, Quips, and Cracks from the Pen of G. K. Chesterton\\\" (Saint Benedict Press \/ TAN Books: 2009). \\\"100 Biblical Arguments Against Sola Scriptura\\\" was published by Catholic Answers in May 2012. His \\\"Quotable Wesley\\\" compilation was published by (Protestant \/ Wesleyan publisher) Beacon Hill Press in April 2014. Several of his 49 books are bestsellers in their field. Dave maintains a popular personal Facebook page, a Facebook author page, and has a Twitter account as well. He offers almost all of his books in e-book form on his own Biblical Catholicism site (http:\/\/biblicalcatholicism.com\/), at a permanent deep discount: only $2.99 for ePub, mobi, and AZW, and $1.99 for PDF. His writing has been enthusiastically endorsed or recommended by many leading Catholic apologists, authors, and priests, including Dr. Scott Hahn, Fr. Peter M. J. Stravinskas, Marcus Grodi, Patrick Madrid, Steve Ray, Tim Staples, Devin Rose, Mike Aquilina, Al Kresta, Karl Keating, Fr. Dwight Longenecker, Brandon Vogt, Marcellino D'Ambrosio, and Fr. John A. Hardon, S. J. Dave has been happily married to his wife Judy since October 1984. They have three sons and a daughter, and reside in southeast Michigan (metro Detroit).\",\"sameAs\":[\"https:\/\/biblicalcatholicism.com\/\",\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/dave.armstrong.798\",\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/@LuxVeritatisApologetics\"],\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/davearmstrong\/author\/davearmstrong\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"The Election at 8 AM ET on Wednesday, 11-4-20 The Election at 8 AM ET on Wednesday, 11-4-20","description":"As of 8 AM and the statistics at Politico, if we give Biden Wisconsin (very slight lead) and Trump Georgia, NC, and Alaska, it stands at Biden 248, Trump My commentary on the 2020 election, with analysis of the stats at 8 AM Wed. morning, & collection of my live updates at 10, 12, and 1:30 on election night. We still have no winner yet.","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/davearmstrong\/2020\/11\/the-election-at-8-am-et-on-wednesday-11-4-20.html","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"The Election at 8 AM ET on Wednesday, 11-4-20 The Election at 8 AM ET on Wednesday, 11-4-20","og_description":"As of 8 AM and the statistics at Politico, if we give Biden Wisconsin (very slight lead) and Trump Georgia, NC, and Alaska, it stands at Biden 248, Trump My commentary on the 2020 election, with analysis of the stats at 8 AM Wed. morning, & collection of my live updates at 10, 12, and 1:30 on election night. We still have no winner yet.","og_url":"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/davearmstrong\/2020\/11\/the-election-at-8-am-et-on-wednesday-11-4-20.html","og_site_name":"Biblical Evidence for Catholicism","article_author":"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/dave.armstrong.798","article_published_time":"2020-11-04T13:44:51+00:00","article_modified_time":"2020-11-04T16:42:00+00:00","og_image":[{"width":640,"height":360,"url":"https:\/\/wp-media.patheos.com\/blogs\/sites\/572\/2020\/11\/RepublicanDemocrat.jpg","type":"image\/jpeg"}],"author":"Dave Armstrong","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"Dave Armstrong","Est. reading time":"7 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/davearmstrong\/2020\/11\/the-election-at-8-am-et-on-wednesday-11-4-20.html","url":"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/davearmstrong\/2020\/11\/the-election-at-8-am-et-on-wednesday-11-4-20.html","name":"The Election at 8 AM ET on Wednesday, 11-4-20 The Election at 8 AM ET on Wednesday, 11-4-20","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/davearmstrong\/#website"},"datePublished":"2020-11-04T13:44:51+00:00","dateModified":"2020-11-04T16:42:00+00:00","author":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/davearmstrong\/#\/schema\/person\/471eaa20e441eca4bb1ea50393cf632e"},"description":"As of 8 AM and the statistics at Politico, if we give Biden Wisconsin (very slight lead) and Trump Georgia, NC, and Alaska, it stands at Biden 248, Trump My commentary on the 2020 election, with analysis of the stats at 8 AM Wed. morning, & collection of my live updates at 10, 12, and 1:30 on election night. We still have no winner yet.","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/davearmstrong\/2020\/11\/the-election-at-8-am-et-on-wednesday-11-4-20.html#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/davearmstrong\/2020\/11\/the-election-at-8-am-et-on-wednesday-11-4-20.html"]}]},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/davearmstrong\/2020\/11\/the-election-at-8-am-et-on-wednesday-11-4-20.html#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/davearmstrong"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"The