Today’s primaries in Michigan and Arizona

I predict that Romney will win today’s primaries in Michigan and Arizona.  Rick Santorum hasn’t backed down from his in-your-face social conservatism, even as the media has just been hammering him for it.  I salute him for his principles, but I’m afraid there aren’t enough social conservatives in the country to elect him.

Next week is Super Tuesday when a bunch of states, mostly in the south though including the big prize of Ohio, hold their primaries on the same day.  Santorum and Gingrich have a shot at some delegates, but I still think Romney will soon become inevitable.  As will the Democratic landslide.

About Gene Veith

Professor of Literature at Patrick Henry College, the Director of the Cranach Institute at Concordia Theological Seminary, a columnist for World Magazine and TableTalk, and the author of 18 books on different facets of Christianity & Culture.

  • Richard

    Agreed. Four more years of Pres. Obama. Maranatha!

  • Richard

    Agreed. Four more years of Pres. Obama. Maranatha!

  • Steve Billingsley

    I never underestimate the propensity of Republicans to shoot themselves in the foot, but if gas is over $4 a gallon throughout the summer and unemployment stays over 8% – Obama has an uphill battle.

    The election will come down to 10-12 states (Florida, Ohio, Virginia, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire, Nevada, New Mexico, Indiana, Wisconsin, Michigan, maybe one or two others). The polls that matter are the polls in those states after the conventions. Until then, it’s all speculation.

    If the Republican nominee can look at the camera in the last debate and ask the question “Are you better off than you were 4 years ago”? And the answer to that question for swing voters is “No” – Obama will lose. His strength is overrated. Until the financial collapse in 2008 – he was in a dead heat with a weak ticket in a electoral atmosphere with a strong Democratic tailwind. Will the youth vote and African-American turnout be through the roof again? Will 66% of voters under 30 in an economy that has hit that demographic the hardest vote for Obama again? In the midst of a Republican circular firing squad the President is polling within the margin of error against Santorum, Romney and Paul.

    Could Obama win? Sure. But it won’t be a landslide.

  • Steve Billingsley

    I never underestimate the propensity of Republicans to shoot themselves in the foot, but if gas is over $4 a gallon throughout the summer and unemployment stays over 8% – Obama has an uphill battle.

    The election will come down to 10-12 states (Florida, Ohio, Virginia, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire, Nevada, New Mexico, Indiana, Wisconsin, Michigan, maybe one or two others). The polls that matter are the polls in those states after the conventions. Until then, it’s all speculation.

    If the Republican nominee can look at the camera in the last debate and ask the question “Are you better off than you were 4 years ago”? And the answer to that question for swing voters is “No” – Obama will lose. His strength is overrated. Until the financial collapse in 2008 – he was in a dead heat with a weak ticket in a electoral atmosphere with a strong Democratic tailwind. Will the youth vote and African-American turnout be through the roof again? Will 66% of voters under 30 in an economy that has hit that demographic the hardest vote for Obama again? In the midst of a Republican circular firing squad the President is polling within the margin of error against Santorum, Romney and Paul.

    Could Obama win? Sure. But it won’t be a landslide.

  • Truth Unites… and Divides

    “I predict that Romney will win today’s primaries in Michigan and Arizona.”

    You could be right, but I hope you’re wrong.

    “I still think Romney will soon become inevitable. As will the Democratic landslide.”

    You could be right, but I hope you’re wrong.

  • Truth Unites… and Divides

    “I predict that Romney will win today’s primaries in Michigan and Arizona.”

    You could be right, but I hope you’re wrong.

    “I still think Romney will soon become inevitable. As will the Democratic landslide.”

    You could be right, but I hope you’re wrong.

  • Klasie Kraalogies

    Does TUAD ever say anything original?

    You could be right, but I hope you’re wrong.

    Sorry, couldn’t resist :)

  • Klasie Kraalogies

    Does TUAD ever say anything original?

    You could be right, but I hope you’re wrong.

    Sorry, couldn’t resist :)

  • http://www.facebook.com/mesamike Mike Westfall

    Obama getting re-elected to a 2nd term is what’s in Room 101.

