Extraordinary Claims Require Extraordinary Evidence (ECREE), Part 1: The Bayesian Interpretation of ECREE

If you read this blog, chances are that you very familiar with the slogan, popularized by the late Carl Sagan, that "Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence." What I want to do is to offer a Bayesian interpretation and defense of that slogan.In order to make this a 'self-contained' post, I will need to repeat some of what I've written elsewhere. Epistemic Probability In this article, when I refer to probability I shall be adopting the epistemic interpretation of probability. The … [Read more...]

LINK: Leah Libresco of Unequally Yoked Converts from Atheism to Catholicism

I had never heard of her before this, but Leah Libresco of the blog Unequally Yoked has converted from atheism to Catholicism. It appears a big factor in her conversion was her belief that the Moral Law is a person.I hope that nontheists will (1) not commit the "No True Scotsman" fallacy and deny she was ever an atheist; and (2) be nice to her.LINK (HT: Paul Fidalgo)Update: Apparently her conversion is now being reported by MSNBC News. … [Read more...]

LINK: Does the threat of a highway to Hell deter a problem child? New study shows the complications of belief and crime

LINK … [Read more...]

LINK: How Dare You Threaten Me with Your Harmless Opinion?

LINK … [Read more...]

Can Theists Be Moral?

That's a pretty silly question, isn't it? I would argue that it is about as silly as the question, "Can Atheists Be Moral?" Even fundamentalist Christian philosophers grant that atheists can know moral principles and behave according to those principles. If someone wishes to deny that theists or atheists can have morals, it seems the burden of proof should fall on them to offer some reason why they could not have morals. … [Read more...]

LINK: Daniels on Farrah: Atheists Can’t Be Real Americans

Mike Daniels at Secular News Daily has an excellent discussion of Farrah's anti-atheist diatribe. … [Read more...]

LINK: Why The “Minimal Facts” Model is Unpersuasive

This is not new, but I just stumbled across this. It's a very interesting summary and critique of the "minimal facts" approach to arguing evidentially for the Resurrection.LINK … [Read more...]

Basic Structure of My Evidential Arguments

Epistemic Interpretation of Probability In this article series, when I refer to probability I shall be adopting the epistemic interpretation of probability. The epistemic probability of a statement is a measure of the probability that a statement is true, given some stock of knowledge. In other words, epistemic probability measures a person’s degree of belief in a statement, given some body of evidence. The epistemic probability of a statement can vary from person to person and from time to … [Read more...]


CLOSE | X

HIDE | X