How Hugh Ross Calculates the Improbability of Life on Earth due to Chance Alone

How Hugh Ross Calculates the Improbability of Life on Earth due to Chance Alone April 28, 2014

As someone who knows a thing or two about probability, I’ve always wanted to dive into the technical details for how proponents of cosmic fine-tuning arguments justify the probability estimates associated with such arguments. Along those lines, I just found this page on Hugh Ross’s Reasons to Believe website:

Probability for Life on Earth (APR 2004)

Ross arrives at the conclusion that the probability of life on earth, conditional upon the hypothesis that it arose by chance alone, is 1 in 10282.

I may eventually write up my own thoughts on his calculations, but in the meantime consider this post an exercise for the reader. 🙂 What do you think?

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