Tony Perkins Tells Whopper of a Lie With Statistics

Tony Perkins of the Family Research Council is desperate to convince his followers that they’re still going to win on marriage equality, so much so that he just flat out lies about what the polling data shows. Here he is talking about a recent poll on the matter:

In a surprising new trend to pollsters, the gap is widening between Millennials and their Generation X counterparts. Now in their 30s and 40s, the children of Madonna and Ferris Bueller are noticeably more reluctant to redefine marriage than they used to be. “In 2005, five percent more Millennials support gay marriage than Generation Xers, according to Pew Research Center; today, the difference is 14 percent.”

More than double. The shift may have caught liberals off guard — but not us. FRC has argued for years that the older people get, the more socially conservative they become. Once young people shed their rebellious 20s, get married, and have a family, it dramatically alters their perspective on some of these issues. Suddenly, the anything-goes teenager turns into a father who can’t imagine their little girl sharing a bathroom with a grown man or hearing LGBT fairy tales in third grade.

These days, with more young people putting off marriage, the cultural awakening is taking a little longer. But it is happening, as Pew makes very clear. The Left desperately wants to lock young people into a box on issues like marriage — but they shouldn’t be surprised when their opinions “evolve” too.

So according to Perkins, middle aged folks like me are “evolving” to be against same-sex marriage. Now let’s look at the actual data that he links to himself. And the premise of his argument is correct, the gap on marriage equality support is higher now than it was in 2005, when millenials supported equality more than Gen Xers by a margin of 49-44. And what is the gap today? Yep, it’s 14 points. But the margin is now 73-59, which means support for marriage equality among Gen Xers has grown by 15% over the last 10 years, it’s just grown slower than among millenials.

The actual data shows the exact opposite of what Perkins claims it says. Gen Xers are not pulling their support for gay marriage as they get older, that support has grown at a huge rate in a short period of time. But these are the lies you have to tell if you want the money to keep flowing in. If their followers realize that it’s futile to keep fighting, they won’t keep donating to a hopeless cause.

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  • colnago80

    Perkins is a fuckken liar. In other news, fire is hot.

  • cptdoom

    I’m not sure he’s even grasping at straws here – more like grasping at air. I noted on Good As You that I’m at the very front of the Gen X generation (born in 1967), which means I’m in what should be the most conservative group in that generation. Yet at our 25th college reunion, from a preppy East Coast school with lots of old school Republicans, the LGB alums (don’t think we have any T) were treated with full respect by all the straight alums. If the anti-gay right can’t hope for support from those types of conservatives, they really have completely lost.

  • John Pieret

    Breaking News! SSM wins in SCOTUS! Disappointingly, it is 5-4. Roberts dissented.

  • MikeMa

    Tony has an important imaginary friend. He needs imaginary statistics to make his life bearable.

  • Pierce R. Butler

    Did Madonna and Ferris get married sometime along the line, or just crank out a set of little bastards?

  • MikeMa

    @John Pieret

    I really thought Roberts would pull his head out of his ass.

  • Pierce R. Butler

    … a father who can’t imagine their little girl …

    When even Phony Tony starts using gender-neutral pronouns for male referents, you know feminists are gaining ground in the culture wars.

  • sugarfrosted

    @1. Now a liar and a loser! Hurray!

  • Die Anyway

    He (Perkins) is probably right that age and parenthood mellow a person out in many respects and maybe even make them more conservative, just not his kind of “conservative” . What it also doesn’t do is make them more Republican. Not today’s mean, spiteful, straight-razor-totin’ Republican anyway. Being the Party of Mean has limited attraction value. I’ve always considered myself to be a conservative type person but I wouldn’t touch the Republican party with a ten foot pole and I voted for Obama in both elections.

    Time to make another batch of popcorn and put some more beer in the ‘fridge, I can hear the clown bus tootin’ its horn just up the street. Gonna be a good show.

  • theguy

    “Once young people shed their rebellious 20s, get married, and have a family, it dramatically alters their perspective on some of these issues.”

    Somehow they become rabid, foaming-at-the-mouth homophobes? Does that apply even if they get gay married, or have kids that turn out to be gay?

    “Suddenly, the anything-goes teenager Duggars turns into a father who can’t imagine their little girl sharing a bathroom with a grown man can easily be duped by fundie lies about transgender people or hearing LGBT creationist fairy tales in third grade.”

    FTFY. Would Shitkins prefer we listen to his white supremacist and neo-Nazi fairy tales?

    Considering the fundamentalists’ cavalier attitude towards rape, who really has the “anything-goes” attitude here?

  • John Hinkle

    The shift may have caught liberals off guard — but not us.

    Statistical interpretation is just one of the many strengths of the Mensas at FRC.

  • caseloweraz

    DieAnyway: Not today’s mean, spiteful, straight-razor-totin’ Republican anyway.

    You forgot the “wretched”. Poke Salad Annie

  • whheydt

    Hmm… I’m from near the middle of the Baby Boom (born in 1949). As I get older, I become more fiscally conservative, but not (I think) in the stupid way. If the government is to spend more that it takes in, looking for places where cuts can reasonably be made is good, but if cuts won’t do the job, then raise taxes to cover the gap. Socially…I may be more liberal than I was, say, 40 years ago.

  • sigurd jorsalfar

    … the children of Madonna and Ferris Bueller …

    I had no idea Madonna and Ferris Bueller even knew each other, let alone had children together. That’s almost as weird as that time I found out Julie Bowen used to date David Spade.