Latest polls show shifts in race

Latest polls show shifts in race

As mentioned in another post, Carly Fiorina has shot up to second place after Donald Trump.  Ben Carson is third.  And Marco Rubio is fourth. (Trump’s and Carson’s numbers are down from what they were earlier, suggesting that some of their support is going to Fiorina.)

Scott Walker, who once was the front-runner in early polls plummeted to less than 1%.  If that holds up, he might not even make the also-ran debate, where Fiorina was so recently.

From What a difference a debate makes: Carly Fiorina surges into second – The Washington Post:

Early polls move around a lot. Debates can make a big difference, especially in a primary. Witness a new CNN/ORC poll that shows Carly Fiorina leaping into second place after her strong performance in last week’s debate.

In four CNN/ORC polls since shortly before the first debate in early August, there’s been a staggering amount of movement. Before August 6, the field was ranked Donald Trump, Jeb Bush, Scott Walker, 1-2-3. Now? Trump, Fiorina, Ben Carson. Walker received too little support in the new poll to even round up to 1 percent. Stunning.

The surges from Fiorina and Marco Rubio are obvious there. She saw a bit of a jump after her performance in the first debate, but that was the mini-debate, the kiddie table affair. Once she got into the major leagues — and cleaned up — her numbers really spiked.

It’s hard not to notice the big dips from Trump and Carson, too. The margin of error here is pretty healthy, but it seems clear that a lot of support transferred from the top two to the two with the best debate performances.

[Keep reading. . .]

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