2008-01-04T05:05:54-06:00

The US economy mess canbe gigantic if not checked! The savings rates are low and more and more people are addicted to spending beyond their means! Gurumurthy writes how the USD 3.8 trillion that the rest of the world has invested in the US treasury notes and US Dollar itself may see their interests depreciating! S. Gurumurthy is a renowned Chartered Accountant and a top Corporate Advisor to many big companies and CEOs in India. Here is how the story line goes in the article..... Interest rates Go down... By repeated interest cuts, from 20 per cent to just 1 per cent in 20 years from 1981 to 2001, the US Fed got US households addicted to buying regardless of needs. At rates of 1 per cent interest, US households saw no meaning in saving. No wonder they felt justified in spending beyond their income. Savings Rates do down... The US savings rate to GDP, which was 18 per cent in 1970s, first came down to 9 per cent in 1990, then to an average of 2.8 per cent in 10 years from 1996 to 2005 and finally to a negative figure of 0.6 per cent in 2006. This drift directly led to households getting addicted to borrow and to spend. And the population addicted to spending and enjoying itself spends thoughtlessly on the credit cards... The US household dues on credit cards rose from $338 billion in 1990, when the Fed rates were around 8 per cent, to $1.5 trillion in 2003, when the Fed rate became 1 per cent. Today the dues on credit cards are over $2.46 trillion and the number of credit cards in use is 1.2 billion. The credit obligations of a US household have increased tremendously... An average American is addicted to 13 credit obligations, nine credit cards and four instalment loans! It is difficult to de-addict them today. The result, in just 15 years, US households have handed over all their money to the corporates and become indebted, like Indian farmers have. The stock market has also expanded.. but that has also seen a rise in borrowing against stocks and house equity... In 1981, when Fed rate was 20 per cent, some 5.7 per cent US households had held stocks. When, in 1990, the interest rate was cut to 8 per cent and less, some 25 per cent households frequented Wall Street, a five-fold increase in 10 years. When, in the year 2001, Fed rates were 1 per cent, some 52 per cent of the US households became obsessed with Wall Street, a ten-fold increase in 20 years. So, American current account deficit balloons - sparked by the domestic consumption. So Americans consume while the Asians save for them! Gurumurthy says that it is the US domestic imbalance that is unbalancing the WORLD! I had said almost a year back. I had said: Read more

2008-01-04T03:59:27-06:00

There are times for using technology and then there are times when you should use just plain common sense. And there may be a substitute for technology... but there is really no substitute for common sense! Here is a guy - a computer consultant - who got a rental car in NY along with the GPS. Great, right! Hmmm.. he switched on his GPS and followed as it told him to. At one point the GPS said "Turn Right" .. he did. Except that on right were the train tracks... and he got right onto them and got stuck! Right in front of him was a train rushing in to him. Thankfully, he NOW used his common-sense and rushed out. He waved but could not stop the train driver from ramming into his car at 60 mph. Now, I know GPS is a great device, but it doesn't always work well. I remember using it in a car while we used to drive from Concord, CA to San Francisco in a Hertz car (they call it "Never Lost"). And somewhere on the way the highway forks. For San Francisco, you need to take right... but the "Never Lost" would always instruct us to keep going straight! I used to call Hertz system 'Forever Lost"! Source: CNN Read more

2008-01-03T23:54:51-06:00

We Indians are sensitive as hell.. and we get disturbed at everything we see. I am often intrigued when someone says that he/she has been "insulted". So, how does one "know" that one was indeed insulted? Did God came out of His hiding and announce with a nudge - "Well, Son, I am not sure you realized just now.. but were insulted. Therefore, you stand diminshed!". Is that how it happens? What we make of what we see, hear, feel is upto us. And we Indians can get hurt from anything! Here is this loony lawyer - Raj Kumar Dubey (most of them are anyways - ok now dont you black coaters get upset) who saw a picture of Sania "watching a match putting her feet right in front of the national flag of India." That as upsetting to him. So what does he do - after the proverbial announcement from that Old Man with the White beard? He files a law suit in Bhopal, Madhya Pradesh with Sania Mirza and Mani Shankar Iyer as the defendants! Meanwhile, on the other hand, Amitabh Bachchan goes to Golden Temple to pray for his deceased Mother (who was a Sikh lady) and is presented with a Siropa (robe of honour) by the priest there. This joker Simranjit Singh Mann - President of Shiromani Akali Dal (Amritsar) got livid with anger. How Dare someone honour Mr. Bachchan!!? And why this anger, sir? Well, he is a friend of those butchers of Sikhs in 1984 massacres in Delhi - Rajiv Gandhi and Congress! Read more

