Let’s just say that Liz Cheney’s newly announced bid to mount a primary challenge to Sen. Mike Enzi of Wyoming is not exactly off to a flying start. The first poll in the race shows that Enzi has an all-but-insurmountable lead of more than 30 points over Cheney the Younger (and lesser):
It’s distressing to learn that only 21 percent of Wyoming Republican primary voters love America and hate the terrorists, but there it is. Harper Polling, the first company to take a temperature in the Wyoming GOP Senate primary, returns with a bevy of bad news for Liz Cheney. In a trial heat with Sen. Mike Enzi, she trails him 55-21. By a 20-point margin, Republicans say Enzi “deserves re-election.” By a 64-point margin, they approve of his job performance. His favorable rating is +70 points; the younger Cheney is at +30, with an unfavorable number nearly three times as high. (They’re all pretty marginal negatives.) He’s even more popular than Dick Cheney.
These numbers won’t stick. Right out of the gate, Liz Cheny has been deriding Enzi as “confused” and insufficiently conservative—too go-along-to-get-along, although examples of this have yet to be cited. (It helps him, in a primary, that he bailed early on Obamacare negotiations even though Democrats thought they could deal with him.) But this should remind us of the size of her task. Most of the primary upsets of the Obama era have been of insurgents winning the right to hold open seats—Rand Paul, Ted Cruz, Marco Rubio, Christine O’Donnell.
There’s no way she overcomes such a disadvantage. Which means she’s launching a Quixotic quest that will achieve nothing but leave her politically damaged and divide the GOP. I strongly approve of this.
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