Future of Mormonism
Mormon Democrats at a Crossroads
By Boyd Petersen
Following the Reagan revolution of the 1980s, it was common to hear speculation that the Democratic party would never come back into power. Needless to say, those concerns were misguided. History shows that the fortunes of political parties wax and wane, often with little notice. The link between religious denomination and political affiliation, however, may be slower to change, but change it does. For example, Evangelical Christians, once known as overwhelmingly Republican, have begun shifting party loyalty as concerns about the morality of war and care for the environment have become more prominent.
Currently Mormons in the United States predominately identify as Republican. A recent Pew Research center survey discovered that almost two-thirds (65 percent) of Mormons identified with or leaned toward the Republican party and only one-fifth (22 percent) identified as Democrats (the rest are unaffiliated). Mormons are currently the most conservative religious denomination in the United States. However, Mormons have not always identified themselves so closely with the Republican party. And I believe they will not always continue to do so.
From 1847-1891, the Church dominated Utah territorial politics with its own party, sponsoring candidates, and opposing "gentile" political involvement. Still, Mormons more closely identified with the Democratic party (which had not had a party platform against the "twin evils of slavery and polygamy" as the Republicans had). In 1891, Mormon leaders disbanded the Mormon People's Party and urged members to become Republicans in order to achieve the political balance necessary for Utah to be granted statehood. Mormons were asked to switch their loyalty from the Democrats to the Republicans in the name of political expediency.
Looking back, it is hard to believe that Utah (and its predominately Mormon electorate) once voted enthusiastically for Democratic presidential candidates. From William Jennings Bryan, and Woodrow Wilson (second term only), through all four terms of FDR, to Truman and LBJ, Mormon Utah supported Democrats. Certainly, it also supported Republicans, but it was once considered a swing state, one that both parties courted and wooed. Likewise, Utah was known to elect both Democratic and Republican Senators, Representatives, and Governors. Practicing Mormons identified with both parties.
I believe we are on the cusp of another shift, a shift toward more political balance in the Mormon community, as a result of forces in the world, in the major parties, in the governing bodies of the LDS Church, and in Church growth. First, I believe the issues of our time are increasingly global in nature, and the Democratic party better addresses many of these. Relationships among nations are increasingly important as we confront problems like global warming and a world economy. Problems that affect one nation often affect all, and the United States must work with other countries to address these concerns. Mormons, especially in light of missionary service that gives so many of us an international perspective, realize that we have brothers and sisters in far away places that affect our decisions here in the U.S. The Pew study mentioned earlier determined that a majority of Mormons believe the U.S. should be more engaged in international affairs. And I see more and more Mormons recognizing the progressive agenda of the Democratic party as more engaged in negotiation and working toward solutions of global issues.