{"id":10037,"date":"2012-10-12T17:04:17","date_gmt":"2012-10-12T21:04:17","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/religionprof\/?p=10037"},"modified":"2012-10-12T17:04:17","modified_gmt":"2012-10-12T21:04:17","slug":"bias-and-bayes-theorem-in-history","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/religionprof\/2012\/10\/bias-and-bayes-theorem-in-history.html","title":{"rendered":"Bias and Bayes&#8217; Theorem in History"},"content":{"rendered":"<!DOCTYPE html PUBLIC \"-\/\/W3C\/\/DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional\/\/EN\" \"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/TR\/REC-html40\/loose.dtd\">\n<html><head><meta http-equiv=\"content-type\" content=\"text\/html; charset=utf-8\"><meta http-equiv=\"content-type\" content=\"text\/html; charset=utf-8\"><\/head><body><p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignleft\" src=\"https:\/\/irrco.files.wordpress.com\/2012\/10\/graph21.png?w=500&amp;h=400\" alt=\"\" width=\"126\" height=\"101\">Regular commenter Ian has posted two more entries on his blog which relate to the use of Bayes\u2019 Theorem in assessing historical probability, in response to Richard Carrier\u2019s advocacy of the use of Bayesian reasoning.<\/p>\n<p>One is entitled \u201c<a href=\"http:\/\/irrco.wordpress.com\/2012\/10\/11\/the-effect-of-error-in-bayess-theorem\/\" class=\" decorated-link\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\">Error in Bayes\u2019 Theorem<\/a>\u201d and the other \u201c<a href=\"http:\/\/irrco.wordpress.com\/2012\/10\/12\/say-what-i-want-to-hear\/\" class=\" decorated-link\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\">Say What I Want To Hear!<\/a>\u201c<\/p>\n<\/body><\/html>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Regular commenter Ian has posted two more entries on his blog which relate to the use of Bayes\u2019 Theorem in assessing historical probability, in response to Richard Carrier\u2019s advocacy of the use of Bayesian reasoning. One is entitled \u201cError in Bayes\u2019 Theorem\u201d and the other \u201cSay What I Want To Hear!\u201c<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":136,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[39,40,64],"tags":[1048,1049,4643,4646,4658,4660,5677,7114,7115,7329,9551],"class_list":["post-10037","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-historical-jesus","category-history","category-mythicism","tag-bayes-theorem","tag-bayesian","tag-historians","tag-historical","tag-historiography","tag-history","tag-jesus","tag-math","tag-mathematics","tag-methodology","tag-probability"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Bias and Bayes&#039; Theorem in History<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Regular commenter Ian has posted two more entries on his blog which relate to the use of Bayes&#039; Theorem in assessing historical probability, in response\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/religionprof\/2012\/10\/bias-and-bayes-theorem-in-history.html\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Bias and Bayes&#039; Theorem in History\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Regular commenter Ian has posted two more entries on his blog which relate to the use of Bayes&#039; Theorem in assessing historical probability, in response\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/religionprof\/2012\/10\/bias-and-bayes-theorem-in-history.html\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Religion Prof: The Blog of James F. 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