That’s what Nobel Prize winning economist, Joseph Stiglitz, suggests we ought to be prepared for. With the floundering dollar and foreign companies buying up the corporate and financial trouble spots, Time has timely piece on what might be in store for the U.S. in the short range.
Here’s Stiglitz’s feature in the article:
Viewed from ground level, rising investment in the U.S. looks like a great thing. Without the inflow of foreign capital, the dollar would probably be even weaker and interest rates and inflation could be higher. But Joseph Stiglitz, a Nobel Prize winner and former chief economist of the World Bank, says there may not be a happy ending. For years, Stiglitz has warned that Americans are living beyond their means. The U.S. trade deficit exceeded $712 billion last year, or 5.1% of GDP. That’s nothing more than America’s borrowing money from abroad to support a lifestyle that is unsustainable. But whether foreigners are now buying hotels, pharmaceutical companies or utilities, the numbers tell us that the rest of the world is no longer willing to foot the bill to feed America’s consumption habit. “It’s not just that American assets are cheaper. The untold story here is that foreign investors are no longer willing to finance American debt,” says Stiglitz. “They now want equity.”
We used to measure the economy in terms of GNP, which is the amount of income produced by U.S. citizens. But now we measure it by GDP, the income that is actually produced in America. The distinction becomes important, says Stiglitz, when an increasing proportion of the country is owned abroad. “If you were to look at America Inc. as a company, it’s like owning a company and you own a smaller and smaller fraction of it. So the fraction of America Inc. owned by Americans is diminishing,” says Stiglitz.
That means that when the economy recovers, there will be less wealth left in the country to reinvest in it. But then returning to the original question–Why is the American yard sale not setting off alarms?–Stiglitz explains that the alternative is even worse. “There isn’t an outcry,” he says, “because the focus right now is the weakness of the American economy, and anything to keep our economy going is welcome.” That’s why no one really objected to Citibank’s becoming a Middle Eastern–financed bank, because it’s better than Citi’s becoming a dead bank. “But clearly we’re worse off as a country,” he says.
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