Election at 8 AM ET on Wednesday, 11-4-20"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/davearmstrong\/#website","url":"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/davearmstrong\/","name":"Biblical Evidence for Catholicism","description":"Catholic biblical apologetics","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/davearmstrong\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":"required name=search_term_string"}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/davearmstrong\/#\/schema\/person\/471eaa20e441eca4bb1ea50393cf632e","name":"Dave Armstrong","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/davearmstrong\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/820e6db89734ae7a9e5dac8d498f5ac7?s=96&d=mm&r=g","contentUrl":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/820e6db89734ae7a9e5dac8d498f5ac7?s=96&d=mm&r=g","caption":"Dave Armstrong"},"description":"Dave Armstrong is a Catholic author and apologist, who has been actively proclaiming and defending Christianity since 1981, and Catholicism in particular since 1991 (full-time since December 2001). Formerly a campus missionary, as a Protestant, Dave was received into the Catholic Church in February 1991, by the late, well-known catechist and theologian, Fr. John A. Hardon, S. J. Dave\u2019s articles have appeared in many influential Catholic periodicals, including \"This Rock\" (now called \"Catholic Answers Magazine\"), \"Envoy Magazine\" (Patrick Madrid), \"The Catholic Answer,\" \"The Coming Home Journal,\" \"Gilbert Magazine\" (American Chesterton Society), and \"The Latin Mass.\" He also writes a featured column for every issue of \"The Michigan Catholic\": published by the archdiocese of Detroit, and was editor for most of the apologetics tracts published by the St. Paul Street Evangelization apostolate. Dave\u2019s apologetics and writing apostolate was the subject of a feature article in the May 2002 issue of \"Envoy Magazine.\" He served as the staff moderator at the Internet discussion forum for The Coming Home Network, from 2007-2010. Dave has been interviewed on many nationally syndicated Catholic radio shows, including \"Catholic Answers Live\" (twice), \"Faith and Family Live\" (Steve Wood), \"Kresta in the Afternoon,\" \"Son Rise Morning Show,\" \"Catholic Connection\" (Teresa Tomeo), and \"The Catholics Next Door.\" His large and popular website, \"Biblical Evidence for Catholicism,\" was online from March 1997 to March 2007, and received the 1998 Catholic Website of the Year award from \"Envoy Magazine.\" His blog of the same name (now transferred to Patheos), begun in February 2004, contains more than 1,500 papers, at least 500 debates or dialogues, and over 50 distinct \"index\" web pages. Unsolicited correspondence has indicated many hundreds of conversions (or returns) to the Catholic faith as a result, by God's grace, of these writings. Dave's conversion story was published in the bestselling book \"Surprised by Truth\" (edited by Patrick Madrid; San Diego: Basilica Press, 1994). Sophia Institute Press has published six of his books: \"A Biblical Defense of Catholicism\" (Foreword by Fr. John A. Hardon, S. J., 1996 \/ 2003), \"The Catholic Verses\" (2004), \"The One-Minute Apologist\" (2007), \"Bible Proofs for Catholic Truths\" (2009), \"The Quotable Newman\" (editor: 2012), and \"Proving the Catholic Faith is Biblical\" (2015). He is co-author (with Dr. Paul Thigpen) of the inserts for \"The New Catholic Answer Bible\" (Our Sunday Visitor: 2005), and editor for \"The Wisdom of Mr. Chesterton: The Very Best Quotes, Quips, and Cracks from the Pen of G. K. Chesterton\" (Saint Benedict Press \/ TAN Books: 2009). \"100 Biblical Arguments Against Sola Scriptura\" was published by Catholic Answers in May 2012. His \"Quotable Wesley\" compilation was published by (Protestant \/ Wesleyan publisher) Beacon Hill Press in April 2014. Several of his 49 books are bestsellers in their field. Dave maintains a popular personal Facebook page, a Facebook author page, and has a Twitter account as well. He offers almost all of his books in e-book form on his own Biblical Catholicism site (http:\/\/biblicalcatholicism.com\/), at a permanent deep discount: only $2.99 for ePub, mobi, and AZW, and $1.99 for PDF. His writing has been enthusiastically endorsed or recommended by many leading Catholic apologists, authors, and priests, including Dr. Scott Hahn, Fr. Peter M. J. Stravinskas, Marcus Grodi, Patrick Madrid, Steve Ray, Tim Staples, Devin Rose, Mike Aquilina, Al Kresta, Karl Keating, Fr. Dwight Longenecker, Brandon Vogt, Marcellino D'Ambrosio, and Fr. John A. Hardon, S. J. Dave has been happily married to his wife Judy since October 1984. 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