{"id":11166,"date":"2018-09-30T15:20:58","date_gmt":"2018-09-30T21:20:58","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/admin.patheos.com\/blogs\/janetheactuary\/?p=11166"},"modified":"2018-10-04T15:58:10","modified_gmt":"2018-10-04T21:58:10","slug":"kavanaugh-ford-and-things-that-can-both-be-true","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/janetheactuary\/2018\/09\/kavanaugh-ford-and-things-that-can-both-be-true.html","title":{"rendered":"Kavanaugh, Ford, and Things That Can Both Be True"},"content":{"rendered":"<!DOCTYPE html PUBLIC \"-\/\/W3C\/\/DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional\/\/EN\" \"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/TR\/REC-html40\/loose.dtd\">\n<html><head><meta http-equiv=\"content-type\" content=\"text\/html; charset=utf-8\"><meta http-equiv=\"content-type\" content=\"text\/html; charset=utf-8\"><\/head><body><p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-11070\" src=\"https:\/\/wp-media.patheos.com\/blogs\/sites\/533\/2018\/09\/Judge_Brett_Michael_Kavanaugh.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"465\" height=\"333\"><\/p>\n<p>With apologies for the lack of citations, here is a list of things that can simultaneously be true, notwithstanding claims in the media to the contrary:<\/p>\n<p><em>Kavanaugh can be guilty of one or more of these acts AND the Democratic Senate leadership can be abusing the process.\u00a0\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Yes, the Democrats are, from all appearances, acting in bad faith.\u00a0 The opposed Kavanaugh from the start, and many of them have professed opposition to any individual Trump would nominate.\u00a0 In some cases, one might say that they declared their opposition while being simultaneously aware that their vote would be in the minority, but in other cases, there are statements on record that suggest an intention, from the start, to do whatever is possible to delay the seating of a nominee until after the midterm elections, and, if they should retake the Senate, until after the 2020 elections.\u00a0 Some Democrats are suggesting that if the Kavanaugh vote goes through, they will impeach him after gaining control, others are proposing a court-packing scheme in 2020 so as to gain the Supreme Court majority.\u00a0 And while some people are pushing back on concerns that Democrats are themselves partisan by citing the fact that no such fuss was raised about Gorsuch, I do think that a significant driver in the current opposition is that Democrats were at least more willing to accept a conservative replacing a conservative, but have now gotten themselves into a frenzy over Kavanaugh because Kennedy was, if not a consistent liberal, then at least a hoped-for swing vote.<\/p>\n<p>But the degree to which they are exercising bad faith in the process, and the degree to which Ford\u2019s lawyers are likewise trying to manipulate the process (claiming inability to fly, seemingly keeping from Ford the information that investigators were willing to come to Ford in California), does not have anything to do with whether Ford was attacked.\u00a0 And the desire to avoid giving the Democrats a victory is not sufficient reason to discard questions on the suitability of Brett Kavanaugh for the Supreme Court appointment.<\/p>\n<p><em>Kavanaugh can be a heavy drinker, have grown up in a \u201crich private school kids\u201d environment, have been friends with an admitted alcoholic AND be innocent of sexual assault, AND even have been a virgin as claimed.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Something that\u2019s really starting to bug me is the claim of guilt by association.\u00a0 Private schools were dens of iniquity, to such an extent that the administration (at both Georgetown Prep and Holton-Arms) didn\u2019t even bother censoring the yearbooks.\u00a0 Therefore, Brett Kavanaugh is guilty as charged.<\/p>\n<p>Of course, Neil Gorsuch also attended Georgetown Prep.\u00a0 Was he one of the dorks who was never invited to parties?<\/p>\n<p>The fact that alcohol flowed freely is not proof.\u00a0 The fact that Mark Judge wrote a book about being a teen alcoholic proves nothing about Brett Kavanaugh.\u00a0 Likewise for the fact that Mark Judge\u2019s last name is \u201cJudge\u201d and Brett Kavanaugh is a judge.<\/p>\n<p>Oh, and it can <em>also be true that Kavanaugh was a heavy drinker AND that he did not black out.<\/em>\u00a0 Again, with apologies for lack of links, I\u2019ve read multiple articles saying that blacking out when drinking is a phenomenon that depends on the person, and the nature of their drinking.\u00a0 Someone that gets bombed very quickly on hard alcohol is more likely to black out than someone who drinks beer such as Kavanaugh, and there are genetic predispositions as well.\u00a0 It is not merely a matter of probabilities, and one cannot say that, for someone who drinks and gets drunk, he or she will inevitably black out.<\/p>\n<p>I would also speculate that the reason why the conventional wisdom is that blacking out is an inevitable result of drinking, is in part that people use the explanation of \u201cblacking out\u201d as a way of avoiding consequences of behavior while drunk.\u00a0 \u201cI can\u2019t believe you did X last night!\u201d\u00a0 \u201cReally? I don\u2019t remember any of it.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><em>Ford can be completely sincere and have no intention to deceive anyone AND can be stating factually untrue things.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>There are experts peddling their expertise on the internet that when something traumatic happens, you never, ever forget the key details.