1.0Cranachhttps://www.patheos.com/blogs/geneveithGene Veithhttps://www.patheos.com/blogs/geneveith/author/geneveith/On the Wrongness of Pollsrich600338<blockquote class="wp-embedded-content" data-secret="SaP1vSLQQt"><a href="https://www.patheos.com/blogs/geneveith/2020/11/on-the-wrongness-of-polls/">On the Wrongness of Polls</a></blockquote><iframe sandbox="allow-scripts" security="restricted" src="https://www.patheos.com/blogs/geneveith/2020/11/on-the-wrongness-of-polls/embed/#?secret=SaP1vSLQQt" width="600" height="338" title="“On the Wrongness of Polls” — Cranach" data-secret="SaP1vSLQQt" frameborder="0" marginwidth="0" marginheight="0" scrolling="no" class="wp-embedded-content"></iframe><script type="text/javascript">
/* <![CDATA[ */
/*! This file is auto-generated */
!function(d,l){"use strict";l.querySelector&&d.addEventListener&&"undefined"!=typeof URL&&(d.wp=d.wp||{},d.wp.receiveEmbedMessage||(d.wp.receiveEmbedMessage=function(e){var t=e.data;if((t||t.secret||t.message||t.value)&&!/[^a-zA-Z0-9]/.test(t.secret)){for(var s,r,n,a=l.querySelectorAll('iframe[data-secret="'+t.secret+'"]'),o=l.querySelectorAll('blockquote[data-secret="'+t.secret+'"]'),c=new RegExp("^https?:$","i"),i=0;i<o.length;i++)o[i].style.display="none";for(i=0;i<a.length;i++)s=a[i],e.source===s.contentWindow&&(s.removeAttribute("style"),"height"===t.message?(1e3<(r=parseInt(t.value,10))?r=1e3:~~r<200&&(r=200),s.height=r):"link"===t.message&&(r=new URL(s.getAttribute("src")),n=new URL(t.value),c.test(n.protocol))&&n.host===r.host&&l.activeElement===s&&(d.top.location.href=t.value))}},d.addEventListener("message",d.wp.receiveEmbedMessage,!1),l.addEventListener("DOMContentLoaded",function(){for(var e,t,s=l.querySelectorAll("iframe.wp-embedded-content"),r=0;r<s.length;r++)(t=(e=s[r]).getAttribute("data-secret"))||(t=Math.random().toString(36).substring(2,12),e.src+="#?secret="+t,e.setAttribute("data-secret",t)),e.contentWindow.postMessage({message:"ready",secret:t},"*")},!1)))}(window,document);
/* ]]> */
</script>
https://wp-media.patheos.com/blogs/sites/305/2020/11/experience-3239623_1280.jpg768501Once again, the polls were spectacularly wrong in predicting the recent election. Perhaps the problem is not "shy" conservatives, but the large number of "declined to respond." The limits of survey instruments cast doubt on the social sciences more broadly.