  • http://www.facebook.com/mesamike Mike Westfall

    Obama getting re-elected to a 2nd term is what’s in Room 101.

  • DonS

    Romney will definitely win Arizona, and will probably win Michigan. I still think it’s inevitable that Romney will win the nomination, but the Santorum surge shows that the primary voters are still in a “not Romney” mindset. I think the protracted campaign is good for Republicans — conservatives are getting the opportunity to send a message to the establishment loudly and clearly.

    The polling for Obama is simply awful, particularly in the swing states, against any of the potential Republican nominees except for Gingrich. The media is in a bubble, and it is showing in this cycle. There is a pretense that we are in a recovery, but voters aren’t seeing it in their own lives. They are seeing that we are still fueling whatever improvement we are seeing with trillions of dollars of our kids’ money, gas prices shooting upward, and housing worsening, particularly now that the foreclosure settlement with the banks has been concluded and the banks are now moving on foreclosures that should have been started 1-2 years ago. This summer’s real estate market will likely be more than 1/2 distressed properties in many regions of the country — not a recipe for improvement before November.

    The general election is even money at this point.

  • DonS

    Romney will definitely win Arizona, and will probably win Michigan. I still think it’s inevitable that Romney will win the nomination, but the Santorum surge shows that the primary voters are still in a “not Romney” mindset. I think the protracted campaign is good for Republicans — conservatives are getting the opportunity to send a message to the establishment loudly and clearly.

    The polling for Obama is simply awful, particularly in the swing states, against any of the potential Republican nominees except for Gingrich. The media is in a bubble, and it is showing in this cycle. There is a pretense that we are in a recovery, but voters aren’t seeing it in their own lives. They are seeing that we are still fueling whatever improvement we are seeing with trillions of dollars of our kids’ money, gas prices shooting upward, and housing worsening, particularly now that the foreclosure settlement with the banks has been concluded and the banks are now moving on foreclosures that should have been started 1-2 years ago. This summer’s real estate market will likely be more than 1/2 distressed properties in many regions of the country — not a recipe for improvement before November.

    The general election is even money at this point.

  • http://gslcnm.com Pastor Spomer

    @5
    “Do it to Julia! Do it to Julia! Not me! Julia! I don’t care what you do to her. Tear her face off, strip her to the bones. Not me! Julia! Not me!”

  • http://gslcnm.com Pastor Spomer

    @5
    “Do it to Julia! Do it to Julia! Not me! Julia! I don’t care what you do to her. Tear her face off, strip her to the bones. Not me! Julia! Not me!”

  • http://chaz-lehmann.livejournal.com Rev. Charles Lehmann

    Dr. Veith, though it’s not relevant to this post, I thought you might want to know that my copy of your book on the vocation of family which I preordered last year just shipped from Amazon.

  • http://chaz-lehmann.livejournal.com Rev. Charles Lehmann

    Dr. Veith, though it’s not relevant to this post, I thought you might want to know that my copy of your book on the vocation of family which I preordered last year just shipped from Amazon.

  • Klasie Kraalogies

    A good analysis of Santorum’s “Satan remarks”, which we discussed a couple of days ago, was recently put out by The Atlantic. Note that this analysis doesn’t descend into anti-religious rhetoric.

    See here: http://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2012/02/what-santorums-fear-of-satan-means-for-his-foreign-policy/253719/

  • Klasie Kraalogies

    A good analysis of Santorum’s “Satan remarks”, which we discussed a couple of days ago, was recently put out by The Atlantic. Note that this analysis doesn’t descend into anti-religious rhetoric.

    See here: http://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2012/02/what-santorums-fear-of-satan-means-for-his-foreign-policy/253719/

  • http://enterthevein.wordpress.com J. Dean

    I don’t know. Ron Paul has a strong base here in Michigan. This might be an odd state for the primaries.

  • http://enterthevein.wordpress.com J. Dean

    I don’t know. Ron Paul has a strong base here in Michigan. This might be an odd state for the primaries.


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