It is widely said that the high birthrates of Muslim immigrants will eventually give them majority status in Europe. Not going to happen, according to researchers. Actually, the Muslim birthrate throughout the world is declining, though not as much right now as with native Europeans. But the growth of the Islamic population in Europe will be too small to make much of a difference:
Senior researcher Brian Grim said: “Across the next 20 years, we’re only seeing a 2 percent rise in the total share of Europe that is Muslim. We’re projecting that the growth rate is slowing. So this rise is very very modest. It’s a relatively small share of the overall population in Europe… There’s no real scenario that we’ve looked at that this ‘Eurabia’ scenario would come to be.”
Alan Cooperman, associate director for research, said the percentages of Muslims in some European populations would rise from 3 to 5 percent to between 6 and 10 percent by 2030. “Those are substantial increases but they are very far from the ‘Eurabia’ scenario of runaway growth,” he said. “We do not see either wordlwide or in Europe runaway growth. The growth rates are slowing.”
via Will Pew Muslim birth rate study finally silence the “Eurabia” claim? | Analysis & Opinion |.
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