{"id":21241,"date":"2021-01-17T03:00:29","date_gmt":"2021-01-17T09:00:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/johnbeckett\/?p=21241"},"modified":"2021-01-16T12:41:26","modified_gmt":"2021-01-16T18:41:26","slug":"tower-time-chaos-decline-and-opportunity","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/johnbeckett\/2021\/01\/tower-time-chaos-decline-and-opportunity.html","title":{"rendered":"Tower Time: Chaos, Decline, and Opportunity"},"content":{"rendered":"<!DOCTYPE html PUBLIC \"-\/\/W3C\/\/DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional\/\/EN\" \"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/TR\/REC-html40\/loose.dtd\">\n<html><head><meta http-equiv=\"content-type\" content=\"text\/html; charset=utf-8\"><meta http-equiv=\"content-type\" content=\"text\/html; charset=utf-8\"><\/head><body><p>I remember the first time I discussed <a href=\"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/johnbeckett\/2019\/06\/storm-and-tower-time-simple-names-complicated-situation.html\" class=\" decorated-link\" target=\"_blank\">Tower Time<\/a> with someone I\u2019ll call a \u201csenior Pagan leader.\u201d Their initial response was \u201cI don\u2019t know, John \u2013 that sounds like conspiracy theory to me.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>I detest conspiracy theories. They\u2019re intellectually lazy, politically and socially dishonest, and they lead to things like people storming the Capitol trying to overthrow elections. Last year I wrote <a href=\"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/johnbeckett\/2020\/06\/the-hard-cure-for-conspiracy-theories.html\" class=\" decorated-link\" target=\"_blank\">The Hard Cure for Conspiracy Theories<\/a> \u2013 it just missed the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/johnbeckett\/2020\/12\/top-10-posts-of-2020.html\" class=\" decorated-link\" target=\"_blank\">Top 10 list for 2020<\/a>. So I can\u2019t adequately express just how upset I was to hear someone I respect say that.<\/p>\n<p>But if people listen to me and think they\u2019re hearing a conspiracy theory, then I need to do a better job of explaining what I think and why I think it. I need to present the evidence and logic that led me to conclude that we\u2019re living in a time of disruption and decline. Then they can look at it for themselves and decide if they agree. If they do, we can work together to figure out how best to respond. And if they don\u2019t, that\u2019s fine too \u2013 I\u2019m not trying to save the world.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/wp-media.patheos.com\/blogs\/sites\/243\/2021\/01\/New-Years-2021-14.jpg\" class=\" decorated-link\" target=\"_blank\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-21247\" src=\"https:\/\/wp-media.patheos.com\/blogs\/sites\/243\/2021\/01\/New-Years-2021-14.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"768\" height=\"402\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>A couple days ago a few people who are regular blog readers and who have taken classes with me before challenged my statement that no one alive today will see the end of Tower Time. They were hearing (and I\u2019m paraphrasing here) \u201cthings are going to suck like 2020 for the rest of my life.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Nobody wants to hear messages of gloom and doom \u2013 especially overstated messages of gloom and doom. About ten years ago I went to a \u201cclimate workshop\u201d that was so depressing I left thinking I needed to trade my Prius for a Corvette, drive to Las Vegas, and live it up before we all die. Climate change is real (and it\u2019s one contributor to Tower Time) but people predicting the imminent extinction of humanity have done far more harm than good.<\/p>\n<p>Tower card imagery aside, Tower Time isn\u2019t all gloom and doom. It isn\u2019t an apocalypse or a cataclysm. It isn\u2019t a new Dark Age.<\/p>\n<p>Let\u2019s take a deeper look at what Tower Time is, how we can respond, and what I hope to accomplish with the upcoming class <a href=\"https:\/\/undertheancientoaks.com\/c4-0-introduction\/\" class=\" decorated-link\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\">Navigating Tower Time \u2013 Magic For an Era of Change<\/a>.<\/p>\n<h2>Recognizing Tower Time \u2013 10 years of experiences<\/h2>\n<p>The first comments on what would be called Tower Time started about ten years ago. They were mostly spiritual and metaphysical. I first heard it from followers of the Morrigan, who said She told them \u201ca storm is coming \u2013 get ready.