In this clip from The Daily Show, Bruce Bueno de Mesquita discusses predicting world affairs using models based on game theory to an extraordinarily high degree of accuracy (twice that of the CIA by their own estimation). It’s really exciting stuff:
|The Daily Show With Jon Stewart||Mon – Thurs 11p / 10c|
|Bruce Bueno de Mesquita|
His book is called on The Predictioneer’s Game: Using the Logic of Brazen Self-Interest to See and Shape the Future and sounds must-read to me.