{"id":72566,"date":"2024-03-08T06:00:24","date_gmt":"2024-03-08T11:00:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/geneveith\/?p=72566"},"modified":"2024-03-06T13:11:37","modified_gmt":"2024-03-06T18:11:37","slug":"the-man-who-predicted-our-technology-and-its-impact","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/geneveith\/2024\/03\/the-man-who-predicted-our-technology-and-its-impact\/","title":{"rendered":"The Man Who Predicted Our Technology and Its Impact"},"content":{"rendered":"<!DOCTYPE html PUBLIC \"-\/\/W3C\/\/DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional\/\/EN\" \"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/TR\/REC-html40\/loose.dtd\">\n<html><head><meta http-equiv=\"content-type\" content=\"text\/html; charset=utf-8\"><meta http-equiv=\"content-type\" content=\"text\/html; charset=utf-8\"><\/head><body><p style=\"text-align: center;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/wp-media.patheos.com\/blogs\/sites\/305\/2024\/03\/Marshall_McLuhan_with_and_on_television_cropped-scaled.jpg\" class=\" decorated-link\" target=\"_blank\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-72605\" src=\"https:\/\/wp-media.patheos.com\/blogs\/sites\/305\/2024\/03\/Marshall_McLuhan_with_and_on_television_cropped-scaled.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"454\" height=\"768\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Here at the Cranach blog we like to not only predict things but check our predictions, as in our New Year\u2019s custom.\u00a0 The contrarian site <em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.thefp.com\/\" class=\" decorated-link\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\">The Free Press<\/a>\u00a0<\/em>has started a custom of its own by highlighting every week a \u201cprophet\u201d whose predictions have come true.\u00a0 It starts off with a fascinating article by Benjamin Carlson on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.thefp.com\/p\/the-prophets-marshall-mcluhan\" class=\" decorated-link\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\">Marshall McLuhan<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>As I remember well, back in the Sixties, <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Marshall_McLuhan\" class=\" decorated-link\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\">McLuhan<\/a> (1911-1980) became one of those \u201cnew thinkers\u201d who created the impression that this is the dawning of the Age of Aquarius.\u00a0 His analysis of \u201cmedia,\u201d in particular the emergent electronic media, was so \u201cmind-blowing\u201d it was nearly psychedelic.\u00a0 It heralded a utopian future of a \u201cglobal village\u201d in which all humanity is connected, thanks to technology.<\/p>\n<div id=\"premium-content\">\n<p>Never mind that McLuhan, a Canadian who taught for awhile at St. Louis University, was a devout conservative Catholic who wrote his dissertation on the <a href=\"https:\/\/amzn.to\/4c2ql9W\" class=\" decorated-link\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\">Classical Trivium<\/a> (available at the link) and decried many of the changes he saw coming.<\/p>\n<p>I\u2019d like to show you some of the passages that Carlson discusses.\u00a0 Keep in mind that when McLuhan analyzed electronic media he was mainly thinking of television and the telephone.\u00a0 He died in 1980, long before the internet and artificial intelligence were gleams in anyone\u2019s eye.\u00a0 And yet he was saying things like this, from a television interview:<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p data-substack-content=\"\">Everybody has become porous. They\u2019ve got the light and the messages go right through us. By the way, at this moment we are on the air, and on the air we do not have any physical body. When you\u2019re on the telephone, or on radio, or on TV, you don\u2019t have a physical body. You\u2019re just an image on the air. When you don\u2019t have a physical body you\u2019re a discarnate being. You have a very different relation to the world around you. And this, I think, has been one of the big effects of the electric age. It has deprived people, really, of their private identity. Everybody tends to merge his identity with other people at the speed of light. It\u2019s called being mass man.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p data-substack-content=\"\">And now we have social media, virtual reality, and avatars!\u00a0 No wonder people are confused about their identity!\u00a0 No wonder the body doesn\u2019t matter anymore for the transgendered, those for whom pornography replaces sex, and the spiritual-but-not-religious!<\/p>\n<p data-substack-content=\"\">He also said this, underscoring that the \u201cglobal village,\u201d a term he coined, is not necessarily going to be a happy place:<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p data-substack-content=\"\">Global village is not created by the motor car or even by the airplane. It\u2019s created by instant electronic information movement. The global village is at once as wide as the planet and as small as a little town where everybody is maliciously engaged and poking his nose into everybody else\u2019s business. The global village is a world in which you don\u2019t necessarily have harmony. You have extreme concern with everybody else\u2019s business. And much involvement in everybody else\u2019s life.