Dissecting the Catholic Vote for FiveThirtyEight

Dissecting the Catholic Vote for FiveThirtyEight July 28, 2016

Over at FiveThirtyEight, I’m taking a close look at a recent Pew survey of religious voters. More mass-going Catholics are planning to vote for Clinton than planned to support Obama four years ago, but it’s not because Clinton won them over:

Catholics who attend Mass weekly have increased their support for the Democratic nominee by 22 percentage points relative to 2012. They support Hillary Clinton at about the same rate as fallen-away Catholics; even though among white, non-Hispanic Catholics, those who attend Mass less frequently are slightly more likely to be registered Democrats.

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