{"id":14065,"date":"2021-05-11T08:01:59","date_gmt":"2021-05-11T15:01:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/kermitzarleyblog\/?p=14065"},"modified":"2021-05-11T08:01:59","modified_gmt":"2021-05-11T15:01:59","slug":"outdoor-transmission-of-covid-19-is-very-rare","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/kermitzarleyblog\/2021\/05\/outdoor-transmission-of-covid-19-is-very-rare\/","title":{"rendered":"Outdoor Transmission of COVID-19 Is Very Rare"},"content":{"rendered":"<!DOCTYPE html PUBLIC \"-\/\/W3C\/\/DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional\/\/EN\" \"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/TR\/REC-html40\/loose.dtd\">\n<html><head><meta http-equiv=\"content-type\" content=\"text\/html; charset=utf-8\"><meta http-equiv=\"content-type\" content=\"text\/html; charset=utf-8\"><\/head><body><p>I\u2019ve blogged before about this: the Centers for Disease and Prevention (CDC) in the U.S.\u2013supposedly the best source in the world concerning diseases\u2013sometimes doesn\u2019t communicate very effectively. A recent example is that last month the CDC stated that \u201cless than 10 percent\u201d of people who have contracted COVID-19 got it while outdoors. But that could mean any number less than 10 percent, which is quite inexact. Although it is difficult to make such a measurement, authorities have been saying for quite some time that outdoor transmission of COVID-19 is very rare, closer to one percent or less.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/wp-media.patheos.com\/blogs\/sites\/347\/2021\/05\/MosePredictedCOvid-19.jpg\" class=\" decorated-link\" target=\"_blank\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignleft size-full wp-image-14014\" src=\"https:\/\/wp-media.patheos.com\/blogs\/sites\/347\/2021\/05\/MosePredictedCOvid-19.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"333\" height=\"499\"><\/a>This is important to me because of what I said in my book, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.amazon.com\/Moses-Predicted-COVID-19-STILL-HERE\/dp\/1735259101\/ref=sr_1_1?dchild=1&amp;keywords=kermit+zarley&amp;qid=1620744667&amp;sr=8-1\" class=\" decorated-link\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\"><em>Moses Predicted COVID-19<\/em><\/a> (pp. 94-95), published back on July 1, 2020. In this book I compare the supposed low rate of outdoor contraction of COVID-19, due to being in sunlight, to Moses\u2019 instructions for a person to separate outdoors from the community for the remainder of the day when exposed to the carcass of an \u201cunclean\u201d animal. I suggest in the book that Moses\u2019 food laws correlate with pandemics\/epidemics associated with zoonosis\u2013the transmission of a virus from an animal to a human.<\/p>\n<p>David Leonhardt of <em>The New York Times<\/em> reports today that Dr. Muge Cevik, a virologist at St. Andrews University, says that CDC statistic \u201cseems to be a huge exaggeration.\u201d He means the figure is much smaller than that.<\/p>\n<p>One study (by David E. Epperly, et. al) showed that \u201c94% of COVID-19 superspreading events occurred in limited ventilation areas suggesting aerosolized transmission is a strong contributor to COVID-19 infections.\u201d Leonhardt further says\u00a0some authorities believe it is below 0.1 percent, thus less than one tenth of one percent.<\/p>\n<p>This\u00a0<em>Times<\/em>\u00a0article further states, \u201cThere is not a single documented Covid infection anywhere in the world from casual outdoor interactions, such\u00a0as walking past someone on a street or eating at a nearby table.\u201d Thus, it is only outdoor events wherein many people are gathered together at close range that people are at risk for contracting COVID-19. Yet the CDC still recommends wearing a mask outdoors no matter what the circumstances.<\/p>\n<p>When the CDC was asked about this 10 percent number, it replied that there is little data from studies about outdoor transmission. Thus, their number of 10 percent seems like quite a guess or just not very accurate. This CDC statement concludes, \u201cIt is important for people and communities to consider their own situations and risks and to take appropriate steps to protect their health.\u201d Pretty general information, but true.<\/p>\n<p>Leonhardt concludes his <em>Times<\/em> article by saying, \u201cthe scientific evidence points to a conclusion that is much simpler than the C.D.C.\u2019s message: Masks make a huge difference indoors and rarely matter outdoors.\u201d I think this is right. All during this pandemic, I\u2019ve been wearing a mask indoors all the time when I\u2019m away from home, but hardly ever outdoors.<\/p>\n<\/body><\/html>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I\u2019ve blogged before about this: the Centers for Disease and Prevention (CDC) in the U.S.\u2013supposedly the best source in the world concerning diseases\u2013sometimes doesn\u2019t communicate very effectively. A recent example is that last month the CDC stated that \u201cless than 10 percent\u201d of people who have contracted COVID-19 got it while outdoors. But that could [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1477,"featured_media":14014,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5411],"tags":[5510,5046,5828],"class_list":["post-14065","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-health","tag-cdc","tag-covid-19","tag-david-leonhardt"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Outdoor Transmission of COVID-19 Is Very Rare<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"I&#039;ve blogged before about this: the Centers for Disease and Prevention (CDC) in the U.S.--supposedly the best source in the world concerning\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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