State capitalism

George F. Will reports on what sounds like a significant article by Ian Bremmer in the journal Foreign Affairs entitled “State Capitalism Comes of Age: The End of the Free Market?”:

Among the myriad signs that many nations are developing systems “in which the state functions as the leading economic actor,” Bremmer notes that the 13 largest oil companies are owned and operated by governments and that governments in the developing world control three-quarters of the world’s energy reserves. Privately owned multinational companies produce just 10 percent of the world’s oil and own just 3 percent of its proven reserves. In many developing nations, large companies that remain in private hands are only nominally private: They are government appendages in that they depend on government patronage for credit, contracts and subsidies. “Sovereign wealth funds” — state-owned investment portfolios — already account for one-eighth of global investment, double the figure just five years ago. The largest such funds are those of Abu Dhabi, Saudi Arabia and China, with Russia’s rising. The only democracy operating one of the 10 largest funds is Norway. The combined assets of all such funds exceed the assets of all the world’s hedge funds.

Bremmer says, correctly, that state capitalism “has introduced massive inefficiencies into global markets and injected populist politics into economic decision-making,” that “deeper state intervention in an economy means that bureaucratic waste, inefficiency and corruption are more likely to hold back growth,” and that politicians tend to develop stimulus packages with their constituencies, not economic efficiencies, in mind. Therefore, he says, the state must eventually retreat. He probably is wrong because he underestimates the pleasure politicians derive from using their nation’s wealth as a slush fund for purchasing political advantage.