My prediction has already come true

On January 1, one week ago, I predicted in our annual exercise that someone would propose amending the Constitution to allow Barack Obama to serve a third term.   It has already happened:

Democratic New York Rep. Jose Serrano reintroduced a bill in Congress Friday to repeal the 22nd Amendment, which places term limits on the U.S. presidency.

The bill, which has been referred to committee, would allow Barack President Obama to become the first president since Franklin Roosevelt to seek a third term in office.

H.J. Res. 15 proposes “an amendment to the Constitution of the United States to repeal the twenty-second article of amendment, thereby removing the limitation on the number of terms an individual may serve as President.”

via New York congressman introduces bill to abolish presidential term limits | The Daily Caller.

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  • I don’t think it’ll happen. Too many level-headed people (on both sides) realize the ramifications of this if the wrong guy gets in.

  • SKPeterson

    (Somewhat facetious and ironic comment to follow). It’s almost a tacit admission that we really are in a second Great Depression/Non-Recovery with a President determined to exactly the wrong things and the wrong time in order to keep the economy on its same stagnant path. I wonder what war will “improve” our economy now. We’ve already tried that in Iraq and Afghanistan, but those were old wars. What we need is a new war to galvanize the country and lead to full scale “coordination” of the economy. Who’s on the docket? Syria and Iran (those nefarious evildoers are supplying their ally with missiles! Only we get to sell arms to people! That’s gotta be against some rule!)? North Korea? Some half-dozen African countries?

  • Sam Loveall

    To be fair to Rep. Serrano, he also submitted this bill twice during Clinton’s presidency, and FOUR times during Bush 2’s presidency. It appears that he’s pursuing the concept, rather than the president now in office.

  • Joe B.

    SKP, I think war is inevitable. War is the only remaining economic stimulus when monetary debasement fails. Someone’s got to throw a really huge brick through someone else’s really huge window. The FDR comparisons are apt. FDR poked and poked at Japan, and knowingly, willingly allowed the bombing of Pearl Harbor to have an excuse to go to war, quite apart from any humanitarian desire to end the Holocaust. and

    I predict a change of majority in the House in 2014, and I wouldn’t be surprised if a Democrat majority at least gets a repeal the 22nd Amendment bill on the floor for a vote, or even passes it with 2/3. I doubt the Senate could pass it, but maybe. In a time if war, you know, we all really just want what’s best for our country [sic].

  • Joe B. @ 4,

    “I predict a change of majority in the House in 2014,”

    I seriously doubt that. Two term Presidents in general lose Congress to the other party, and I’m not seeing any benefit coming to Obama, especially since a whole lot of people just realized that their taxes went up, and they weren’t part of the “rich.”

  • Tom Hering

    Sam Loveall @ 3, thanks for pointing that out. Sorry Dr. Veith, but you can’t join the predictive pantheon of me and SAL just yet.

    Joe B. @ 4, the attack on Pearl Harbor was filmed in a studio. Or was that the moon landing? I get confused. Anyways, I’ll never believe a Japanese torpedo brought down the World Trade Center, no matter what FDR claimed.

  • SKPeterson

    Tom @ 6 – The diplomatic manouevering and manipulation of the Japanese by FDR is fairly well-documented. FDR wanted to go to war with Germany and the easiest way to do that was to provoke the more vulnerable Japanese. So, that’s precisely what the U.S. government did. What is interesting is that the same sort of diplomatic techniques are being used against Iran; it is just that Iran is both weaker and more circumspect than Tojo’s government.

  • Kyralessa

    Leaving aside the issue of which particular President is currently in office, the two-term limit is kind of strange, isn’t it? If we’ve got a guy in there and the majority of American people are happy with him, why do we have to boot him just because he’s been there for eight years already?

    It’s particularly odd in view of the fact that there aren’t any term limits on senators and representatives. It seems like a lot of long-term senators end up wielding more power than the President.

  • Tom Hering

    SK @ 7, the claim by Joe B. that I was responding to was that FDR “knowingly, willingly allowed the bombing of Pearl Harbor.” Do you agree with him?

  • Tom @ 9,
    It’s pretty well known that FDR was made aware of an imminent attack and did little, if anything, to prepare for it, in part because he knew that war is good for the economy, and his measures did little to get us out of the Great Depression. War on the other hand….

