{"id":17847,"date":"2021-02-01T14:28:49","date_gmt":"2021-02-01T20:28:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/admin.patheos.com\/blogs\/janetheactuary\/?p=17847"},"modified":"2021-02-01T14:28:49","modified_gmt":"2021-02-01T20:28:49","slug":"the-bee-predicts-the-post-trump-gop-future","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/janetheactuary\/2021\/02\/the-bee-predicts-the-post-trump-gop-future.html","title":{"rendered":"The Bee predicts the post-Trump GOP future"},"content":{"rendered":"<!DOCTYPE html PUBLIC \"-\/\/W3C\/\/DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional\/\/EN\" \"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/TR\/REC-html40\/loose.dtd\">\n<html><head><meta http-equiv=\"content-type\" content=\"text\/html; charset=utf-8\"><meta http-equiv=\"content-type\" content=\"text\/html; charset=utf-8\"><\/head><body><p><figure id=\"attachment_11664\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-11664\" style=\"width: 1024px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-large wp-image-11664\" src=\"https:\/\/wp-media.patheos.com\/blogs\/sites\/533\/2018\/11\/vote-14-1024x763.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"763\"><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-11664\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">public domain<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/p><p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>On January 6, the <a href=\"https:\/\/babylonbee.com\/news\/absolute-legend-trump-walks-away-from-republican-party-without-even-looking-back-at-explosion\" class=\" decorated-link\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\">Babylon Bee posted an article with the headline<\/a>:\u00a0 \u201cAbsolute Legend: Trump Walks Away From Republican Party Without Even Looking Back At Explosion.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Here\u2019s as much of the article as seems appropriate to share without violating fair use norms:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>In an awesome display of action movie MAGA-greatness, Trump walked away from the exploding Republican Party like an absolute legend, without looking back or even flinching. Witnesses say they saw Trump power-walking in slow motion away from the massive explosion as smoldering wreckage and shrieking Republicans rained down around him. . . .<\/p>\n<p>Authorities arrived on the scene to try to extinguish the flames but Trump stayed their hands. \u201cNo,\u201d he said, slowly removing his glasses and finally turning around to gaze\u00a0upon the torched ruins of the Republican Party. \u201cNo\u2026 let it burn.\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>To further make clear the greatness of the <em>Bee<\/em>, this was posted before the rally, before the protesters overran the Capitol, before they were ultimately expelled.\u00a0 The accompanying image, Trump walking away from an explosion like <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=4SmP797vK-Y\" class=\" decorated-link\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\">CSI: Miami\u2019s Horatio Caine<\/a>, was meant to be purely metaphorical.<\/p>\n<p>But \u2014 wow \u2014 the degree of brokenness of the Republican Party is becoming clearer with each passing day.\u00a0 Yes, it stands to reason that the media\u2019s focus on Marjorie Taylor Greene\u2019s crackpottery is due in part to the fact that Trump himself is now out of the public eye, but <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Marjorie_Taylor_Greene\" class=\" decorated-link\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\">she is a crackpot nonetheless<\/a>.\u00a0 And reports are that, generally speaking, large portions of the Republican \u201cbase\u201d continue to believe that the election was stolen, so that party leadership is trying to move forward pragmatically without alienating them.<\/p>\n<p>But what happens to the Republican Party next is a mystery to me.\u00a0 If our system of governance was a multiparty one, it would be easy to see:\u00a0 the Q\/\u201dstolen election\u201d wing would split off from the mainstream GOP and each would be just one of many with which a coalition might be formed.\u00a0 In the same way, the Democratic Socialists would be an actual political party rather than a wing of the Democratic Party.\u00a0 But there would be no need for Republicans to figure out what to do with the crazies among them.\u00a0 Heck, for that matter, Trump would never have become president, or, at least, not as the nominee of the Republican Party, because one component of this sort of system is that the party decides its nominees, and disgruntled would-be nominees find a party that better suits them, or found their own.<\/p>\n<p>In that sense, it\u2019s remarkable that the Republican Party came into being in the first place, that is, Lincoln\u2019s victory in 1860 occurred l<a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/History_of_the_Republican_Party_(United_States)#:~:text=The%20Republican%20Party%20emerged%20in,after%201866%2C%20former%20black%20slaves.\" class=\" decorated-link\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\">ess than five years after the party was formed<\/a>, and was only the second presidential election in which they had contested \u2014 but this occurred due to the crack-up of the Whig Party, though this answer is a bit of begging the question.\u00a0 Why didn\u2019t the Whig Party reinvent itself?