Here’s a new study looking at the connection between religion, fertility, and IQ at a national level. We know from previous studies that countries where people are, on average, more religious also tend to have higher average fertility and lower average IQ.
The problem is that we also know that countries that have lower average IQ also have higher fertility. So teasing out the two factors is not obvious.
This is what Charlie Reeve (University of North Carolina Charlotte) has investigated.
As you can see in the graph, countries with low religious belief had low fertility, no matter what their average IQ. What’s more, countries with high average IQ had low fertility, no matter what their average level of religious belief.
It’s only in countries with low IQ that religiosity pumps up the fertility rate. And the effect is quite dramatic – a 150% increase in fertility rate for countries that have both high average religiosity and low average IQ.
Reeve also took a look at other health-related measures, and found a similar effect. Religiosity and low IQ combine to push up both infant mortality and maternal mortality.
With life expectancy, a somewhat different picture emerged (shown in the second figure). In high IQ nations, high religiosity increased life expectancy. In low IQ nations, high religiosity decreased it.
What could be going on here? Well, it’s pretty hard to figure out. A simple explanation is that IQ is a buffer against the effects of religion. However, my gut feeling is that there is some other factor mediating the interaction.
Variations in national average IQ probably reflect other social and cultural factors – access to education, for example, as well as democratic and open societies. It may be that religion has a particularly big effect in nations lacking these structures.
That said, we do have to treat these results with caution. They don’t show that individuals with low IQ and high religion have more kids (although I wouldn’t be surprised if that was the case), only that countries with this mix have high fertility. And we can’t be sure how robust the results are – I suspect there are very few countries in the ‘high IQ + high religion’ category.
What’s more, the measures of IQ and religion are non-standardised. IQ especially is very susceptible to cultural bias. Reeves does try to reduce this by redoing the analysis after cutting out the countries with very low IQ, but doesn’t present the results (only reports that they are essentially the same.
Still, this is a very provocative paper. What it suggests is that, in wealthy nations, religion is not so important as a determiner of fertility. That certainly seems to be the case in Europe.
Reeve, C. (2009). Expanding the g-nexus: Further evidence regarding the relations among national IQ, religiosity and national health outcomes. Intelligence, 37 (5), 495-505 DOI: 10.1016/j.intell.2009.06.003