Shit.

Clinton wins Pennsylvania, CNN projects

9:00 PM CST

PHILADELPHIA, Pennsylvania (CNN) — Sen. Hillary Clinton will win the Pennsylvania Democratic primary, CNN projects based on early returns.

With about a quarter of precincts reporting, she was leading Barack Obama 54-46 percent.

Clinton will pick up a majority of the state’s 158 delegates.

Going into Tuesday’s contest, Obama led in the delegate count — 1,648 to 1,504, according to CNN estimates.

He also led in the popular vote and the number of states won so far this primary season.See how the delegate race has played out so far

Clinton’s victory will make a dent in Obama’s lead, but the size of the dent depends on the margin of victory.

“If she wins Pennsylvania by a hefty margin, she can prove she can win the traditional Democratic constituencies needed to win the election, mostly white working-class voters,” said Gloria Borger, a CNN senior political analyst.

Could a double-digit victory make Clinton the comeback kid once again?

“If Clinton wins by more than 10 points, which was her margin in neighboring Ohio and New Jersey, her campaign will have new momentum and she will soldier on,” said Bill Schneider, also a CNN senior political analyst. VideoWatch how the polls show Clinton leading »

“If Clinton wins by single digits, we’re in a political twilight zone. Nothing changes.”

Obama scored big with new Democrats in Pennsylvania, early exit polls showed.

One out of every seven Democratic party voters was not registered as a Democrat at the beginning of the year, and 60 percent of them cast their ballot for Obama, according to the exit polls.

Clinton fared better with voters who made up their mind in the last week, the exit polls showed.

Fifty-eight percent of those voters said they chose the New York senator. That includes voters who made up their mind in the aftermath of last week’s heated Democratic debate.

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