\u00a0 This is Ford\u2019s position (though it is hardly appropriate to cite her as an expert on something in which she is clearly not impartial).\u00a0 There are other experts saying that the reverse is true, that our memories do deceive us, even when we are convinced that said memory is crystal-clear and unambiguous (see <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nationalreview.com\/2018\/09\/cognitive-science-false-memories-more-common-than-you-think\/\" class=\" decorated-link\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\">this article<\/a>, but there are more like it).<\/p>\n<p>It seems to me entirely possible for something traumatic to have happened, and for Ford, in retrospect, to have latched onto Brett Kavanaugh and Mark Judge as perpetrators.\u00a0 After all, the initial Post story says that the therapist\u2019s notes say \u201clate teens\u201d and \u201cfour boys,\u201d and the reports are that it was her college years, not the remaining high school years, which were troubled.\u00a0 Reports have circulated that her 2012 therapist\u2019s visits coincided with news reports that Kavanaugh was a likely Romney pick.<\/p>\n<p>And none of this is to say that I have a solution to the present difficulty.\u00a0 Some further investigation may provide clues as to the probability of the incident having occurred, but there is so little to go on, that it seems unlikely that any evidence will turn up that will alternately persuade Kavanaugh supporters that Ford\u2019s account is true, or persuade Kavanaugh opponents of his innocence, especially now that they are claiming (on twitter anyway) that his high school and college drinking likely means that he is to this day an alcoholic and thus unsuitable for the Supreme Court, and are even threatening, when Democrats get control, to impeach him not merely from the Supreme Court but even, should he not make it there in the end, from his current judgeship.<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Image:\u00a0\u00a0https:\/\/commons.wikimedia.org\/wiki\/File:Judge_Brett_Michael_Kavanaugh.jpg; By U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit [Public domain], via Wikimedia Commons<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><strong>We want to know what you think about the upcoming midterm elections. Vote in our poll below!<\/strong><br>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/survey.fm\/8A0A950971AA8D92\">Take Our Survey<\/a><\/p>\n<\/body><\/html>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>With apologies for the lack of citations, here is a list of things that can simultaneously be true, notwithstanding claims in the media to the contrary: Kavanaugh can be guilty of one or more of these acts AND the Democratic Senate leadership can be abusing the process.\u00a0\u00a0 Yes, the Democrats are, from all appearances, acting [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2209,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[1056],"class_list":["post-11166","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-brett-kavanaugh"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Kavanaugh, Ford, and Things That Can Both Be True<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"With apologies for the lack of citations, here is a list of things that can simultaneously be true, notwithstanding claims in the media to the contrary:\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/janetheactuary\/2018\/09\/kavanaugh-ford-and-things-that-can-both-be-true.html\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Kavanaugh, Ford, and Things That Can Both Be True\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"With apologies for the lack of citations, here is a list of things that can simultaneously be true, notwithstanding claims in the media to the contrary:\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/janetheactuary\/2018\/09\/kavanaugh-ford-and-things-that-can-both-be-true.html\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Jane the Actuary\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2018-09-30T21:20:58+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2018-10-04T21:58:10+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"http:\/\/wp.production.patheos.com\/blogs\/sites\/533\/2018\/09\/Judge_Brett_Michael_Kavanaugh.jpg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Jane the Actuary\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Jane the Actuary\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"5 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/janetheactuary\/2018\/09\/kavanaugh-ford-and-things-that-can-both-be-true.html\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/janetheactuary\/2018\/09\/kavanaugh-ford-and-things-that-can-both-be-true.html\",\"name\":\"Kavanaugh, Ford, and Things That Can Both Be True\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/janetheactuary\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2018-09-30T21:20:58+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2018-10-04T21:58:10+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/janetheactuary\/#\/schema\/person\/ed9b99e0bd58c5eeeebae6b82fa5a77a\"},\"description\":\"With apologies for the lack of citations, here is a list of things that can simultaneously be true, notwithstanding claims in the media to the contrary:\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/janetheactuary\/2018\/09\/kavanaugh-ford-and-things-that-can-both-be-true.html#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/janetheactuary\/2018\/09\/kavanaugh-ford-and-things-that-can-both-be-true.html\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/janetheactuary\/2018\/09\/kavanaugh-ford-and-things-that-can-both-be-true.html#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/janetheactuary\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Kavanaugh, Ford, and