{"id":17047,"date":"2020-06-01T14:09:19","date_gmt":"2020-06-01T20:09:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/admin.patheos.com\/blogs\/janetheactuary\/?p=17047"},"modified":"2020-06-01T14:09:19","modified_gmt":"2020-06-01T20:09:19","slug":"protests-riots-justice-the-jane-the-actuary-take","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/janetheactuary\/2020\/06\/protests-riots-justice-the-jane-the-actuary-take.html","title":{"rendered":"Protests, riots, justice – the Jane the Actuary take"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<\/head>

\"\"<\/p>\n

Author Megan McArdle is fond of saying, \u201cthe existence of a problem does not imply the existence of a solution.\u201d<\/p>\n

(Is this an insight original to her?\u00a0 I don\u2019t know.\u00a0 Here\u2019s one cite for this<\/a>, but she\u2019s said this repeatedly.)<\/p>\n

I\u2019d go a step further:\u00a0 that a given individual is particularly empathetic towards people who face a particular problem, or is indeed personally affected by that problem, does not mean that he or she is any more likely to know the solution to that problem.\u00a0 And, likewise, just because you can envision a desired \u201cend state\u201d does not mean that you know how to get there.<\/p>\n

We all want an end state in which neither race\/ethnicity nor skin color generally speaking, is a determinant of one\u2019s fate in life, in which experts building their careers on analyses of the differences in economic well-being by race\/ethnicity become jobless because there are no differences to be seen, in which police are so expertly trained in de-escalation and in means of restraint that cause no harm (assuming these exist \u2014 in the same manner as I once observed<\/a> that everyone dreams of a \u201cphaser,\u201d that is, a crimefighting, suspect-apprehending tool that would merely \u201cstun\u201d rather than cause injury).<\/p>\n

But the getting-from-here-to-there is not as straightforward as wanting it.<\/p>\n

Recall the George Zimmerman\/Trayvon Martin case:\u00a0 Martin first caught Zimmerman\u2019s eye because he appeared, in Zimmerman\u2019s telling, to be looking into windows in his condo complex, which caught his attention because of recent burglaries.\u00a0 Whichever side you took in this case, recall that a jury found that Zimmerman\u2019s explanation that, in the course of investigating him, he was attacked by Martin and feared for his life, was credible enough to be unable to convict him of murder.<\/p>\n

In the case of Ahmaud Arbery, near as I can tell, there was no such reasonable explanation \u2013 Arbery had simply been a black man jogging in a racially-segregated neighborhood.\u00a0 Yes, it wasn\u2019t his \u201cown\u201d neighborhood, but, heck, who doesn\u2019t prefer to walk in ritzier neighborhoods?\u00a0 Who doesn\u2019t like to inspect houses under construction, and speculate as to what the floor plan looks like?<\/p>\n

Many of the complaints that we\u2019re hearing now from protestors (the actual daytime protestors, not the nighttime rioters and looters) are that they are fed up with being viewed as suspicious solely because of their skin color.\u00a0 And, yes, it\u2019s a problem, and, of course, it\u2019s a further problem if they are stopped by police, questioned, arrested for no reason other than being perceived of as being somewhere that they don\u2019t belong.<\/p>\n

So we who want to \u201cmake a difference\u201d can educate ourselves as to ways in which policing methods can be fixed \u2014 twitter tells me that Camden has a successful model that local departments can follow.\u00a0 We can investigate the extent to which our own local police departments do what\u2019s right and reject what\u2019s wrong, whether police officers are trained properly, whether \u201cbad apples\u201d are fired (or whether, on the contrary, police unions have negotiated protections for their members).\u00a0 In a comment to my prior post<\/a>, Ted Seeber reported some information I hadn\u2019t seen:\u00a0 that Floyd was exhibiting symptoms of a heart attack and should have been given medical aid, in the moments before the cop pinned him to the ground \u2014 are cops lacking in something as simple as basic first aid training (or was the fact that Floyd and the arresting officer both worked security at the same bar no mere coincidence, but meant that there was some bitterness between the two?)? \u00a0 In any case, at a local level, citizens can demand this of their police forces.\u00a0 At a federal level, there\u2019s the question of qualified immunity and whether the legal protection that police have should be removed, so, yes, we can call on our legislators to legislate intelligently in the matter.<\/p>\n

