Popehat on the Fallout of Friday’s Mueller Court Filings

Popehat on the Fallout of Friday’s Mueller Court Filings December 10, 2018

Ken White, aka Popehat, who has often downplayed the significance of previous court filings by Mueller as relatively unimportant, reacts to Friday’s filings in the cases against Paul Manafort and Michael Cohen by pointing out that the information they contain is a major upgrade in the seriousness of the dangers posed to those two men and their former boss, Donald Trump.

Federal prosecutors filed three briefs late on Friday portending grave danger for three men: the former Trump campaign chair Paul Manafort, the former Trump fixer Michael Cohen, and President Donald Trump. In an age when Americans usually get mere squibs of breaking news from Twitter, Facebook, and red-faced cable shouters, many started their weekend poring over complex legal filings and peering suspiciously at blacked-out paragraphs. The documents were stunning, even for 2018.

In brief No. 1, Special Counsel Robert Mueller’s office argues that Paul Manafort breached his cooperation agreement with the government by lying to the FBI and the Special Counsel’s Office in the course of 12 meetings. The brief oozes a level of confidence notable even among professionally hubristic prosecutors: Mueller says he’s ready to present witnesses and documents, and that he gave Manafort’s lawyers an opportunity to refute the evidence but they could not. Mueller is sure he has the receipts.

According to the brief, Manafort lied about his communications with the reputed Russian intelligence agent Konstantin Kilimnik, whom Mueller has scrutinized as a possible conduit between the Trump campaign and the Russian government. Although Mueller’s brief is heavily redacted, it’s clear that Manafort minimized the frequency, duration, and subject of his meetings with Kilimnik. Mueller has emails contradicting Manafort’s description of those meetings, which—we can infer from the unredacted snippets—related to the Trump campaign’s interactions with Russian interests. Mueller also asserts that Manafort lied about some of the payments he received and about an investigation in another district—possibly, based on the context, the Southern District of New York investigation of Michael Cohen and the president. Finally, and of great concern to the White House, Mueller claims that Manafort lied about his contacts with the Trump administration before his guilty plea, and that text messages, documents, and witnesses prove that he was in contact with administration officials.

That brings obstruction of justice seriously into play for Trump, on top of all the other obvious ways he has tried to do that. Obstruction charges are predicated on a pattern of conduct and that pattern is so obvious that it can’t possibly be ignored. As for the Cohen filings, they show clearly that Trump directed the payment of hush money to at least three different women during the campaign to avoid the bad press if they went public. That’s a violation of campaign finance laws.

The noose is beginning to tighten and I fully expect the next step to be an indictment of Don Jr., which will really put some pressure on Trump. Does he protect his children? And do they protect him? I think both seem unlikely given the egos and weakness involved.

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