\u201d About the same time <a href=\"http:\/\/www.myvillagewitch.com\/the-tower-time-documents-uncut\/\" class=\" decorated-link\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\"><strong>Byron Ballard<\/strong><\/a>\u00a0coined the phrase \u201cTower Time\u201d to describe the end of empire and the patriarchy that supports it.<\/p>\n<p>What we\u2019ve seen can be grouped into three broad categories.<\/p>\n<p>The first is natural: climate change, habitat and species loss, the depletion of fossil fuels and the attempts to replace them. Covid-19 is not caused by Tower Time, but it is <a href=\"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/johnbeckett\/2020\/03\/a-pagan-response-to-the-coronavirus.html\" class=\" decorated-link\" target=\"_blank\">part of it<\/a> \u2013 it\u2019s one of the lightning bolts hitting the tower and bringing it down.<\/p>\n<p>The second is socio-economic: mainly, the decline of the American empire. But also, the rise of nationalism, fascism, and xenophobia. We need no conspiracy theories to recognize that people who are rich and powerful will do and are doing everything they can to remain rich and powerful.<\/p>\n<p>The third is magical and Otherworldly: the reduction of the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/johnbeckett\/2016\/11\/the-veil-is-shredded.html\" class=\" decorated-link\" target=\"_blank\">Veil Between the Worlds<\/a>, more frequent encounters with the Fair Folk, and Gods on recruiting missions. And also, the increased interest in magic and witchcraft among ordinary people, though whether that\u2019s a cause or an effect or both remains to be seen.<\/p>\n<p>In the Tower Time class, I\u2019m spending three hours going over all this \u2013 I can\u2019t condense that much material down to a blog post. Before we can talk about what we should do, we need to understand the environment in which we work.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/wp-media.patheos.com\/blogs\/sites\/243\/2021\/01\/New-Years-2021-15.jpg\" class=\" decorated-link\" target=\"_blank\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-21250\" src=\"https:\/\/wp-media.patheos.com\/blogs\/sites\/243\/2021\/01\/New-Years-2021-15.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"768\" height=\"402\"><\/a><\/p>\n<h2>Empires crumble \u2013 they don\u2019t collapse<\/h2>\n<p>Of these three categories, the decline of the American empire is the most clear-cut. Trump was never going to make America great again, not just because he was an incompetent leader but because once an empire peaks there\u2019s only one way for it to go and that\u2019s down.<\/p>\n<p>But a crumbling empire doesn\u2019t mean a collapsing empire. The British Empire peaked around World War I and has been in serious decline since World War II. But Britain is still a pretty good place to live, despite shooting itself in the foot with Brexit. We\u2019re not going to see an apocalypse. We\u2019re not going to see a new Dark Age.<\/p>\n<p>But neither are we going to see things springing back to \u201cpeak Western normalcy.\u201d<\/p>\n<h2>Macro trends, micro lives<\/h2>\n<p>Worldwide, 2020 is likely the worst year in my lifetime. But while it was bad for me, it wasn\u2019t as bad for me as 2009 or 1995, or any of several years in my late 20s and early 30s. A year or a decade or an era is part of our environment, but it doesn\u2019t control our entire lives.<\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s like when people from blue states ask me \u201chow can you stand living in Texas?\u201d I know what they mean, and I would prefer to live in a state with a higher level of services (even at the cost of higher taxes) that didn\u2019t keep electing theocrats and wingnuts to public office. But I don\u2019t live in \u201cTexas\u201d \u2013 Texas is almost 270,000 square miles. I live in McKinney and my UU church is in Denton. And when you come down to it, I live in my house with my wife and our cat, and I socialize with a handful of people who see the world much like I do.<\/p>\n<p>Not every year of Tower Time is going to be like 2020. And not every bad year is going to be bad for everyone. Some years are going to be quite good, at least for some people.<\/p>\n<p>The question is how we improve our odds of having more good years than bad years.<\/p>\n<h2>Chaos brings opportunity<\/h2>\n<p>This is my own personal Tower Time challenge. I like order and predictability. I\u2019ve built my life by careful assessment of the odds and by placing low risk bets. Tower Time is bringing chaos and randomness. That makes it harder to plan.