But the issue of black men being viewed suspiciously doesn\u2019t lend itself to particularly easy answers.\u00a0 I mean, sure, yes, each of us individually can pledge to do better \u2014 though, in the end, I don\u2019t know that I, as a 5\u2032 3\u2033 suburban woman, could simply pledge do \u201cdo better\u201d (even though most of the time, when \u201curban\u201d-looking teenagers are in the neighborhood, it\u2019s to try to sell candy bars or newspaper subscriptions with a story that it\u2019s for their charitable group, and no, I don\u2019t call the cops on them).\u00a0 Around here, a black man does<\/em> look out of place, except when he\u2019s wearing the cargo shorts that form the uniform of suburban middle-class men, and maybe with a white spouse and biracial children. \u00a0 And a Hispanic man?\u00a0 Yeah, you form your expectations around whether the man with the lawn-mower is from the lawn service or the actual home-owner based on whether he\u2019s a middle-class-looking Hispanic (which around here probably means he\u2019s actually Filipino) or, well, not so much.\u00a0 And changing that isn\u2019t a matter of \u201cwe need more anti-racism training\u201d \u2014 it\u2019s a circular thing:\u00a0 if underrepresented racial\/ethnic minorities were not so, well, underrepresented in our middle-class lives, this would all be a non-issue.\u00a0 But, again, just because we know the end state that we want doesn\u2019t mean there\u2019s an answer in how to get there.<\/p>\n

Use of deadly force<\/strong><\/p>\n

But what about Floyd?\u00a0 Is there an epidemic of police using deadly force against black men?\u00a0 Are protesters right to say that this fear envelops young black men?\u00a0 Wikipedia has compiled<\/a> some of the relevant statistics:\u00a0 when considered across the total population,<\/p>\n

The rate of fatal police shootings per million was 10.13 for Native Americans, 6.6 for black people, 3.23 for Hispanics; 2.9 for white people and 1.17 for Asians. By total, police more frequently killed whites than any other race or ethnicity. As a percentage of the U.S. population, however, black Americans were 2.5 times more likely than whites to be killed by the police in 2015. A 2015 study found that unarmed blacks were 3.49 times more likely to be shot by police than were unarmed whites. Another study published in 2016 concluded that the mortality rate of legal interventions among black and Hispanic people was 2.8 and 1.7 times higher than that among white people. Another 2015 study concluded that black people were 2.8 times more likely to be killed by police than whites. . . .<\/p>\n

A 2015 study by Harvard professor Roland G. Fryer, Jr. found that there was no racial bias in the use of lethal police force between black and white suspects in similar situations. . . .\u00a0A 2019 paper by Princeton University political scientists disputed the findings by Fryer, saying that if police had a higher threshold for stopping whites, this might mean that the whites, Hispanics and blacks in Fryer\u2019s data are not similar.<\/sup><\/p><\/blockquote>\n

It is a part of our current reality that black men are more likely to be perpetrators of crime than white men. Wikipedia\u2019s data<\/a> appears old, but here are some key numbers:<\/p>\n

In 2013, African Americans accounted for 52.2% of all murder arrests, with Whites 45.3% and Asians\/Native Americans 2.5%. Of the above, 21.7% were Hispanic. . . .<\/p>\n

While African Americans are highly overrepresented in murders and gun assaults, the disparity in arrests is small for the most common form of assault not involving any weapon or serious injury (non-aggravated assault). Hispanics and non-Hispanic whites are arrested for non-aggravated assault in a similar ratio to their share of the US population. Of the 9,468 murder arrests in the US in 2017, 53.5% were black and 20.8% Hispanic. Of the 822,671 arrests for non-aggravated assault, 31.4% were black and 18.4% Hispanic.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

This Wikipedia article also includes an additional data point on the question of shootings by police:<\/p>\n

A 2018 study in the American Journal of Public Health found that black and Hispanic men were far more likely to be killed by police than white men.[85] However, when the crime rates in black, Hispanic, and white communities are considered, no bias was found.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