\u00a0 I don\u2019t know, but perhaps the issue of slavery was so disruptive that there was simply no way for the party to survive.\u00a0 And, at the same time, looking at the <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/1856_United_States_presidential_election\" class=\" decorated-link\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\">Wikipedia article on the 1856 election<\/a>, the Whig collapse was so complete, and the jumping ship to the Republicans so complete, that the only remaining factor were the Know-Nothings, or formally the American Party, who disavowed nativism and took 22% of the vote, though my brief skim doesn\u2019t make it clear whether they were splitting pro-slavery votes away from the Democrats or anti-slavery votes away from the Republicans, or whether it\u2019s not even meaningful to think of them as a \u201cspoiler\u201d in modern terms, that is, if their voters simply had no opinion on slavery.<\/p>\n<p>But since then \u2014 well, I\u2019m just clicking through the various elections on Wikipedia.\u00a0 In the late 19th century, the two-party system was solidified and, interestingly enough, in 1880, 1884, and 1888, the popular vote margins of victory were less than one percentage point apart.\u00a0 Then we had a series of elections in which the Democratic candidate, William Jennings Bryan, was also supported by an alliance of the Populists and the Silver parties.\u00a0 1912 was the closest we came to a serious multiparty race:\u00a0 Woodrow Wilson took 42% of the vote, Teddy Roosevelt 27% for the Progressive Party, Taft 23% for the Republicans, and Eugene Debs 6% for the Socialists \u2014 but it was a landslide in terms of the electoral vote. Again in 1924, the Progressives contested, getting 17% of the popular vote but only carrying Wisconsin.<\/p>\n<p>Then we get to 1968 for the next minor party Wikipedia deems worth listing in its summary \u2014 the American Independent Party, which Wikipedia describes as \u201cfar-right\u201d but applying left\/right labels simply doesn\u2019t work; after all George Wallace was a Democrat beforehand.\u00a0 That party took 14% of the vote and carried five Deep South states.\u00a0 In 1980, John Anderson too 6.6% as an independent; in 1992, Ross Perot took 19% for the Reform Party, along with 8% in 1996 \u2014 and that\u2019s the last time a third party got any sum of votes worth mentioning.<\/p>\n<p>So is there a path forward for Republicans, who appear to be increasingly split between the stolen election-ites, the mainstream folk, and the middle children who really just want everyone to stop fighting?\u00a0 The crack-up of the Whigs provided a pathway for the Republican Party to form, but since then there has been no path to victory for any new or third party and it seems hard to believe that we\u2019ll have the sort of major shifts that would be required now.\u00a0 But I\u2019m really not a fan of the consequence of that solidifying of two \u2014 and only two \u2014 parties.<\/p>\n<\/body><\/html>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u00a0 On January 6, the Babylon Bee posted an article with the headline:\u00a0 \u201cAbsolute Legend: Trump Walks Away From Republican Party Without Even Looking Back At Explosion.\u201d Here\u2019s as much of the article as seems appropriate to share without violating fair use norms: In an awesome display of action movie MAGA-greatness, Trump walked away from [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2209,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-17847","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>The Bee predicts the post-Trump GOP future<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"&nbsp; On January 6, the Babylon Bee posted an article with the headline:\u00a0 &quot;Absolute Legend: Trump Walks Away From Republican Party Without Even Looking\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/janetheactuary\/2021\/02\/the-bee-predicts-the-post-trump-gop-future.html\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The Bee predicts the post-Trump GOP future\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"&nbsp; On January 6, the Babylon Bee posted an article with the headline:\u00a0 &quot;Absolute Legend: Trump Walks Away From Republican Party Without Even Looking\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/janetheactuary\/2021\/02\/the-bee-predicts-the-post-trump-gop-future.html\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Jane the Actuary\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2021-02-01T20:28:49+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/wp-media.patheos.com\/blogs\/sites\/533\/2018\/11\/vote-14-1024x763.png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Jane the Actuary\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Jane the Actuary\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"5 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/janetheactuary\/2021\/02\/the-bee-predicts-the-post-trump-gop-future.html\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/janetheactuary\/2021\/02\/the-bee-predicts-the-post-trump-gop-future.html\",\"name\":\"The Bee predicts the post-Trump GOP future\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/janetheactuary\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2021-02-01T20:28:49+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2021-02-01T20:28:49+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/janetheactuary\/#\/schema\/person\/ed9b99e0bd58c5eeeebae6b82fa5a77a\"},\"description\":\"&nbsp; 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