2008-01-03T23:16:03-06:00

All those Star Trek acts of deflecting an asteroids and large bodies in space may come in handy when this new guy on the block comes after our planet. The space scientists may need their skills to get him off our back! For now, unlike earlier predictions, it is likely to miss Mars and fly right past it, making Earth its next target. Designated 2007 WD5, the 160-foot wide asteroid was originally identified as a possible risk to Earth, though later analysis showed that it actually might be on a collision course with Mars. According to a report in Discovery News, Donald Yeomans, a planetary scientist at NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory in Pasadena, California, has said that the odds are that the asteroid is going to fly right past Mars. In the long run, that may not be good news for Earth, which could find itself in the asteroid's path at some point in the future. "Something of this size could take out a fairly large metropolitan area," said Yeomans. In 1908, a meteroid had blasted over Siberia in what is known as Tunguska event. The explosion was strong enough to destroy a large metropolitan area had it happened over a city. Many other such incidents have happened in the recent past, but were smaller in strength, so did not create any issues. Read more

2008-01-03T21:13:05-06:00

The future is never clear, and you pay a very high price in the stock market for a cheery consensus. Uncertainty is the friend of the buyer of long-term values. Read more

2008-01-03T20:09:49-06:00

Raj send yet another story suggestion - what are the signs of a dying industry? And what makes a successful business climate in any industry? As I've said before, a good sign of a dying industry that investors might want to avoid is when it would rather litigate than innovate, signaling a potential destroyer of value. If it starts to pursue paying customers -- which doesn't seem that outlandish at this point -- then I guess we'll all know the extent of the desperation. Investor, beware. The article refers to this case where the music companies went after him for sharing the songs from the CD he had bought. Worse they tried to implicate him for the songs he had ripped off the CDs he had bought legally .. on to his OWN computer for HIS use!! I joked at the time that maybe they'll come after us for singing tunes in the shower, but at this point, maybe that thought isn't funny so much as scary. says the author.. he may well be right!! The limits to which the archaic minds of the telecom companies - controlling the stakes in the cables that run the internet - or the music companies can stoop to are amazing! There are a couple of innovations about to happen .. right around the corner. And these two bunch of crazy folks will be left holding their sticks.. to beat the bushes around them! Business is about innovation. You either grow and move with the market or perish. Halting the market to keep step with you is a bad.. a REALLY VERY BAD IDEA! It doesn't work! Read more

2008-01-03T20:01:41-06:00

Does mind rule over the body or the other way around? Can you change your body just by thinking differently? Well, there is this thing called a placebo affect. In tests, a person - with some ailment - is given just a sugar pill but told it is the real medicine. And miraculously, the person gets cured! Why? Because the mind believes that the body is taking the right medicine. But does it work if you were just told something with nothing "put" (not even a sugar pill) in you? Well, it seems to have worked. IN an interesting experiement, a Harvard psychologist, Ellen Langer, told some hotel maids - who were working hard physically throught their regular day jobs yet not losing any weight .. that they WERE actually exercising and so there was no reason for them to be fat! The maids used to carry the belief that their work did not give them time enough to "exercise" - and that was the reason for their extra weights. All the while they were hauling vacuum cleaners up and down stairs, cleaning up rooms... and doing other strenuous work.. without the physical results! So, two groups were formed. One went about their work as usual. And second, was given a little bit of "reality check". Guess what? After a month, the maids in the second group had had a change in their physical attributes - Decrease in systolic blood pressure, weight, and waist-to-hip ratio — and a 10 percent drop in blood pressure. Bizarre!! Read more

2008-01-03T16:24:09-06:00

The world of computing and storage is moving at an unprecendented pace! Now, very soon a laptop with 1 Terabyte of storage will be coming to a store near you! Soon the old laptops and their capacities will look puny! Maybe.. maybe ONLY then.. would Vista start to run without its hiccups?!! Why cant the MSFT guys send their engineers to the same school as Apple's and get a Diploma if not a PhD? It would save all of us a bunch of headaches! Asus, the Taiwanese computer maker, will come out with a notebook that sports two 500GB hard drives from Hitachi Global Storage Technologies. Combined, this will give a fully configured Asus M70 notebook a terabyte of storage. Put another way, the notebook will be capable of storing 1,000 hours of video, or more than 350 feature length movies, or 250,000 four-minute songs. That will probably tide you over for even the worst airport layovers. A terabyte also holds about the same amount of data that could be stored on the paper from 50,000 trees. Asus will also release notebooks with a single 500GB drive. Hitachi's Travelstar 5K500 drive, coming in February, is the highest-capacity 2.5-inch drive to date, according to Hitachi. The drive, like most cutting-edge hard drives being made these days, features perpendicular recording, which allows more data per square inch than conventional drives. Source CNet Link Read more

2008-01-03T16:15:00-06:00

My friend, Raj, wants one of these things! 🙂 What do you say? A voter listening to Democratic presidential hopeful Sen. Joe Biden, D- Del., shows a clock that counts down the time until the end of President Bush's term in office, at the Italian-American Cultural Center of Iowa on Wednesday, Dec. 26, 2007 in Des Moines, Iowa. Read more

2008-01-03T07:11:11-06:00

I had posted this somewhere with respect to the moderates in the Islamic world arguing against the terrorists but not taking any leadership stance to change the doings of those extremists. When those who can get it ..but dont. and When those who cant get it... and do; Then those who can get it BUT dont .... are also the doers! What do you say? Read more

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