Will There Be Marriage Equality In Maryland, Thanks To Obama?

Adam Serwer points to a potentially fantastic development:

Polls taken since President Obama expressed support for same-sex marriage have shown an astonishing shift in black support on marriage equality. The shift in Maryland is so dramatic that the state may become the first state to actually uphold same-marriage rights in a referendum.

Here’s the gist, from Public Policy Polling:

57% of Maryland voters say they’re likely to vote for the new marriage law this fall, compared to only 37% who are opposed. That 20 point margin of passage represents a 12 point shift from an identical PPP survey in early March, which found it ahead by a closer 52/44 margin.

The movement over the last two months can be explained almost entirely by a major shift in opinion about same-sex marriage among black voters. Previously 56% said they would vote against the new law with only 39% planning to uphold it. Those numbers have now almost completely flipped, with 55% of African Americans planning to vote for the law and only 36% now opposed.

(emphasis Serwer’s)

Your Thoughts?

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About Daniel Fincke

Dr. Daniel Fincke  has his PhD in philosophy from Fordham University and spent 11 years teaching in college classrooms. He wrote his dissertation on Ethics and the philosophy of Friedrich Nietzsche. On Camels With Hammers, the careful philosophy blog he writes for a popular audience, Dan argues for atheism and develops a humanistic ethical theory he calls “Empowerment Ethics”. Dan also teaches affordable, non-matriculated, video-conferencing philosophy classes on ethics, Nietzsche, historical philosophy, and philosophy for atheists that anyone around the world can sign up for. (You can learn more about Dan’s online classes here.) Dan is an APPA  (American Philosophical Practitioners Association) certified philosophical counselor who offers philosophical advice services to help people work through the philosophical aspects of their practical problems or to work out their views on philosophical issues. (You can read examples of Dan’s advice here.) Through his blogging, his online teaching, and his philosophical advice services each, Dan specializes in helping people who have recently left a religious tradition work out their constructive answers to questions of ethics, metaphysics, the meaning of life, etc. as part of their process of radical worldview change.

  • deanbuchanan

    As a MD resident, I sure as hell hope so.
    I (white male) was at work on an elevator in my ‘very large office bldg.’ which contains professionally dressed ‘very important people’ with a person (black female) who seems to be on the same ‘leave the office to take a break’ schedule as I, and so we talk about stuff. We were talking about how the current Republican party seems to have been taken over by theocrats of the religious and Ayn Randian types (yes, neither one of us is shy…) when the elevator door opened…in stepped another person (black female) who has never said anything to me that doesn’t contain Jesus-y sounding references that can be summed up by saying ‘something good happens, thank you Jesus, something bad happens, thank you Jesus’.
    She caught the last part of our conversation, nodded sagely, smiled broadly, and said ‘have a blessed day’.
    I believe that there is a high probability that a few weeks ago, she would have been very uncomfortable.
    I believe that the feelings on this are changing very quickly which is the ‘common beltway wisdom’. Normally I am very skeptical of these types of claims, but in this case, I see evidence on a very personal level that attitudes towards marriage equality are changing.

    P.S. pardon the scare quotes, they just seemed ‘appropriate’…;^)