Bias and Bayes’ Theorem in History

Regular commenter Ian has posted two more entries on his blog which relate to the use of Bayes’ Theorem in assessing historical probability, in response to Richard Carrier’s advocacy of the use of Bayesian reasoning.

One is entitled “Error in Bayes’ Theorem” and the other “Say What I Want To Hear!

"Not sure how you got that from the quote."

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  • Computer programmers have long captured the essence of this problem in the catch-phrase: “Garbage In – Garbage Out”