Are Evangelicals the New Mainline?

An Interview with Rodney Stark
By Timothy Dalrymple

Rodney Stark is one of America's preeminent scholars of religion, and his numerous books in the sociology and history of religion have reshaped the way in which scholars as well as ordinary Americans have thought of the history of the Christian church globally and in America. Often controversial, a slayer of historical myths, Stark used to describe himself as neither atheistic nor religious; later he identified himself as an "independent Christian."

Patheos recently discussed Professor Stark's book on the Crusades, in an interview entitled "Crusades for Christ." Other noteworthy recent books include The Victory of Reason: How Christianity Led to Freedom, Capitalism, and Western Success; Cities of God: The Real Story of How Christianity Became an Urban Movement and Conquered Rome; and What Americans Really Believe.

He spoke by phone with Timothy Dalrymple for Patheos' discussion of The Future of Evangelicalism. Other portions of the interview will be featured in Patheos' final week on the Future of Religion.

We are reflecting on the future of Christianity (within a broader series on the Future of Religion) while you are working on a book entitled How Denominations Die: The Continuing Self-Destruction of the Protestant "Mainline." Why did you choose this topic?

When I was very young, there was a Protestant mainline and they were the Congregationalists, the Episcopalians, Presbyterians, Methodists, American Baptists, the Christian Church (Disciples of Christ), and more recently the media would include the Evangelical Lutheran Church. Once in a while they would even stretch things far enough to include the Unitarians and Quakers. These were the high prestige denominations, and when people became prominent and successful they would shed their old denomination and join one of these.

Now, the belief that these are the mainline denominations simply won't go away. Everyone keeps pretending that these are the folks that count. But the fact is: that's ancient history.

Back in 1972, a marvelous man named Dean Kelley -- he was an executive in the National Council of Churches -- wrote a book in which argued that something really remarkable is happening: the mainline denominations are shrinking. More remarkably, the conservative churches are growing. It isn't as though religion is going out of style; it's just that people are going to different churches.

He was pilloried for that book and its claims, but it was all true. And of course, these denominations have continued to lose members at an incredible rate, and they're tiny now compared to what they were, say, in 1960. Yet one keeps hearing about the "mainline" denominations and this "periphery" called evangelicalism. Well, the periphery is now the mainline, and the mainline is the sideline.

I also decided to write this book partly because of the misperception that this transformation began in the 1960s. The 1760s may be more accurate, and certainly the 1860s, but it didn't start in the 1960s. The 1960s is just when it began to be noticed.

What was really happening was this. As denominations got liberal, they started to shrink. Which means that the Methodists started to shrink much later than the Congregationalists, the Episcopalians, and the Presbyterians. But rapid population growth masked this decline for many, many decades. So at the end of every year, the Congregationalists and Episcopalians would look around and notice that they had more members than the year before. But through this whole period, their share of the market was declining. When you calculate that, you suddenly see a very different picture. These groups had been going downhill for a very long time.