{"id":748,"date":"2012-08-26T16:46:20","date_gmt":"2012-08-26T23:46:20","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/jeremylott\/?p=748"},"modified":"2012-08-26T16:46:20","modified_gmt":"2012-08-26T23:46:20","slug":"akin-not-stirred","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/jeremylott\/2012\/08\/akin-not-stirred\/","title":{"rendered":"Akin Not Stirred?"},"content":{"rendered":"<!DOCTYPE html PUBLIC \"-\/\/W3C\/\/DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional\/\/EN\" \"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/TR\/REC-html40\/loose.dtd\">\n<html><head><meta http-equiv=\"content-type\" content=\"text\/html; charset=utf-8\"><meta http-equiv=\"content-type\" content=\"text\/html; charset=utf-8\"><\/head><body><p>When Todd Akin this week vowed to fight on for a Missouri Senate seat, despite the media fallout from Rapegate, he was making a deliberate gamble. He thinks Claire McCaskill is a very vulnerable opponent and the storm will blow over.<\/p>\n<p>He may be right on the first point. Take a look at the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.realclearpolitics.com\/epolls\/2012\/senate\/mo\/missouri_senate_akin_vs_mccaskill-2079.html#polls\" class=\" decorated-link\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\">Real Clear Politics polling<\/a> on the race. Akin had what seemed to be a very clear lead before he started mainlining shoe leather.<\/p>\n<p>In the ad that he cut explaining himself to Missouri voters, Akin apologized to them specifically for his big mouth and implicitly promised not to embarrass them again.<\/p>\n<p>I will make no judgement on their judgment at this point, but here\u2019s my guess as to how Akin goes forward. He stays in the race until after the Republican National Convention and then looks at those poll numbers to see if the storm has passed \u2014 indicated by him polling within one or two points of McCaskill, on average.<\/p>\n<p>If not, then Akin withdraws and we have a whole new race on our hands.<\/p>\n<\/body><\/html>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>When Todd Akin this week vowed to fight on for a Missouri Senate seat, despite the media fallout from Rapegate, he was making a deliberate gamble. He thinks Claire McCaskill is a very vulnerable opponent and the storm will blow over. He may be right on the first point. Take a look at the Real [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1078,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[69],"tags":[435,432,422],"class_list":["post-748","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-shop-talk","tag-claire-mccaskill","tag-rapegate","tag-todd-akin"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Akin Not Stirred?<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"When Todd Akin this week vowed to fight on for a Missouri Senate seat, despite the media fallout from Rapegate, he was making a deliberate gamble. He\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/jeremylott\/2012\/08\/akin-not-stirred\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Akin Not Stirred?\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"When Todd Akin this week vowed to fight on for a Missouri Senate seat, despite the media fallout from Rapegate, he was making a deliberate gamble. 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