An atheist named Ian with a deep background in math and science has written a critical review of Carrier’s Proving History.
Among other things, Ian complains that Carrier uses a version of Bayes’s Theorem (BT) that is “unduly complex” and “highly idiosyncratic.” I disagree. I think one’s assumptions can play a huge role in historical Jesus studies, so it valuable to use a version of BT which explicitly includes background knowledge (B).
- An Introduction to Probability Theory and Why Bayes’s Theorem is Unhelpful in History
- Error in Bayes’s Theorem
Carrier’s reply may be found here.