Things That Can Both Be True\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/janetheactuary\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/janetheactuary\/\",\"name\":\"Jane the Actuary\",\"description\":\"\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/janetheactuary\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":\"required name=search_term_string\"}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/janetheactuary\/#\/schema\/person\/ed9b99e0bd58c5eeeebae6b82fa5a77a\",\"name\":\"Jane the Actuary\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/janetheactuary\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/8d6a493d380e87d49599d5487691c9fc?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/8d6a493d380e87d49599d5487691c9fc?s=96&d=mm&r=g\",\"caption\":\"Jane the Actuary\"},\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/janetheactuary\/author\/actuaryjane\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Kavanaugh, Ford, and Things That Can Both Be True","description":"With apologies for the lack of citations, here is a list of things that can simultaneously be true, notwithstanding claims in the media to the contrary:","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/janetheactuary\/2018\/09\/kavanaugh-ford-and-things-that-can-both-be-true.html","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"Kavanaugh, Ford, and Things That Can Both Be True","og_description":"With apologies for the lack of citations, here is a list of things that can simultaneously be true, notwithstanding claims in the media to the contrary:","og_url":"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/janetheactuary\/2018\/09\/kavanaugh-ford-and-things-that-can-both-be-true.html","og_site_name":"Jane the Actuary","article_published_time":"2018-09-30T21:20:58+00:00","article_modified_time":"2018-10-04T21:58:10+00:00","og_image":[{"url":"http:\/\/wp.production.patheos.com\/blogs\/sites\/533\/2018\/09\/Judge_Brett_Michael_Kavanaugh.jpg"}],"author":"Jane the Actuary","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"Jane the Actuary","Est. reading time":"5 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/janetheactuary\/2018\/09\/kavanaugh-ford-and-things-that-can-both-be-true.html","url":"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/janetheactuary\/2018\/09\/kavanaugh-ford-and-things-that-can-both-be-true.html","name":"Kavanaugh, Ford, and Things That Can Both Be True","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/janetheactuary\/#website"},"datePublished":"2018-09-30T21:20:58+00:00","dateModified":"2018-10-04T21:58:10+00:00","author":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/janetheactuary\/#\/schema\/person\/ed9b99e0bd58c5eeeebae6b82fa5a77a"},"description":"With apologies for the lack of citations, here is a list of things that can simultaneously be true, notwithstanding claims in the media to the contrary:","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/janetheactuary\/2018\/09\/kavanaugh-ford-and-things-that-can-both-be-true.html#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/janetheactuary\/2018\/09\/kavanaugh-ford-and-things-that-can-both-be-true.html"]}]},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/janetheactuary\/2018\/09\/kavanaugh-ford-and-things-that-can-both-be-true.html#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/janetheactuary"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"Kavanaugh, Ford, and Things That Can Both Be True"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/janetheactuary\/#website","url":"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/janetheactuary\/","name":"Jane the Actuary","description":"","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/janetheactuary\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":"required name=search_term_string"}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/janetheactuary\/#\/schema\/person\/ed9b99e0bd58c5eeeebae6b82fa5a77a","name":"Jane the Actuary","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/janetheactuary\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/8d6a493d380e87d49599d5487691c9fc?s=96&d=mm&r=g","contentUrl":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/8d6a493d380e87d49599d5487691c9fc?s=96&d=mm&r=g","caption":"Jane the Actuary"},"url":"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/janetheactuary\/author\/actuaryjane"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/janetheactuary\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11166","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/janetheactuary\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/janetheactuary\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/janetheactuary\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2209"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/janetheactuary\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=11166"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/janetheactuary\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11166\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/janetheactuary\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=11166"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/janetheactuary\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=11166"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/janetheactuary\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=11166"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}