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p data-substack-content=\"\">Is there a better description of Facebook, Twitter [a.k.a., X], Instagram, TikTok, and the social media world in general?<\/p>\n<p data-substack-content=\"\">And this, from his ground-breaking book <a href=\"https:\/\/amzn.to\/437DudV\" class=\" decorated-link\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\">Understanding Media<\/a>:<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p data-substack-content=\"\">Today, after more than a century of electric technology, we have extended our central nervous system itself in a global embrace, abolishing both space and time as far as our planet is concerned. Rapidly, we approach the final phase of the extensions of man\u2014the technological simulation of consciousness, when the creative process of knowing will be collectively and corporately extended to the whole of human society, much as we have already extended our senses and our nerves by the various media.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p data-substack-content=\"\">This was first published in <em>1964<\/em>!\u00a0 Sixty years ago, thirty years before the worldwide web, McLuhan foresaw \u201cthe final phase of the extensions of man\u201d (cf. the singularity): \u201cthe technological simulation of consciousness.\u201d\u00a0 That is to say, Artificial Intelligence (which McLuhan is careful to say is not consciousness but the \u201csimulation of consciousness.\u201d)<\/p>\n<p data-substack-content=\"\">Carlson summarizes other prescient sections of <a href=\"https:\/\/amzn.to\/48GqwoA\" class=\" decorated-link\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\">Understanding Media<\/a>:<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p data-substack-content=\"\">In Chapter 32, \u201cWeapons: War of the Icons,\u201d he anticipates a form of meme warfare, where a battle of information and images take the place of most \u201chot\u201d wars.<\/p>\n<p data-substack-content=\"\">And in the last chapter, \u201cAutomation: Learning a Living,\u201dhe foresees that in a time of automation, \u201cit is not only jobs that disappear, and complex roles that reappear,\u201d but also whole specialized fields in education that vanish. The result, he writes with uncanny prescience, is a blending of work and leisure, the globalization of manufacturing, the monetization of information, a rise in self-employment, and a necessity to repeatedly retrain for skills in a career.<\/p>\n<p data-substack-content=\"\">\u201cIt is a principal aspect of the electric age that it establishes a global network that has much of the character of our central nervous system,\u201d he writes, thereby \u201cenabling us to\u00a0<em>react to the world as a whole.<\/em>\u201d<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p data-substack-content=\"\">That last part has me worried lest this be a prediction with a fulfillment yet to come.\u00a0 A central nervous system also has a controlling <em>brain<\/em>.<\/p>\n<p data-substack-content=\"\">The global village in many ways, McLuhan suggested, will involve a reversion to a pre-literate culture and thus to different kinds of primitivism.\u00a0 So will the global village that is the entire world connected into a central nervous system of electronic media be ruled by a global monarch?\u00a0 Or an authoritarian technological collective that controls the world and does everyone\u2019s thinking for them?<\/p>\n<p data-substack-content=\"\"><em>Photo by Gotfryd, Bernard, photographer \u2013 Marshall McLuhan, half-length portrait, standing, leaning on television set on which his image appears, Public Domain, https:\/\/commons.wikimedia.org\/w\/index.php?curid=119903792<\/em><\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p data-substack-content=\"\">\n<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<\/div>\n<\/body><\/html>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Sixty years ago, thirty years before the worldwide web, Marshall McLuhan not only anticipated the internet, social media, artificial intelligence, and other technologies, he predicted the impact they would have and the problems they would create.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1281,"featured_media":72605,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12,20,29,44],"tags":[14450,7336,1101,1383,3988,1778],"class_list":["post-72566","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-culture","category-history","category-media","category-technology","tag-electronic-media","tag-impact-of-technology","tag-internet","tag-marshall-mcluhan","tag-media-studies","tag-predictions"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>The Man Who Predicted Our Technology and Its Impact<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Sixty years ago, thirty years before the worldwide web, Marshall McLuhan not only anticipated the internet, social media, artificial intelligence, and other technologies, he predicted the 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