Deep inside the epistemic closure bubbles of left and right, each camp is busy building up a narrative that is not about reality, but about telling the members of the Cult what they want to hear. Over at places like FOX, we are getting prophesies of a Mitt Landslide. On the left, the prophecies are of Obama victory. On the whole, I have to say I think the Mitt Landslide people are more delusional, but I’m not going to call it for either. Personally, my guess (and that’s all it is) is that Mitt will manage to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory simply by virtue of having been such a cynical duplicitous liar that he managed to hand the election to a president this weak and terrible.
On the other hand, I could be wrong. Dueling polls point in various directions, but reliably wrong pundits like Dick Morris (Mitt Landslide!!!!) are, like Bill Kristol, so consistently spectacularly wrong that one is tempted to simply say, “If *he’s* that confident then Obama is a sure thing.” But that’s not really evidence. And that’s the problem. The result of the fracturing of media has been that people increasingly get all their information from sources within their epistemic bubble. So if Obama wins, we will be told that the Conspiracy gave him the election. Same if Romney wins. And the various media camps will uphold that narrative within the epistemic closure bubbles of each camp. That’s not healthy for a concept like the *United* States of America.For what it’s worth, some bookie in Ireland keeps sending me junk mail telling me to bet on Obama. Dunno what that means–beyond the fact that I have no idea what will happen tomorrow. I’m half-inclined to expect a replay of 2000.