  • Tom Hering

    J. Dean @ 10, I’m sure it’s pretty well known in certain conservative circles. Meanwhile, in the real world …

  • SKPeterson

    Tom @ 9 – the question is open, though I do find the evidence against FDR compelling. It is established fact that the U.S. had cracked the Japanese code used for secret diplomatic communications some six months prior to Dec. 7th. In fact, cracking this code allowed the U.S. to tailor various economic sanctions against Japan to further antagonize the relationship. I suppose the choice then comes down to whether or not FDR was knowingly complicit in allowing the Japanese attack to occur (leaving the placement of the U.S. carrier fleet outside of Pearl less-than-benevolently coincidental) or entirely derelict in not acting on the fairly clear evidence that Japan would attack if the U.S. undertook particular courses of action. That the U.S. expressly took those actions would indicate a premeditated diplomatic course designed to steer the U.S. into war. Whether FDR and his staff expected a direct attack on Pearl Harbor itself, the exact date/time, or whether they thought it would be an action in the Philippines is up for more conjecture. Either way, FDR was no saint and it’s a large reason while I will never, ever attend a museum, function or memorial in which he is the focus of attention. Absolutely, one of the most vile presidents we have ever had. And I’m being generous.

  • Tom, you might benefit from chasing those two links I posted earlier. Even if you don’t eventually agree, you really shouldn’t be so dismissive of plausible, reasonable alternate readings of historical events.

  • Patrick kyle

    A NY Times op/ed columnist is advocating abolishing the Constitution.

    A quote from the article: “As the nation teeters at the edge of fiscal chaos, observers are reaching the conclusion that the American system of government is broken. But almost no one blames the culprit: our insistence on obedience to the Constitution, with all its archaic, idiosyncratic and downright evil provisions…”

    These people are want to tear down our country with their own hands.

  • Norman Teigen

    Veith cannot avoid continuously denigrating POTUS.

  • SKPeterson

    Norman – I’m perfectly content to tear down just about all of them without regard to party or era, living or dead. Veith is not continuous or broad enough in his denigration of any POTUS.

  • kerner

    Which brings us to the point of the 22nd Amendment. At the moment, denigrating the POTUS is about all we can do.

    In response to Kyralessa @8.

    The theory is that presidents become more and more corrupted by their power the longer they are in office. We keep them from becoming emperors by making them leave after two terms.

  • Norman, how is reporting that some people want him to have a third term denigrating POTUS? Tom, I did see that this Congressman has proposed eliminating the 22nd amendment before, when other presidents were in office, but that doesn’t take away from the fact that he fulfilled my prediction. Now if someone will push an amendment to repeal the 2nd Amendment–and the sentiment to do something about guns is growing and if the Constitution is seen as an obstacle that could very likely happen–I will wrest away the imaginary virtual New Year’s Prediction trophy from you and SAL and keep it for myself! (And, J. Dean, I’m not predicting that the amendments would be approved, just that they will be formally proposed.)

  • In other news, I would like to predict that several reoccurring meteor showers will, um, continue to reoccur this year, as well.

    I speak with all the authority entitled to me as a fully vested member of the Prediction Contest Winners Club. (Remember? Anyone? 2011? Kim Jong-Un?)

  • I would also like to predict that I will use the made-up word “reoccurring”, when what I really (will have) meant was “recurring”.

  • Klasie Kraalogies

    Other reliable predictions:

    The whiffenpoofery spouting doyenne of Calvary Chapel is going to say “poor Todd”, sometime or other this year.

    Trey is going to be outraged by some perceived culture war travesty.

    Carl is going to use one or all of the silly little names he invented by inserting pejorative adjectives into the name of the US president.

    Oh, and Larry and Frank will have some 500+ word exchanges. Maybe even with each other.

    And the sun will rise tomorrow. Actually, it already has…

  • Tom Hering

    Joe B. @ 13, I’m always willing to entertain alternate readings of history, but for so scandalous a claim, I want to see incontrovertible evidence, and agreement among mainline historians. Otherwise, the claim is just what it appears to be: an ideologically-driven conspiracy theory.

  • Tom @ 11,
    Sorry about that. Forgot he was on your side of the aisle and is therefore flawless 😉

  • Tom @22 – Your faith in “mainline” historians is tragically misplaced. Again, for further reading – from an FDR-sympathetic historian! – please see

    You simply cannot logically conclude the veracity, nor the motive, of a historical claim based on its acceptance – or even its coverage – by the guys that sell textbooks. You can have your hunches, trust your authorities (we all do), but to de-facto cry “NUTCASE! IDEOLOGUE!” isn’t logical, wise, or even friendly.

  • SAL

    My understanding was that FDR was certainly egging on an attack and had every reason to expect and be prepared for one. We were in a military build-up for goodness sake before Pearl Harbor in anticipation.

    Either there was significant incompetence or there was complicity in our lack of preparation at one of the few likely targets of a surprise attack. The Japanese had a history of surprise attacks so it’s surprising we weren’t in the slightest prepared.

    I’d not be surprised if the answer is incompetence in FDR’s Department of the Navy but I’m speculating on that explanation.

  • SKPeterson

    KK @ 21 – I believe this has already occurred. The true measure of predictive accuracy is now reduced to the frequency of the recurrence.