CONCORD, New Hampshire (AP) — Mitt Romney was expected to win New Hampshire’s Republican presidential primary Tuesday, with the main uncertainties being how big the victory would be and which of his rivals would come in second.
A big win for Romney would add to the impression that he is all-but-certain to become the Republican challenger to President Barack Obama in the November election.
It would also give Romney, former governor of the neighboring state of Massachusetts, momentum going into the crucial — and likely more difficult — South Carolina primary on Jan. 21.
Romney’s opponents vied for a strong second-place finish in New Hampshire that they hoped would establish them as the main alternative to Romney.
The race for second was wide open. New Hampshire primaries tend to be unpredictable with independents permitted to vote in either party’s primary.
Rick Santorum, a former senator who draws support from social conservatives, looked to build on his near-victory in last week’s Iowa caucuses, the first Republican nominating contest. He fell just eight votes short of Romney.
Former Utah Gov. Jon Huntsman, Obama’s first ambassador to China, skipped Iowa and has campaigned in New Hampshire more than any other candidate. Huntsman is at the bottom of national polls and a poor showing Tuesday could force him to drop out of the race.
Congressman Ron Paul has had difficulties building support beyond a loyal core group of followers drawn to his libertarian, small-government message. His calls for military cuts, withdrawing U.S. troops from Afghanistan and legalizing drugs puts him at odds with many Republicans.
Newt Gingrich, the former speaker of the House of Representatives, is looking to recover after his once-soaring candidacy plummeted in Iowa, where he finished fourth after being targeted by a barrage of negative television ads by Romney supporters.
Texas Gov. Rick Perry is also on the ballot, but effectively conceded New Hampshire. He considered quitting the race after finishing fifth in Iowa, but hopes to revive his candidacy in South Carolina, which holds the first primary in a southern state.
The crowded field has benefited Romney, dividing up the votes of Republicans who are wary of his candidacy. While the Republican establishment has largely rallied behind Romney, who is seen as having the best chance of defeating Obama, he has struggled to win more than 25 percent to 30 percent in national opinion polls. Some Republicans have questioned his conservative credentials and are uneasy with his Mormon faith.
Republicans see a strong opportunity to defeat Obama, who has strugged with stubbornly high unemployment since taking office in 2009. Romney has said his business experience heading a venture capitalist firm gives him the experience to turn around the U.S. economy.
But Romney’s rivals have cast him as a millionaire who is out-of-touch with the American public and whose business experience has been more about cutting jobs than creating him.
Gingrich said Romney’s former firm, Bain Capital, “apparently looted the companies, left people totally unemployed and walked off with millions of dollars.”
Romney did not help himself with recent gaffes. On Sunday, he made the unlikely comment that he understood the fear of being laid off. “There were a couple of times when I was worried I was going to get pink-slipped,” he said, although neither he nor his aides offered specifics.
And on Monday, while discussing health insurance coverage, he said “I like being able to fire people who provide services to me. If someone doesn’t give me the good service I need, I’m going to go get somebody else to provide that service to me.”
None of that is likely to impede Romney’s hopes in New Hampshire, where he is a frequent visitor and has a vacation home.
In his first presidential run in 2008, Romney finished second in the state to John McCain, who ultimately won the nomination. This time, he campaigned with McCain’s endorsement.
A victory there would make him the first Republican to sweep the first two contests in a competitive race since Iowa gained the lead-off spot in presidential campaigns in 1976.
South Carolina, with its more conservative electorate, including a large bloc of evangelical Christians, will likely be more difficult for Romney. He finished fourth there in 2008. A committee created to help Gingrich said it would spend $3.4 million to purchase television ads attacking Romney.
Still, a poll last week showed Romney leading. A win in South Carolina, following victories in Iowa and, presumably, New Hampshire, would make Romney very difficult to stop.
The Republican nominee will ultimately be determined by a state-by-state tally of delegates at the Republican National Convention in August. Twelve delegates were at stake on Tuesday in New Hampshire, out of 1,144 needed to win the nomination.
Obama is unopposed in the Democratic primary.
___
Associated Press writers Steve Peoples, Philip Elliott, Shannon McCaffrey, Kasie Hunt, Beth Fouhy and Holly Ramer in New Hampshire, Brian Bakst in South Carolina and Connie Cass in Washington contributed to this report. David Espo reported from Washington.