{"id":3878,"date":"2011-09-28T09:10:17","date_gmt":"2011-09-28T14:10:17","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/tonyjones\/?p=3878"},"modified":"2015-03-13T16:56:50","modified_gmt":"2015-03-13T21:56:50","slug":"amazons-new-tablet-and-the-future-of-books","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/tonyjones\/2011\/09\/28\/amazons-new-tablet-and-the-future-of-books\/","title":{"rendered":"Amazon’s New Tablet and the Future of Books"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<\/head>

Today Amazon<\/a> will debut their new tablet<\/a>, the Kindle Fire<\/strong>. \u00a0My guess is that it\u2019s going to be quite awesome, and that it\u2019s going to be $100 less than and iPad. \u00a0Also, Amazon is likely going to throw in some goodies, like lifetime Amazon Prime with some versions. \u00a0That would be pretty awesome, too.<\/p>\n

Jana Riess<\/strong> interviewed me about my new book<\/a> and about my adventure in self-publishing for her blog<\/a>, and she\u2019ll post the interview next week. \u00a0I think I\u2019ll follow up with some thoughts of my own on self-publishing and e-publishing next week. \u00a0But, in the meantime, the today\u2019s announcement about the Kindle Fire has inspired John Biggs at Tech Crunch to prophecy a timeline of the future of books:<\/p>\n

2013 \u2013 EBook sales surpass all other book sales, even used books. EMagazines begin cutting into paper magazine sales.
\n2014 \u2013 Publishers begin \u201csubsidized\u201d e-reader trials. Newspapers, magazines, and book publishers will attempt to create hardware lockins for their wares. They will fail.
\n2015 \u2013 The death of the Mom and Pops. Smaller book stores will use the real estate to sell coffee and Wi-Fi. Collectable bookstores will still exist in the margins.
\n2016 \u2013 Lifestyle magazines as well as most popular Conde Nast titles will go tablet-only.
\n2018 \u2013 The last Barnes & Noble store converts to a cafe and digital access point.
\n2019 \u2013 B&N and Amazon\u2019s publishing arms \u2013 including self-pub \u2013 will dwarf all other publishing<\/strong>.
\n2019 \u2013 The great culling of the publishers. Smaller houses may survive but not many of them. The giants like Random House and Penguin will calve their smaller houses into e-only ventures. The last of the \u201cpublisher subsidized\u201d tablet devices will falter.
\n2020 \u2013 Nearly every middle school to college student will have an e-reader. Textbooks will slowly disappear.
\n2023 \u2013 Epaper will make ereaders as thin as a few sheets of paper.
\n2025 \u2013 The transition is complete even in most of the developing world. The book is, at best, an artifact and at worst a nuisance. Book collections won\u2019t disappear \u2013 hold-outs will exist and a subset of readers will still print books \u2013 but generally all publishing will exist digitally.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

HT: Bob Carlton<\/a><\/p>\n<\/body><\/html>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Today Amazon will debut their new tablet, the Kindle Fire. \u00a0My guess is that it\u2019s going to be quite awesome, and that it\u2019s going to be $100 less than and iPad. \u00a0Also, Amazon is likely going to throw in some goodies, like lifetime Amazon Prime with some versions. \u00a0That would be pretty awesome, too. Jana […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5,36],"tags":[54,323,378,1053],"class_list":["post-3878","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-books","category-technology","tag-amazon","tag-jana-riess","tag-kindle","tag-publishing"],"yoast_head":"\nAmazon's New Tablet and the Future of Books<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Today Amazon will debut their new tablet, the Kindle Fire. \u00a0My guess is that it's going to be quite awesome, and that it's going to be $100 less than and\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/tonyjones\/2011\/09\/28\/amazons-new-tablet-and-the-future-of-books\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" 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