Obama is projected to win in a blowout. McCain appears like he will clear the 50% hurdle in the Republican primary. Overall it appears that the closeness in Wisconsin perceived in early polling under represented Independent voters. They solidly broke for Obama breaking most of the demographic groups with them. McCain continues to disappoint with pro-life voters. In Wisconsin this may have to do with Pro-Life Wisconsin being the party to the lawsuit challenging McCain/Feingold. While there are legitimate complaints that McCain is getting unsubstanciated grief for not being pro-life enough, I think this is more of a case that the usual suspects are largely keeping silent. CNN exit polling is available here. While I can’t drill down the data to figure this out officially, it appears older Catholic feminists have been breaking heavily for Clinton and skewing the Catholic vote overall. I won’t ever be able to prove it, but I have my suspicions.
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