<\/p>\n<p>But chaos and randomness also bring opportunity: in business, in politics, and in spirituality.<\/p>\n<p>Opportunities are not distributed evenly or fairly. Many of them have short expiration dates. Taking advantage of them requires spotting them and then moving quickly. That works best when you know what to look for.<\/p>\n<p>Times of chaos favor two broad groups of people: those with the financial resources to absorb the swings without overreacting, and those with the energy and determination to grab what comes their way.<\/p>\n<p>Chaos punishes those who live in denial and cling to what was.<\/p>\n<p>In this class I hope to help people do a better job of recognizing opportunities and being prepared to embrace them\u2026 and honestly, to do that myself. I can\u2019t afford to live in denial either.<\/p>\n<h2>This is what\u2019s coming \u2013 how can we best respond?<\/h2>\n<p>I do not believe anyone alive today will see the bottom of Tower Time. That\u2019s speculation, not fact. But it\u2019s informed speculation. I hope I\u2019m wrong, but I don\u2019t think I\u2019m wrong.<\/p>\n<p>In <a href=\"https:\/\/undertheancientoaks.com\/c4-0-introduction\/\" class=\" decorated-link\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\">Navigating Tower Time<\/a> we\u2019re going to spend half the course going over where we are, how we got here, and what it means. We\u2019re going to build a model of Tower Time, to provide context for our experiences \u2013 both our Otherworldly experiences and our ordinary experiences of randomness, chaos, and disruption.<\/p>\n<p>Then we\u2019re going to spend the second half of the class discussing what to do about it. We\u2019re going to talk about magic, the Gods, the Fair Folk, and other spiritual persons who are also navigating Tower Time, albeit from a very different perspective than ours. We\u2019re going to talk about spiritual practice (it\u2019s my class \u2013 of course we\u2019re going to talk about spiritual practice), and about building relationships and networks.<\/p>\n<p>And we\u2019re going to talk about money, the one taboo subject in all of modern Paganism. Too many Pagans\u2019 ideas about money are influenced by Calvinism, or by the counterculture of the 1960s, or both. Neither is helpful. Money is a tool, and like all tools, whether it\u2019s good nor evil depends on how it\u2019s used.<\/p>\n<h2>Your future is not written in stone<\/h2>\n<p>I have no patience with the New Agers and others who insist \u201cyou create your own reality\u201d and \u201cevery problem is a lesson you need to learn.\u201d It may be intended to be empowering, but more often it\u2019s used for victim blaming. You do not control your environment, and your environment has a huge impact on your life.<\/p>\n<p>At the same time, you can control your response to your environment, to one extent or another. And that response can make a huge difference.<\/p>\n<p>Tower Time is here. I wish is wasn\u2019t, but it is. My goal is to understand it as best I can, to figure out the best way to deal with it, and to help others to do the same.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/wp-media.patheos.com\/blogs\/sites\/243\/2021\/01\/towertime-16x12-midsize.jpg\" class=\" decorated-link\" target=\"_blank\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-21165 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/wp-media.patheos.com\/blogs\/sites\/243\/2021\/01\/towertime-16x12-midsize.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"768\" height=\"576\"><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Take a closer look at Ashley Bryner\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.firesighted.com\/artshop\/in-tower-times\" class=\" decorated-link\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\">Tower Time painting<\/a>. All artwork is ultimately in the eye of the beholder, but this picture is meant to be \u201cread\u201d left to right. Lightning strikes the tower, sending it crashing to the ground.<\/p>\n<p>But that\u2019s not the whole story.<\/p>\n<p>We are the figure in the foreground, making preparations for the next step\u2026 preparations that are not entirely of this world. The path forward is difficult and uncertain, but the skies are encouraging.<\/p>\n<p>And we are not alone.<\/p>\n<p>Blessings to you as you navigate Tower Time, however you choose to approach it.<\/p>\n<\/body><\/html>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Tower Time is bringing chaos and disruption, but it\u2019s also bringing opportunity. And it punishes those who live in denial and cling to what was. 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