So what do you do with this information?\u00a0 Apparently (according to tweets which I did not bookmark) there were instances of police violence against white people which was likewise disproportionate, but which doesn\u2019t form a part of a narrative.\u00a0 It\u2019s all a mess.<\/p>\n

From protest to riot<\/strong><\/p>\n

Of course, none of this has to do with the riots over the weekend \u2014 except, of course, that, to the best of my own understanding of the matter, people sympathetic to the complaints of the protesters made excuses for the riots, at least initially, along the lines of \u201cwhat can you expect when they have experienced so much injustice in their lives\/when no one heeded their nonviolent calls for change?\u201d, rather than calling out, and actively stopping (with respect to law enforcement action) the riots.\u00a0 And somewhere along the way even those excuse-makers who finally acknowledged that looting stores and setting fire to buildings is not a legitimate way of protesting grievances, or even a wrong-but-understandable action by those who are suffering from injustice, but a mix of crimes of opportunity for fun and profit, as well as to at least some degree, a deliberate attempt to enflame the situation \u2014 though many of them crafted their own fantasy narrative that it was either the police themselves or White Separatists attempting to start a race war by masquerading as Antifa\/Black Bloc rather than acknowledging the simpler answer that it was indeed Antifa\/anarchists.\u00a0 (It seems to me that, in a positive developments, these claims have now faded as well.)<\/p>\n

And I don\u2019t see how this simply winds down of its own accord.\u00a0 Looters and rioters have moved from central cities to suburbs, have figured out how to coordinate among themselves to stay ahead of police. \u00a0 Teens out of school, and teens and young adults without (summer) jobs mean there is no job to go to.\u00a0 Maybe a solid stretch of thunderstorms solves the problem; I don\u2019t know.<\/p>\n

But it seems to me that the \u201creal\u201d protesters simply have to call for a\u00a0 pause<\/em>, for organized leaders in communities to say, \u201cviolence is wholly unacceptable and until it ends, we will stay home,\u201d then resume protests with a targeted agenda, such as Hong Kong\u2019s protests with 5 specific aims \u2014 for instance, calling for a reform in qualified immunity nationally, or protesting in a given city in favor of specific reforms in its policing methods.\u00a0 To continue with protests under the current circumstances, especially with signs such as \u201cno justice, no peace,\u201d is instead giving rioters and looters cover rather than enabling police to put an end to the rioting and looting.<\/p>\n

And make no mistake \u2014 the rioting and looting is not somehow harmless because \u201ceverything is covered by insurance anyhow.\u201d\u00a0 Small businesses are all the more likely to have had less than complete coverage simply because their profit margins are so tight, and may have even let it lapse to try to survive a covid shutdown.\u00a0 Large businesses \u2014 the Targets and Cub Foods and the like \u2014 may have the insurance cash to rebuild but may be less than keen to do so if they were located in poorer areas where profit margins were already tight.\u00a0 And the workers at those businesses are hardly insured for their lost income in the meantime.<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n

Image: apparently I blogged about the Philandro Castile shooting because when I searched up \u201cpolice\u201d in my blog photo library, here this was. \u00a0 https:\/\/commons.wikimedia.org\/wiki\/File%3APhilando_Castile_-_Falcon_Heights_Police_Shooting_(27589594944).jpg; By Tony Webster from Minneapolis, Minnesota (Philando Castile \u2013 Falcon Heights Police Shooting) [CC BY-SA 2.0 (http:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by-sa\/2.0)], via Wikimedia Commons<\/span>
\nMinnesota Bureau of Criminal Apprehension (BCA) investigators process the scene of where a St. Anthony Police officer shot and killed 32-year-old Philando Castile in a car near Larpenteur Avenue and Fry Street in Falcon Heights, Minnesota, on July 6, 2016.<\/span>
\nPhoto: Tony Webster \/ tony@tonywebster.com.<\/span><\/p>\n

Yup, I did<\/a>.\u00a0 But I seem not to have had any particular insights about the matter.<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/p>\n<\/body><\/html>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Author Megan McArdle is fond of saying, \u201cthe existence of a problem does not imply the existence of a solution.\u201d (Is this an insight original to her?\u00a0 I don\u2019t know.\u00a0 Here\u2019s one cite for this, but she\u2019s said this repeatedly.) 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